How deadly is the corona virus in Germany?


Permanent use: undertaker in the largest cemetery in Brazil, the Vila Formosa in Sao Paolo
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The proportion of deceased people among those infected varies widely internationally. Mortality is rather low in Germany – but it is increasing. How the numbers come about.

WIf you want to understand the dynamics of the corona epidemic and make predictions about various measures and their social consequences, then one question is of central importance: how many deaths are expected? Or more specifically: what is the mortality rate of Covid-19? Anyone who has ever had a look at the international figures will suspect that the answer is much more complicated than the question itself might suggest.

Sibylle Anderl

The percentage of people who died of Covid-19 was simply calculated on this basis: You divided the number of people who died of Covid-19 in a country by the official number of infected people. However, the national values ​​determined in this way deviate from one another to an astonishing extent: While the value in Germany has now risen to 1.3 percent according to the latest figures from the Robert Koch Institute (RKI), it lies in Italy according to the European Center for Prevention and Prevention Disease Control (ECDC) at 12.1 percent. Other countries such as Sweden (4.8 percent) or the Netherlands (8.6 percent) can be found somewhere in between. This spread can have two different causes: it could be due to national differences, such as different capacities of the health systems or different age structures of the population. However, it could also be based on the different determination of the number of cases and deaths.

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