Bill Gates warned that irk might take a quirk of nature to kill 30 million people in less than a year. Experts say we are not doing enough yet to prepare.

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  • In 2017, Bill Gates warned that if a pandemic virus like the Flu Flu of 1918 kills 50 million people around the world today, it could end "over 30 million people in less than a year."
  • Researchers at the World Health Organization (WHO) World Global Preparedness Monitoring Board report that little progress has been made in preparing for a forthcoming pandemic, and countries need to accelerate preparations for the “worst case” scenario such as influenza. that.
  • If such a virus emerged today, it could spread worldwide in less than 36 hours.
  • Outbreaks have already increased in recent years, and the global temperatures and more crowded cities help them.
  • Visit Insider homepage for more stories.


Bill Gates is worried that the world is not ready for the next.

The threat posed is not a nuclear bomb or an earthquake. Gates is a small invisible, invisible virus that is still to be released and the millions of people around the world can be expelled in recent months.

“Whether it happens through a nature door or a terrorist hand, epidemiologists say that rapidly moving airborne pathogen could kill more than 30 million people in less than one year,” Bill Gates warned of a full room of security experts in Munich. in 2017. “They say there is a reasonable likelihood of such an outbreak occurring in the world over the next 10-15 years.”

Global health experts are afraid that they have not changed much since the Gateways issued this warning warning.

“It must be said again,” said National President Doctor Victor Dzau with Insider. “There is urgency, the world is in danger.”

Dzau is one of a group of 15 internationally respected public health experts behind a new independent report from the WHO Global Preparedness Monitoring Board which suggests that the world is not prepared for a global pandemic virus, and that cities, temperatures warmer and deforestation in the world is the breeding ground for success.

Swine flu and swine flu can go into novel procedures to kill viruses quickly

One of these pandemic viruses could be hidden in a bird even near you.

“More than 60% of human diseases, particularly associated with infections, are coming from animals,” said Dzau.

Travelers are the basic hosts of influenza viruses in humans, and while researchers are able to collect their beach holes and find out what types of bird flu are coming, global health leaders say there may be time. declining. A bird, a chicken or a pig that might have seen innocently may be the basis of a lethal human pandemic.

“As animals are not living in the forest, but we are mocking them… in congested conditions close to people, this is a very big factor,” said Dzau.

Leigh No more: Bill Gates says that irk quirk of nature ating disastrous could kill 30 million people a year. Researchers are fighting this threat by studying bird buttons.

The world's population is four times bigger than it was in 1918. Air travel allows for visits to other people around the world in 36 hours or less, and it is not difficult to imagine how A new virus like the Spanish Flu could affect new continents before health experts have time to identify what is happening.

“In addition to death mortality levels, such a pandemic could cause panic, destabilize national security, and have a major impact on the global economy and trade,” the report's authors said, saying that the cost of the t world $ US3 trillion – close to 5% of global GDP.

Pandemic preparedness is a national security issue

The next step must be prepared for the next pandemic from the top, Dzau said. Heads of state should be prepared as an integral part of their national security strategies, preparing the report. More money should also be spent on simulation exercises, vaccine research, and communication systems.

Even without a vaccine, basic health care practices such as quarantine measures and good sanitation can stop dead viruses in their tracks.

But in some low-income and middle-income countries, “the backbone of public health and the health system is still missing”, Dzau, who is based on the disease and treatment of an outbreak during an outbreak, said.

“While America does better than others,” says Dzau, “don't forget if we are not helping low-income and middle-income countries deal with these things, they will come to this country.”

This occurred recently in 2014, when two non-EA nurses in the United States left Ebola, a virus that was difficult to transmit. Ebola can only travel from person to person through physical physical contact with infected body fluids, such as blood, vomiting or faeces. Many of the other infectious diseases are much less needed to be successful, and can be caught with coughing or sneezing.

“There is a serious threat to a rapidly-moving pandemic of respiratory pathogen killing 50 to 80 million people,” the authors warn in their report.

Biochemistry is not as threatening as naturally distributed pathogens

According to the report, 56 countries now have some national action plan for health security, but none of these programs are fully funded. It is surprising, as 1,483 incidents broke out a different epidemic in 172 countries between 2011 and 2018, including Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS), Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS), Zika, Ebola, and the plague.

Dzau's own research shows how outbreaks and pandemics on diseases including cholera, chikungunya, and Zika, during the period 2002 to 2015, became more common. Although there was only a big scare of bio-brush there in the last 50 years (the anthrax outbreak of 2001), other diseases are naturally incubated by spreading.

“Warmer climate, more mosquitoes, flying much more,” said Dzau. “Climate change, deforestation, urbanization and proximity of humans and animals quickly increase this opportunity to have infections.” T

He wants world leaders to prioritize the next big pandemic as they prepare for war – before he begins.

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