Daily coronavirus infections increase 62% within a week – but rates are falling in those at risk over 70 years of age

DAILY coronavirus infections rose 62 percent in a week – but the rate among those over 70 is falling, new data shows.

The latest figures from the Office for National Statistics show that there was an average of 27,900 new cases of Covid-19 per day in England between October 2nd and 8th.

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This is a 62 percent increase from an estimated 17,200 new cases per day for the period September 25 through October 1.

The numbers also show that current infection rates are highest in older teens and young adults – with smaller increases in all other age groups except those over 70.

However, statisticians warned that those in the oldest age category are also most susceptible to Covid-19 and are more likely to suffer severe complications or die.

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An ONS spokesman said: “There are still increases in all age groups, right up to the 50 to 69 year olds.

“While positivity is highest in secondary school-age children and 17-24 year olds, there is now more evidence of an increase in the 25-69 age categories.

“Caution should be exercised with the over 70 age group, where we have not yet seen the same growth as other age groups.

“This is based on statistical modeling of the results of nasal and throat swab tests”.

The ONS said cases were increasing “rapidly” with an estimated 336,500 people having the coronavirus in the week ending October 8, which is roughly one in 160 people.

These numbers represent a jump from 224,400 people in the previous week from September 25th to October 1st.

Ruth Studley, Head of Analysis for the Covid-19 Infection Study, said: “Our latest data shows that infections continue to rise, with an estimated more than a third of a million people infected – the highest we have seen since the survey began saw in May.

“As in the past few weeks, infections remain highest in the north of England and among older teenagers and young adults.

The highest rates are found in North West England, Yorkshire & the Humber and North East England, all of which have seen “steep increases” in recent weeks.

The lowest rates are in South West England, East England and South East England.

The figures do not include people who are housed in hospitals, nursing homes or other institutional facilities.

The figures do not include people who are housed in hospitals, nursing homes or other institutional facilities.

The Biostatistics division of the Medical Research Council (MRC) at Cambridge University released new predictions on Monday about how fast the epidemic is growing across the country.

It said that around 47,000 Covid-19 infections occur daily across England, with 240 to 690 deaths per day expected by October 26.

The numbers are passed on to the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modeling, which provides real-time information to the government and regional Public Health England (PHE) teams through the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage).

Cambridge University researchers estimate that cases double in less than seven days, with a “significant proportion” of cases being asymptomatic.

They said: “Our current estimate of the number of infections occurring every day across England is 47,000.

“We estimate the number of deaths per day on October 26th will likely be between 240 and 690”.

They said the daily number of infections is in the range of 28,900 to 74,900 per day, with the best estimate being 47,000.

They added that the estimated growth rate for England is 0.09 per day.

“This means the number of infections is increasing nine percent every day and the number of infections is doubling in less than a week,” they said.

“The central estimates for the number of new infections are particularly high in the North West and North East and Yorkshire (17,600 and 10,700 infections per day, respectively), followed by London and the Midlands (5,450 and 5,720 respectively).

“Note that a significant part of these daily infections will be asymptomatic.

The latest government figures showed 18,980 laboratory-confirmed new coronavirus cases as of 9 a.m. Thursday, while another 138 deaths were reported.

Experts say the laboratory-confirmed cases do not reflect the true scale of the epidemic.

Meanwhile, Professor Graham Medley, an infectious disease modeling expert at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine and a member of Sage, said he believes that health care “some areas are back to the end of March.”

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