In the last 24 hours, 88 new confirmed cases of coronavirus and 7 new deaths were registered, according to the daily report provided by the Ministry of Health of the Nation. Thus, the total number of patients rose to 2,758, including 129 deaths since the pandemic began to circulate throughout the country.
“Of the total of these cases, 851 (31%) are imported, 997 (36.3%) are close contacts of confirmed cases, 474 (17.3%) are cases of community circulation and the rest are under epidemiological investigation” , detailed the part provided by the health portfolio.
Regarding the new deaths, 7 from Thursday night, from the Ministry of Health it was detailed that it was “five men, two 62 and 74 years old, residing in the province of Mendoza; two 95 and 80 year olds residing in the province of Buenos Aires; another 57 years old, resident in the City of Buenos Aires (CABA); and two women, one 64-year-old resident in the province of La Rioja, and the other 95-year-old resident in the province of Buenos Aires. ”
Of the new cases, 34 are from the province of Buenos Aires, 22 from Chaco, 14 from the city of Buenos Aires, 6 from Santa Fe, 6 from Córdoba, 2 from Tierra del Fuego, 1 from La Rioja, 1 from Mendoza, 1 from Misiones, 1 from Río Negro and 1 from Neuquén. Chubut had a case reported yesterday, reclassified by royal domicile to the province of Buenos Aires.
Thus, so far there are 22 provinces with confirmed positives, while Formosa and Catamarca are the only jurisdictions in the national territory that so far have not presented patients with coronavirus.
in our region
To all this, in La Plata no new cases were registered yesterday, so the number of infected people remains at 31, with 146 tables that are still under study and another 323 that have already been ruled out.
The news is no less, given that this is the first time – since last April 9 – that no cases of coronavirus have been registered in La Plata, something positive considering that in recent days there have been consecutive increases . In the last week, in fact, the number of local patients doubled and went from 15 to 31 current infections, which led to the district being one of the most infections in the Buenos Aires Metropolitan Area (AMBA).
Regarding Berisso, yesterday’s part was kept in two confirmed cases of COVID-19 and six other suspects were added, so the total in that municipality is 19 cases under study and 27 that have already been discarded. In Ensenada, finally, there are three confirmed cases.
Spain is celebrating its third week under the state of alarm and the confinement of the population in their homes, extreme measures adopted by the Government in the face of the spread of the Covid-19 virus. The objective of these measures is, as the health authorities have explained, “to flatten the curve”, that is, to reduce the growth of the number of new infections to alleviate the collapse in health services.
The balance of positive cases is released daily by the Coordination Center for Health Alerts and Emergencies collected from the autonomous communities, with competence in health. The center itself warns that “the data of the CCAA are under continuous review and certain daily fluctuations may be due to data cleaning processes and not to real variations that occur from one day to the next.”
Since it takes several days for the virus to cause symptoms (such as cough, fever, shortness of breath, discomfort, or insensitivity to pain), there is also a delay between effective transmission and confirmed positive cases. Likewise, the number of positives depends not only on the spread of the virus, but also on the number of possible patients tested.
The fact that a large part of those infected by the coronavirus are asymptomatic supposes a distortion in the numbers, and various studies have estimated contagion figures much higher than the official ones. This also distorts the mortality figures, which, in any case, is much higher in elderly patients or those with previous pathologies.
The figures for hospital admissions or ICUs, meanwhile, are also behind both infections and confirmed cases, as the disease tends to worsen around a week or two after the first infection.
Excess mortality is the number of deaths from any cause (not just Covid-19) compared to the average for previous years. It is based on data from civil registries, collected by the National Center for Epidemiology of the Carlos III Health Institute in its Web, through the Ministry of Justice. In this case, daily deaths are compared with the average since 2008. The Institute warns that there are delays in notifications, especially in the current situation. Between March 17 and April 6 there is an excess mortality of 12,083 deaths in Spain, 51.2% more than expected.
Mikel Aristi (Euskaltel) faces an important season. At 26, he assumes a leadership role in his new team and, after two wins from last year, his aspirations are high. However, when bergararra the stop due to the coronavirus has left him unable to start properly.
Massachusetts child care centers will close on Monday amid the coronavirus epidemic, but some exempt centers will open to take care of the children of critical workers, Governor Charlie Baker said Wednesday during a briefing.
Over 2,000 Massachusetts residents have been quarantined because of the coronavirus, according to the latest numbers released on Wednesday by state health officials.
The new figures show that 2,054 residents have been quarantined, with 1,168 still in quarantine and 886 that are no longer in quarantine. This is almost double the 1,083 total of a week ago.
As the number of COVID-19 cases in Massachusetts rises steadily, Boston Mayor Marty Walsh – who reported 45 cases in Boston on Wednesday afternoon – exposed his thought process about what would be needed to issue a shelter order. on site.
Baker said Tuesday that he had no intention of ordering residents to take refuge on the spot. However, more than a dozen state and local Democrats are urging the Republican to reconsider in an open letter.
Governor Charlie Baker says Massachusetts has no plans for its residents to take refuge on the spot, but said “difficult days are coming.”
In the letter, released Tuesday afternoon, the 17 Democrats asked Baker to seek shelter by Tuesday after other cities such as San Francisco.
“Doctors tell us that COVID-19 is about 10 times more contagious than the flu and that 1 in 5 infected people will contract severe pneumonia that will require hospitalization,” they said.
“Suppressing the spread of the virus is essential to protect the ability of healthcare professionals to manage the influx of new patients and to safeguard public health and safety. Epidemiologists have suggested that Massachusetts could see up to 10,000 cases by the end of this month.”
As of Tuesday, the total number of coronavirus cases in Massachusetts has risen to 218, according to public health officials.
The Motor Vehicle Registry was reopened on Wednesday, which attracted large crowds of people lined up, despite Governor Baker and Mayor Walsh’s call for social expulsion in Massachusetts.
Baker said Tuesday that while there were “difficult days ahead”, there were no plans to implement an ongoing refuge.
“We will probably have some very difficult days ahead of us, as we are still at the start of the battle against this virus,” said Baker. “Faith and trust. We will succeed by putting together, taking care of each other.”
Baker plans to provide an update on the coronavirus pandemic at 15:00. at the State House with Lieutenant Governor Karyn Polito, sect. of health and human services Marylou Sudders and DPH Commissioner Dr. Monica Bharel.
In a Tuesday night television speech, Walsh called on the audience to distance social to flatten the coronavirus curve.
“We simply need everyone’s help, and that’s how we will get past this,” said Walsh. “This is not the time for home parties, dating or visiting friends. We need everyone to limit their contacts right now.”
You have probably heard public health officials repeat this phrase as they announce major cancellations and closures related to the new coronavirus pandemic.
So what exactly does that mean? And what can you do to help?
The “curve” refers to exponential growth in new cases that could occur if the virus can spread uncontrollably in the community.
A sharp spike in COVID-19, the disease caused by the virus, could bring a stream of new patients, many of whom would need intensive care. Experts say the scenario would have overwhelmed the health system, making it more difficult to make life-saving treatments for all sick people.
The director of the National Institute for Allergies and Infectious Diseases, dr. Anthony Fauci explains social distancing and how it can help slow the spread of coronavirus in elderly and immunocompromised patients.
That’s why it’s imperative to stop the transmission of the virus and slow it down in the coming weeks, said Dr. Davidson Hamer, an infectious disease specialist at the University of Boston School of Public Health.
Even if the same number of people contract the virus, doctors and nurses will have a greater chance of saving lives if the cases spread over a longer period of time.
“If there is a big wave all at once, then hospitals could run out of beds, run out of negative pressure rooms,” he said. “You know, if there are many patients on fans, potentially even running out of fans.”
State leaders have yet to indicate what could be a spike in COVID-19 cases in Massachusetts. In a press conference last week, Health and Human Services Secretary Marylou Sudders said the state is now busy planning scenarios for “what could happen in Massachusetts.”
Governor Charlie Baker has announced that Massachusetts has established a command center for coronavirus response. Recognizing the empty shelves seen around Commonwealth food stores, he told people that there is no need to accumulate food.
The Massachusetts Hospital Association has forwarded NBC10 Boston’s questions to the Department of Public Health, which has not yet responded to requests for information on the state’s hospital capacity.
But previous state projections shed light on how serious a public health emergency in the Bay State can be.
In a 2006 flu pandemic preparedness plan, Massachusetts public health officials predicted that as many as 2 million people would fall ill following the emergence of a new respiratory disease.
Using the modeling developed by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the state predicted that over 1 million people would have to be treated on an outpatient basis, based on the most likely scenario of how the pandemic would spread across the globe. state. The model predicted that over 80,000 people would have to be treated in a hospital and up to 20,000 could die, in part because the hospital system would be overwhelmed by a flood of cases.
As part of the preparation planning, public health officials in Massachusetts asked hospitals across the state to negotiate agreements to use other large facilities in their region, such as high schools and arsenals, such as so-called “alternative care sites”. The state plans to touch those facilities to treat patients with less severe cases of theoretical disease, allowing hospitals to focus only on the sickest patients.
Importantly, the new coronavirus that now plagues people around the world may not follow the same trajectory as that shown in the state’s projections. These numbers were based on the assumption that 30 percent of the population would contract the virus. This figure may be higher or lower as researchers collect more data on the virus causing COVID-19.
The president and vice president told the public that anyone who wants a test can get one, but dozens of people have contacted NBC10 Boston investigators to say it wasn’t their experience, including a chemotherapy patient.
Massachusetts’ population has also increased since the state made its forecasts, going from about 6.4 million in 2006 to about 6.9 million today.
Emergency measures put in place by Governor Charlie Baker and others could also mitigate the spike in the epidemic, Hamer said, drastically reducing the number of patients who need treatment simultaneously and potentially saving lives.
“If social distancing and personal hygiene and work at home and all these types of strategies don’t work and we have a very large number of cases in a short period of time, I think it could overwhelm the health care system,” he said.
South Korea reported on Friday March 13th the lowest number of new cases of new coronavirus infection in three weeks. The Asian country was the biggest focus of the Covid-19 epidemic after China.
→ LIVE. Coronavirus: update on the Covid-19 epidemic in France and worldwide Friday, March 13
For the first time, the number of patients cured has exceeded that of new infections. A total of 110 new cases were identified on Thursday, March 12, bringing the total number of infected people in South Korea to 7,979. The same day, the number of patients fully recovered and discharged from the hospital rose to 177.
→ BENCHMARKS. Coronavirus: which countries are prohibited to French people?
The number of new cases in Daegu, the epicenter city of the epidemic, and in the neighboring province of North Gyeongsang has “Considerably “Declined, authorities said. So far, almost 90% of new infections have been recorded in these two regions.
220,000 tests performed
Prime Minister Chung Sye-kyun, however, said that the government “Should not rest on its laurels”. Since the start of the epidemic, Seoul has adopted a strategy combining information, public participation and a massive screening campaign.
Relatives of those infected are systematically identified. They are then offered a screening test. The movements of patients before they are tested positive are reconstructed through video surveillance images, the use of their bank card or the demarcation of their smartphone, then made public. Text messages are sent to people when a new case is detected near their home or their work.
South Korea has done more screening than any other country, at a rate of around 10,000 per day, which has made it possible to tackle the new foci of infection very early on. As of Wednesday, March 11, the total number of tests was 220,000. The country has 500 clinics authorized to perform them.
→ CHRONICLE. The great containment
Most of the people infected are women, and almost half are under the age of 40. The authorities explain it by the fact that more than 60% of the cases of contamination are linked to the Shincheonji Church of Jesus. Most of the members of this Church, often assimilated to a sect, are young women. This would explain why the case fatality rate is lower than that of other countries, like Italy, where the affected population is older.
When the organizers canceled SXSW – the huge music / film / technology / education conference-festival that brings hundreds of thousands of visitors to Austin, Texas every March – it was only a matter of time before the rest of the dominoes started to fall. .
At the time of this writing, the NBA, NHL and Major League Soccer they suspended the game, the MLB rejected the start of the season, the NCAA canceled March Madness, several universities canceled the spring football games, the PGA Tour canceled the players’ championship and the future of the 2020 Summer Olympics is in doubt. And that’s just sport.
School districts from Seattle to Baltimore – including the states of Maryland, Michigan and Ohio – closed schools and over 100 colleges and universities canceled all lessons in person and moved online. Coachella’s huge music festival has been postponed, along with a long list of concerts and music tours, the largest video game industry fair and all Broadway shows until April 12th. Cinemas could be next,
Even Walt Disney World and Disneyland – in fact, all Disney parks – have closed their doors. For Disneyland, it’s just the third closure of the park in its history, after the JFK assassination and 9/11.
The economic implications of all these closings are incalculably high: SXSW means a loss of over $ 350 million, including thousands of tips and wages lost by low-income workers and which cannot compare with losses from sports and professional issues park cancellations. So the decision to suspend the seasons, cancel the events and close the shop is not taken lightly.
Yet … there have been only about 1,660 COVID-19 cases diagnosed and less than 50 deaths. As you’ve probably heard too many times, the flu every year makes millions sick – almost 50 million this year – and kills tens of thousands, perhaps only 52,000 this season alone.
What does it give? Why so many extraordinary cancellations, the costs of which will be calculated in billions, for so few cases?
There is a good reason to “cancel everything”. All these decisions by public officials and companies aim at one goal: to slow down the spread of the virus to avoid overloading a health system that does not have the infrastructure to manage a sudden increase of tens of thousands of cases simultaneously. Without mass closures, that wave is exactly what will happen, just like in Italy.
It’s called “flattening of the curve”. And that’s exactly what it is when you see it visually. Here’s what it looks like in an illustration by Max Roser at Our World in Data, very similar to a recent figure Emerging infectious diseases study on social distancing to reduce pandemic flu.
Basically, if it is assumed that a number of cases will inevitably occur – which epidemiologists can somehow predict based on how the disease is behaving – the continuation of activities as usual allows cases to rapidly degenerate in a few weeks, thus increasing once they completely overwhelm hospitals. In such a scenario – like the one Italy is facing now – there are likely to be more deaths because there simply aren’t enough hospital beds, enough face masks, enough IV bags, even enough doctors and nurses healthy to take care of everyone at once.
But if the same number of cases can go on for months, without ever exceeding the capacity of the health system, then people will receive the care they need, more health workers can avoid disease and burnout and fewer people are likely to die, as South Korea has shown impressively.
But are we really headed for so many cases?
As former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb explained in an excellent question and answer a few days ago, the novel coronavirus – just declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization – is beyond containment. If it’s not already in your community, it will come soon. The only reason why the total cases in the United States are not already skyrocketing is that coronavirus tests have been such a mess that too many people – only 77 from the CDC all week – have been tested. You can’t count the cases you haven’t identified yet.
But every indication is that the United States is on track to see the same exponential increase that other countries are seeing, as scientist Mark Handley has been tracking on Twitter.
In the meantime, as Aaron Carroll, MD, the guy who usually don’t worry– underlined in New York Times yesterday, the United States only has about 2.8 hospital beds per 1,000 people, fewer than 3.2 in Italy and 4.3 in China. (South Korea surpasses everyone with 12.3 hospital beds per 1,000 people.) And this is the total hospital beds, not those reserved for the sickest patients.
“It is estimated that we have about 45,000 intensive care beds in the United States,” writes Carroll. “In a moderate outbreak, about 200,000 Americans would need it.”
So what do we do to avoid disaster? We have to flatten the curve. Fortunately, people are listening. The idea has caught on so well among armchair epidemiologists that the #flatteningthecurve is #FlattenTheCurve hashtags have trended on Twitter several times in the past few days.
Clearly, public officials and businesses are listening to warnings from public health officials, as evidenced by all closings and cancellations. But to be effective, ordinary people must do their part by avoiding as much as possible any crowd and place where large numbers of people gather, such as cinemas, shopping malls and events that have not been canceled.
After the closure of Italy, the Atlantic recently asked “Which country will be next?” If the Americans don’t flatten that curve, it will be us.