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Coronavirus in Poland: How long will the fourth wave last? How many infections per day?

  • – We meet a lot of people who do not rule out vaccination, but say: first I will wait and look. There is nothing to wait for here, because the train is speeding up at this moment. You never know who gets infected, who gets seriously ill – says the professor
  • – Seeing how the number of cases increases and everything accelerates, I am afraid that several thousand cases a day in the next month are almost certain, and a dozen or so thousand cases at the peak are not unrealistic values. The fourth wave, which is now starting, will surely last at least two months, said the head of the Department of Infectious Diseases at SPSK 1 in Lublin, Prof. Krzysztof Tomasiewicz.
  • The specialist referred to the current statistics provided by the Ministry of Health. They show that there are more and more new and confirmed cases of coronavirus infection in Poland. – These are not satisfactory data – admits prof. Tomasiewicz
  • – The last week and a half has been a storm of patients and it is in a really bad condition. I have the impression that we have come full circle and have returned to the situation where patients go to the hospital at a late stage and require intensive care – said the specialist.
  • – On the one hand, we have before our eyes dramatic situations, cases of quick deaths of unvaccinated people. On the other hand, we have data showing that vaccination protects against death and saves lives. There is nothing to discuss here – emphasized prof. Tomasiewicz
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The professor said that a year and a half after the start of the pandemic, many people are more concerned about the well-being of others than about their own health. – Many people think in terms of: I will not do research, because when COVID-19 comes out, everyone around will be in quarantine. For us, this is a frivolous argument, but we must take into account that some patients think in such categories – explained the specialist.

“Unsatisfactory data”

In led by prof. Krzysztof Tomasiewicz, the Department of Infectious Diseases SPSK1 in Lublin on Thursday, 28 patients infected with the SARS-CoV-2 virus, and eight beds were vacant. All nine beds were occupied in the intensive care unit. As reported by prof. Tomasiewicz, only 2-5 percent. his patients in COVID-19 beds are vaccinated.

– Virtually all the people we have at the clinic at the moment, except for three, are unvaccinated. Virtually all seriously ill people who require high-flow oxygen therapy or connection to a ventilator are unvaccinated, ‘he said.

The rest of the text below the video

According to the data of the Ministry of Health, over 36.8 million vaccinations have been performed in Poland, and 19 million and 167 thousand are fully vaccinated. 754 people.

– This data is not satisfactory. They mean that we have about 50 percent. vaccinated – said prof. Tomasiewicz. He added that success could be talked about at the level of 70-80 percent. vaccinated. – Data showing the percentage of vaccinated people in the appropriate age groups are very important. In the 60+ age group, this percentage ranges from 60 to 70 percent. It is not enough. It is still 30-40 percent. potential candidates for the severe course of COVID-19 – said the specialist.

The example of Japan and Israel

Prof. Tomasiewicz negatively assesses the chances of persuading people who do not want to be vaccinated to vaccinate. – We probably won’t convince them. In recent months, we have seen that even the death of people from the environment usually does not convince people to vaccinate – said the specialist. In his opinion, more emphasis should be placed on persuading undecided people. – We meet a lot of people who do not rule out vaccination, but say: first I will wait and look. There is nothing to wait for here, because the train is speeding up at this moment. You never know who gets infected, who gets seriously ill. There are no wise people here and there are no guarantees that it will be avoided – emphasized prof. Tomasiewicz.

When asked about the effectiveness of vaccines, the specialist cited the example of Japan, where the death rate from the coronavirus has decreased. – In those countries with a high percentage of vaccinated people, the differences are colossal. An extreme example is Japan, where the death rate in the last 28 days was at the level of 0.03%. in relation to the number of diagnosed cases, while previously the mortality rate was close to 2%. – said prof. Tomasiewicz. He added that the situation was similar in Israel, where after the introduction of mass vaccination campaign, the percentage of deaths fell from 2 percent. up to 0.2-0.3 percent “This shows the essence of the vaccine, which is protection against severe covid and against death,” he said.

The virus will stay with us for a while

He explained that the vaccine does not provide 100% protection against infection, but reduces the risk of severe complications and death. – On the one hand, we have before our eyes dramatic situations, cases of quick deaths of unvaccinated people. On the other hand, we have data showing that vaccination protects against death and saves lives. There is nothing to discuss here – emphasized prof. Tomasiewicz.

According to the specialist, the coronavirus “will stay with us for a while”, so we should get used to the principles of social distancing. – It’s not like we will give the vaccine and there will be no COVID-19 in two months. It will not be like this anywhere in the world. However, the benefits of vaccination are colossal – explained Prof. Tomasiewicz.

When asked by PAP about vaccinating children under 12 years of age, he replied that the approval of the European Medicines Agency (EMA) is needed, which does not exist. – In the case of children, there is absolutely no question of early access. Until we have an EMA recommendation, we cannot vaccinate – added prof. Tomasiewicz.

On Thursday, the Ministry of Health announced 722 new coronavirus infections. Four people died from COVID-19; Six people died due to the coexistence of COVID-19 with other conditions.

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