Jakarta, CNN Indonesia —
Moment Taliban in power in Afghanistan decades ago, a number of Arab countries set up bodies by officially recognizing the group’s government. Now, the movement of the Gulf countries is also in the spotlight.
Some observers think the Gulf states will remain pragmatic and maintain official relations with the Taliban.
However, some other observers consider the current situation to make Arab countries will be more expensive to recognize the power of the group.
In the past, there were only three countries that officially recognized the Taliban government. Of the three countries that installed the agency, two of them are part of the Gulf region, namely Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.
The Saudis did cut ties with the Taliban because the group refused to protect Al-Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden in 1998.
However, a diplomat currently in Saudi Arabia told Reuters that the kingdom now had to recognize the Taliban’s rule again because it had to adapt to current realities.
“The Saudis already have a track record of ties to Afghanistan and there comes a time when they will accept the Taliban again. They have no choice,” said the diplomat, who asked not to be identified.
An observer from the Royal United Services Institute for Defense and Security Studies, Umar Karim, also said that the Saudis may want to approach the Taliban to instill moderate Islamic values.
“Saudi Arabia still has a strong religious card for the Taliban,” Karim told Reuters.
However, Karim suspects that the Saudis will not immediately establish formal relations with the Taliban. They are likely to open a network through Pakistan.
According to experts, the Saudis have long played two-legged politics in Afghanistan. The official government does not recognize the Taliban.
However, as reported by BBC, a number of Saudi officials reportedly channeled funds to the Taliban in Afghanistan.
The head of the SKSG Middle East and Islamic Studies Postgraduate Study Program at the University of Indonesia, Yon Machmudi, also admitted that there was a possibility that some elements in Saudi Arabia had ties to the Taliban.
“There are some Saudi officials who are more conservative than the more progressive groups, but they’re at the bottom, don’t overtly support the Taliban,” Yon told reporters. CNNIndonesia.com.
However, Yon thinks the Saudis will not rush into formal relations with the Taliban because of their conflicting values.
“If the official government seems more inclined to not admit it first because it seems they still see that the Afghan model is contrary to Saudi plans going forward, which they say want to be more open and more transparent. welcome to the outside world, to the West, “he said.
He then said, “The relationship with the US is also very close so they don’t want to lose the momentum of their relationship with the US because they recognize the Taliban government.”
Yon also considers that now Afghanistan must work hard to seek recognition, especially from the Gulf countries, for future development.
“The Gulf countries are also donor countries and investors who can strengthen the Afghan economy in its future development,” said Yon.
“Of course it will also affect the attitude of other countries, such as the European Union or the US. Because the current financial conditions are very difficult for the Taliban government. Their financial funds are also frozen, cannot be used. This seems to be very difficult.”
Even though the social situation in Afghanistan has been under the spotlight of the United Nations, observers still find it very difficult for the Gulf state to recognize the Taliban government because it contradicts their campaign.
Some observers even say that the Gulf countries may even start thinking in another direction, namely avoiding Iran’s increasing influence in the region after the US left Afghanistan.
In his analytical writing at CNN, Tamara Qiblawi said that this US departure from Afghanistan could strengthen the reasons for the Gulf states to normalize relations with Israel.
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