Coronavirus. Is there a second wave of Covid-19 in Europe?

In France, the government announces a escalation of cases of contamination coronavirus in this month of September.

By comparing with other European countries, we see that there is certainly an increase in hospitalizations linked to Covid-19 everywhere, but that France is more strongly affected than other countries.

To make this comparison, we used the figures from European Center for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), based in Stockholm, Sweden. In particular, it lacks the cases recorded in Germany and Spain.

As of September 15, 2020, the European Union and the United Kingdom have counted 2,641,450 cases of contamination for 184,380 deaths.

The countries most affected were the United Kingdom (41,637 dead), Italy (35,624), France (30,950) and Spain (29,848). The countries that have been spared the most are Slovakia (38), Latvia (35), Cyprus (22) and Malta (16).

Europe must prepare for an autumn harder with an increase in the death toll from Covid-19, warned an official of the World Health Organization, at a time when several countries are imposing new targeted measures to counter a second wave of the pandemic which has already been close to of 925,000 deaths.

Have there been more hospitalizations in France than elsewhere in Europe since September?

To avoid having results that are too different between countries, we have favored cases which have resulted in hospitalization. This indicator therefore does not depend on the number of tests performed.

According to this graph, we see that France is much more strongly affected than other European countries from the point of view of the number of hospitalizations linked to Covid-19. Poland comes in second place with more than half the number of cases recorded.

We also see a sharp increase in hospitalizations in Italy, which went from 819 occupied beds to 1903 in less than a month.

France had experienced a slight decrease, but an increase in beds occupied in hospitals is now noticeable. As of September 14, there are 5,479 people hospitalized.

Other countries are on the alert. In Spain, day after day, the number of new contaminants increases. Friday 11 September, with 12,183 cases of contamination, a record was broken in a country still traumatized by the 29,747 deaths from Covid-19.

If we do not have the complete figures for the country (they are counted region by region), we know that in twenty days, the hospitals of Madrid have seen the occupancy rate of the beds of affected patients double, reported The cross recently with 1,051 patients in intensive care, against 500 at the end of August.

In which European country the development is the most worrying?

If we look at the curves of hospitalizations linked to Covid-19, we see that some countries are on a fairly strong upward trend compared to the first wave of the epidemic.

There has been an explosion in hospitalizations in Bulgaria in recent weeks. At the height of the epidemic, during May, there were 389 people admitted to Bulgarian hospitals. It was during the summer, from June, that hospitalizations increased sharply, despite a slight decline at the end of August.

In the Czech Republic and Slovakia, hospitalizations increased significantly from August. The same phenomenon can be observed more recently from the beginning of September in Hungary. Same concern in Croatia where the number of occupied beds has doubled since August 22.

From the point of view of contamination, the Czech Republic is now one of the three Member States of the European Union where the daily progression of the virus is the fastest, after France and Italy.

The Italian peninsula has many hospitalizations, with figures showing strong growth in recent weeks. But Italy is now far from what it experienced at the height of the first wave.

In Austria, the country has more than double the number of hospitalizations compared to June. Chancellor Sebastian Kurz, moreover, declared Sunday, September 13 that the country was at the start of the second wave.

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