Hamburg has voted, the results of the first count are there. Accordingly, the AfD and FDP have made the jump over the five percent hurdle. The election could still go bad for the FDP. All information in the blog.
Photo series with 11 pictures
11.30 p.m .: Error in voice recording? FDP could lose hundreds of votes
According to preliminary official figures, the FDP and AfD reached the five percent hurdle in the election to the Hamburg citizenship. According to a simplified counting of the second votes by the state election management on Sunday, the FDP came to 5.0 percent, while the AfD achieved 5.3 percent of the vote. The SPD was the clear winner of the election with 39.0 percent, followed by the Greens with 24.2 percent, the CDU with 11.2 percent and the Left with 9.1 percent.
Due to the complicated right to vote in Hamburg, the figures are not yet the preliminary official result. This is expected to be confirmed on Monday evening. The final official result can only be expected in two weeks.
Voice capture errors?
However, a possible mix-up in voting in the Hamburg-Langenhorn electoral district questions the FDP’s short re-entry into the citizens. In a polling station, the Liberals came to 22.4 percent after the simplified count on Sunday evening, the Greens, however, only 5.1 percent. Nationwide, the result was reversed. “This is definitely noticeable,” said regional election manager Oliver Rudolf of the German Press Agency. “I have already passed on the indication that there is an abnormality.”
If there had been a mix-up of the assignment, the FDP would have 423 fewer votes than previously assumed. Since the party as a whole is only 121 votes above the five percent hurdle according to the preliminary figures, this could lead to it missing the entry into the city parliament. “That can be crucial,” said Rudolf. All votes would be counted again on Monday anyway, so that an error would then also be found.
In addition, the #FDP an obvious mistake in the 43202 voting district. The results of the FDP and the Greens were probably exchanged here. If this is confirmed, the FDP will lose around 400 votes in this electoral district alone. pic.twitter.com/xJT8Ve8zEk
– Wahlrecht.de (@Wahlrecht_de) February 23, 2020
11 p.m .: Spahn: The result from Hamburg has to “wake us up”
Federal Minister of Health Jens Spahn described the CDU election defeat in Hamburg as a severe blow. “The result has to shake us all up a bit that there is a lot at stake,” said Spahn of the German Press Agency in Berlin. “This is Hamburg, this is Thuringia, this is the survey values, this is the situation of the federal party.”
Spahn, who is considered a possible successor for the outgoing CDU party leader Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, attended the reception of the NRW state representative at the Berlinale on Sunday evening. NRW Prime Minister Armin Laschet did not want to speak to dpa about the result of the elections in the Hanseatic city. “We don’t deal with Hamburg today, that’s an art and culture reception today.”
In his welcoming speech, Laschet dealt with the AfD’s performance. “The best thing would be if the radical right-wing party were no longer represented in the citizenship. That is the hope we have tonight.
10.30 p.m .: CDU election workers: “That was a slap in the face with an announcement”
The first election forecasts are a setback for the CDU: it is one of the worst state election results in 70 years. “It was a slap in the face with an announcement,” said a CDU campaign worker. The party headquarters in Hamburg had “finally reached zero”.
There was also criticism from the CDU leadership in Hamburg. The party’s top candidate in Hamburg, Marcus Weinberg, responded by blaming the historically poor result. The events in Thuringia “broke the neck” of the Hamburg CDU in the election campaign, he said. Thuringia “did not inspire the election campaign with all respect”. Hamburg’s CDU chief Roland Heintze told the German press agency: “The leadership crisis of our party in Berlin” also cost votes.
9:50 p.m .: 36 percent of Hamburg’s first voters voted for the Greens
The first voters in Hamburg showed a clear preference in the state election on Sunday: 36 percent of their votes go to the Greens, according to an evaluation by the Infratest dimap institute for the ARD. The SPD follows in second place with 24 percent, the left receives 13 percent. After all, seven percent of the first voters voted for the FDP – significantly more than the party as a whole is projected. The CDU only gets six percent of the votes among the first-time voters, the AfD only records two percent of the votes, as can be seen from the age group survey.
9:20 pm: Bernd Lucke is pleased with the poor AfD result
The co-founder of AFD. Bernd Lucke, is obviously happy about the loss of his ex-party in the election in Hamburg. “I find it very gratifying that the AfD did so badly. The terrible murders of Hanau became a memorial to the fact that xenophobia should not be used to make politics, “Lucke told the editorial network in Germany. Lucke co-founded the AfD in 2013, two years later he left the party after being voted out as federal spokesman.
20.55: AfD sees new ARD projection in Hamburg citizenship
After the Hamburg election, the AfD could move into the citizenship, according to an ARD projection. The party got 5.1 percent of the vote on Sunday evening, the FDP remained at 5.0.
Should the AfD fly out of the citizenship, this would be a first. They are currently represented in all 16 state parliaments. And it was of all places in Hamburg where they preceded Bürgerschaftswahl In February 2015, 6.1 percent moved to a West German state parliament for the first time.
8.45 p.m .: SPD wants to speak to the Greens – but also to the CDU
Hamburg’s first mayor Peter Tschentscher also wants to give the CDU a chance as a possible government partner. A coalition between red and green is the obvious option. “But we will also – if the majorities are confirmed – approach the CDU and hold a conversation,” said Tschentscher on ARD. The voters would have chosen these two options. He further said that the SPD would approach the Greens very soon to conduct exploratory talks. “That is the first priority we see,” said Tschentscher.
8:15 p.m .: SPD and Greens “scored points with local issues”
The SPD and the Greens scored high points in Hamburg with local issues. This was announced by the “Research Group Elections” on Sunday evening after an analysis. The parties would also win through expertise and their previous government work.
According to the analysis, the SPD owes its election victory above all to the generation from the age of 60 onwards, where it won 55 percent of the vote. The green became the strongest among those under 45.
According to their information, the figures of the research group elections are based on a telephone survey among 1,607 randomly selected voters in Hamburg in the week before the election and on the survey of 15,537 voters on the day of the election.
8:02 pm: AfD chief Chrupalla still expects to move into the citizenship
The AfD party leader Tino Chrupalla wants to wait for the result before an assessment of his party’s performance in the Hamburg elections. “As I said, we first have to wait for the evening, everything else would be coffee grounds reading,” he said on Sunday evening on ZDF. The AfD was only 4.7 percent in the projections of ARD and ZDF and might not be in parliament.
Chrupalla still expected his party to move into the citizenship: “You know, such evenings can be exciting.” Despite the election losses in the Hanseatic city, he does not see a general weakness of the AfD in western Germany. “Of course, I see a big loss here in Hamburg for the conservative bourgeois parties.”
7.15 p.m .: AfD no longer sees citizenship in the first projection
The SPD and the Greens have clearly won the general election in Hamburg. According to an initial projection by the ARD, the Social Democrats have 37.6 percent of the vote. The Greens can therefore more than double their result to 25.4 percent. Red-green can continue to govern. The CDU plunges to 11.4 percent, which is its nationwide worst state election result in almost 70 years. The AfD must fear 4.7 percent, the FDP 5.0 percent, about re-entering citizenship.
6.50 p.m .: Mayor Tschentscher celebrates the result
Hamburg’s Mayor Peter Tschentscher (SPD) was very pleased with the emerging outcome of the citizens’ election. “What a great evening,” said Tschentscher on Sunday evening at the SPD election party in Hamburg. When the Social Democrats turned two years ago after the then mayor’s departure Olaf Scholz as federal finance ministers reorganized to Berlin, none of this was taken for granted. The Hamburg SPD remains the leading, determining force in the Hanseatic city, said Tschentscher.
6.45 p.m .: Green sweeping bank wants to continue coalition
The green top candidate Katharina Fegebank has signaled its willingness to continue the red-green coalition in Hamburg. From the result, she deduces “that it should go on like this,” she says in the ARD. Your party would go into possible negotiations with the SPD “very confidently” and would campaign for issues such as climate protection and open society.
6.30 p.m .: Paul Ziemiak speaks of a bitter day for the CDU
CDU General Secretary Paul Ziemiak speaks of a bitter day for the CDU and a historically poor election result for the party in the Hanseatic city. “The events in Thuringia didn’t help, “says Ziemiak in a first reaction to the election forecast. Thuringia was anything but a tailwind.
6:28 pm: AfD top candidate Nockemann sees “exclusion campaign”
AfD top candidate Dirk Nockemann spoke after the likely departure of his party from the Hamburg citizenship of “result of a maximum exclusion campaign”. The AfD was constantly around 7 percent, but then it went down to Thuringia, said Nockemann on Sunday in the NDR. However, he emphasized that it was only a forecast. He was still confident.
6:21 pm: Kipping – Clear signal after “Fall of Erfurt”
The Left Party rates the poor performance of the CDU and FDP as a memo for the actions of both parties in Thuringia. The parties, which would vote in doubt with the AfD, were “punished”, said federal chairman Katja Kipping in Berlin. “After the fall of Erfurt, this signal was also necessary.”
6.20 p.m .: Green party leader Habeck expects the coalition to continue
Green party leader Robert Habeck evaluates the election result as a clear mandate to the SPD and Greens to continue their coalition. “If the SPD decided differently, I would look pretty stupid,” says Habeck on ZDF. For his party, it was the second best result nationwide at the state level.
6:19 p.m .: SPD supporters cheer
The supporters of the SPD and the Greens in Hamburg have hailed the poor performance of the AfD. “Nazis out”, they shouted at the election parties of their parties after the prognoses for the AfD became known. It could leave a state parliament for the first time.
“Nazis out”: The SPD celebrates the election victory – and is even louder in the AfD forecast. (Source: t-online.de)
6:01 p.m .: Silence at the AfD election party
According to initial forecasts, the AfD has probably not reached citizenship. The reaction at the AfD election party is corresponding. There was a dead silence at first, interspersed with horrified “What?”. Our reporter reports on site. Until a few minutes ago, none of those present would have expected this result.
5:38 p.m .: Voters can also vote without a voting form
It rains and is cold, reports t-online.de reporter Agata Strausa on site. People go to the polling station with their shoulders raised, for example at the district office in Eimsbüttel. But inside there is warmth, you meet friendly people, the mood is – positive to hopeful.
Here you will find election workers who are happy to help – even if you have left your voting rights at home. This happened to a couple here, the notification was sent to their old postal address in the electoral district, but they now live in a completely different district, namely Altona.
5.25 p.m .: The first official result is not expected until Monday evening
It will soon be time: the polling stations in Hamburg close at 6pm. The counting of votes is complicated. The state returning officer will only be able to announce the expected distribution of seats in the citizenship on Sunday evening. The preliminary official final result is not expected until Monday evening. The final official final result should be announced on March 11th.
The Social Democrats and Greens, who have ruled together since 2015, are eagerly awaiting the cut. Green top candidate Fegebank wants to take over the post of mayor of Tschentscher and make his SPD a junior partner.
16:56: turnout higher than in the last election
The general election in Hamburg on Sunday achieved a higher turnout than five years ago. By 4 p.m., 57 percent of those entitled to vote cast their vote, like that Country dialing line announced. There was no direct comparison value for the election five years ago, but at the time the turnout was only 56.5 percent. This was a historic low.
On Sunday it was already clear that more people were voting than five years ago. At 11 a.m., the turnout was 29.6 percent and at 2 p.m. 46.4 percent. The values were therefore significantly higher than at the same times when the election was held in 2015. The postal voters were also taken into account when calculating the turnout.
4.15 p.m .: Transport turnaround is an issue for many Hamburgers
Voter Cornelia Musolff (center) relies on young voters in the Hamburg election. You can go to the ballot box in Hamburg from the age of 16. Musolff told t-online.de reporter Agata Strausa that she and her friends had moved from polling station to polling station. Despite the bad weather, they were in a good mood. They were very interested in what others chose. For Musolff, the turnaround in traffic is particularly important. She says: “Cars have to get out of the city.”
Despite the “bad weather”, three voters went to the poll in Hamburg: They are curious about which choice the people in their city will probably make. (Source: Agata Strausa / t-online.de)
2:53 p.m .: Confirmation again for higher turnout
The latest figures suggest an increased turnout: At 2:00 p.m., the turnout is now 46.4 percent compared to the last election in 2015 at 38.5 percent.
2:29 pm: “We don’t want a car-free city”
Monika and Manfred Brinkmann say t-online.de reporter Agata Strausa: “We definitely don’t want a car-free city!” The parties in Hamburg are currently fighting for a compromise on the turnaround in traffic. One of the central points of controversy is whether car parking spaces will be used for public transport in the future.
Brinkmann couple: “Don’t want a car-free city.” (Source: t-online.de)
1:50 p.m .: Dial on the subway
Hamburg: Voting is requested in the train stations of the elevated railway. (Source: Agata Strausa / t-online.de)
Even the Hamburg Hochbahn is calling on the display boards in its stations to take part in the election, as t-online.de reporter Agata Strausa reports.
12.03 p.m .: Higher turnout is emerging
The morning election showed a higher turnout than the election five years ago. By 11 a.m., 29.6 percent of those entitled to vote cast their vote, as the state election management announced. In 2015, the stake was 24.2 percent at the same time. Letter voters are also taken into account in the calculation.
10.45 a.m .: Tschentscher and Fegebank voted
The top candidates from the SPD and the Greens for the elections in Hamburg cast their votes on Sunday. Mayor Peter Tschentscher of the SPD threw his ballot in the urn in the Barmbek community center in the morning. His Greens challenger, the second mayor Katharina Fegebank, did this almost simultaneously in the Uferstrasse vocational school in the Hanseatic city. It was in the polls SPD recently clearly ahead of the greens.
8.05 a.m .: Election of citizenship begins in Hamburg
The general election began in Hamburg on Sunday. At 8 a.m. the 1,283 polling stations in the Hanseatic city opened. A good 1.3 million Hamburgers aged 16 and over are eligible to vote. More than 300,000 postal ballot papers requested by them. Hamburg has a choice of 15 parties with 348 candidates on the state list. Another 564 applicants are on the constituency lists.
Each voter can cast five votes twice and distribute or accumulate them arbitrarily between parties and persons. The system that has been in place since the 2011 elections made the counting complicated. The state returning officer will only be able to announce the expected distribution of the 121 seats in the citizenship on Sunday evening. The preliminary official final result is not expected until Monday evening.
Saturday, February 22, 7:34 p.m .: How does Thuringia affect Hamburg?
The performance of the Social Democrats and Greens, who have ruled together since 2015, is being followed with interest. The second mayor and leading Green candidate Katharina Fegebank wants to take over the post of mayor from Peter Tschentscher (SPD). In surveys of the past weeks, however, the SPD was consistently ahead of the Greens. Christian Democrats and the FDP have been under great pressure since the government crisis in Thuringia. Both parties could choose the FDP-Politikers Thomas Kemmerich to the Prime Minister with votes from the CDU and AfD.
According to surveys, the FDP, in particular, has to worry about re-entering citizenship. It is currently just under five percent. However, moving in of the AfD is by no means certain.