Tokyo In the parliamentary election in South Korea, voters gave the moderate left ruling party head of state, Moon Jae In, a clear victory, thereby strengthening the government’s back in the fight against the coronavirus crisis.
The success of the Democratic Party (Minjoo) in Wednesday’s election also strengthens Moons ‘mandate, whose approval ratings had risen again due to the authorities’ decisive action against the virus. Despite the rampant infectious disease, the election commission’s preliminary figure was 66.2 percent – the highest rate for elections in Asia’s fourth largest economy in 28 years.
After counting just under 88 percent of the vote, Moon’s party was able to count on 159 seats, almost 40 more than previously in the 300-seat National Assembly, the national news agency Yonhap reported. Together with the satellite party Common Citizens’ Party, which could hope for 17 mandates, the government camp would even have 176 seats.
Moon’s victory also has a global political message, says Korea expert Kim Duyeon. “The victory shows other leaders in the world that their response to the crisis will determine their political destiny,” said the advisor to the NGO International Crisis Group. The pandemic covers all of the other issues that normally determine elections.
Moon has seen its approval ratings rise and fall in the past few weeks. At the beginning of the corona crisis, a strong outbreak of the disease in the metropolis of Daegu still seemed to cost him popularity.
But recently the approval rate for his cabinet, which fell to 40 percent last year due to the weak economy and scandals, rose to well over 50 percent. Because with a massive test program, modern data analysis and social distance, the health authorities managed to contain the epidemic quickly without curfews and other draconian measures.
Global praise for Korea’s viral fight inspires Moon
But more important for Moon’s growing reputation were international praise and the contrast program that Europe and the USA deliver with hundreds of thousands of infected people, tens of thousands of deaths and curfews. Even US President Donald Trump called on Moon to help fight the epidemic. US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo even praised in late March: “You have made a very effective effort.”
Polling booth in Seoul
Despite an increased risk of infection, turnout in South Korea is high.
The Japanese epidemiologist Kenji Shibuya, who teaches at London’s King’s College and advises the WHO on the pandemic, even describes Korea’s crisis protocol as the future of infection control. “South Korea uses a modern approach that uses mass tests, smartphone apps and the evaluation of Detects data, infected people and uses data-driven analyzes to investigate how Covid-19 is transmitted, ”he told the Handelsblatt.
The numbers are clear. In South Korea, fewer than 30 new infections were reported this week for the third time in a row. The government therefore wants to relax the previous measures. The implementation of the election was a milestone on the way to a new everyday life, which is however still dictated by the virus. The protection protocols during the elections already showed this.
Voters were asked to stand in line at polling stations more than a meter away. Everyone was wearing masks and had to disinfect their hands.
In addition, the temperature was measured at the entrance without exception in order to further reduce the risk of infection. With disposable gloves, people took the ballot paper and ticked the box in the voting booth.
The economic crisis and North Korea threaten Moon’s popularity
However, there is little time for Moon to celebrate. He is already in the middle of a new test in an area in which he has so far been unable to shine: economic policy.
The economy weakened even before the corona crisis. Moon has failed to reduce youth unemployment and alleviate small business concerns. South Korea’s economic growth is now threatening to shrink due to the looming global recession.
The International Monetary Fund lowered its economic forecast for Korea by three percentage points to minus 1.2 percent on Tuesday. This may seem mild compared to the USA, Japan and European countries – but for South Korea this is the worst slump since the 1997 Asian crisis. The economy did not shrink even during the global financial crisis eleven years ago.
The situation is also controversial for him in terms of foreign policy. In the negotiations over South Korea’s contribution to the costs of the stationed US troops, Moon has to try to fend off the quintupling of the contribution demanded by Trump. But above all, North Korea threatens to develop into a hotspot again after two years of relative silence.
Moon had won international stature as a peace-building diplomat as a successful mediator between Trump and North Korea’s leader Kim Jong Un. However, after the collapse of the negotiation of North Korea’s nuclear program, the country is currently testing record-breaking missiles despite United Nations sanctions.
US President Trump still lets North Korea’s leader Kim Jong Un go unpunished for violations of UN resolutions. But it doesn’t have to stay that way. An escalation of the situation would be the definitive end to Moon’s policy of rapprochement to the north. Moon’s popularity today can quickly fade away.
More: What the corona pandemic means for South Korea’s elections.
Washington The Wisconsin vote is likely to go down in American history as the choice of insanity. In the midst of the corona pandemic, voters stood in hundreds of meters of queues in front of the few open polling stations on Tuesday. Thousands of election workers had signed off, partly because of the fear of the virus and partly because they were already ill. National Guard soldiers had to take their places.
In Milwaukee, the state’s largest city, due to a lack of staff, only five instead of the planned 180 polling stations were open. Some voters reported that they had stood in line for over 90 minutes. After all, they tried to keep the six-foot safety distance recommended in the United States. After all, in Wisconsin, like almost everywhere else in the USA, there is a curfew, people are only allowed to take to the streets for an important reason.
Is the voting important to allow registered democratic voters to vote on their presidential nominee and all voters concurrently with the Mayor of Milwaukee and a judge post in the state’s highest court? Couldn’t the election have been held as a postal vote or postponed until after the corona pandemic, as a dozen other states have done?
Republicans and Democrats in Wisconsin had been at odds over this issue over the past few weeks. As late as Monday afternoon, the state’s democratic governor postponed the election because of the risk of infection.
That same night, however, the Republicans obtained a decision by the US Supreme Court that the vote must take place as planned. “We don’t live in a banana republic where the government can simply cancel elections because it doesn’t want to hold them,” said Robin Vos, Republican Speaker of the Wisconsin Parliament.
Entry deadline for postal voting documents extended
A factor in the outrage among the Republicans may have been the fact that the foreseeable low turnout is hoping for better chances for their judge candidate.
After all, the deadline for submitting postal voting documents was extended because many documents had not reached the authorities in time for the election day. Now it should be enough if the voters have sent the documents according to the postmark by the day of the election. The results of the election are not due to be announced until April 13th, when all the votes of postal voters have been counted.
There should be no surprise in Wisconsin with the Democratic primary. According to surveys, Joe Biden is well ahead of his last remaining opponent Bernie Sanders in the state. The chances of the favorite Biden still contesting the nomination are very slim anyway.
In the event that Sanders in Wisconsin loses significantly, insiders of his election campaign report in the US media, he is considering ending his candidacy. But he was still undecided because, on the other hand, he wants to maintain the pressure on Biden to take over some of Sanders’ left positions.
The next democratic primary is scheduled for April 10 and April 17 in Alaska and Wyoming, however, in both states only as a postal vote. Sander’s statement on the Wisconsin madness election left nothing to be missed: “Holding this election in the midst of the coronavirus outbreak is dangerous, disregards the concerns of health professionals, and could very well prove fatal.”
More: The duel Biden against Sanders is also an argument about ideology.
The SPD politician has won the run-off vote with a clear majority.
Munich The runoff elections in the Bavarian municipalities, unprecedented due to the corona crisis, have brought about changes in power in at least two major cities. The SPD lost the post of mayor to the CSU on Sunday in its previous stronghold in Nuremberg. In return, the CSU’s SPD accepted the post of mayor in Ingolstadt.
For the first time in Bavarian history, all voters could only vote by letter until Sunday evening – there were no polling stations due to the risk of coronavirus. Some of the results were expected in the evening, some only on Monday.
In Nuremberg, the CSU applicant Marcus König won with 52.2 percent against the SPD candidate Thorsten Brehm (47.8 percent). In Ingolstadt, the SPD challenger Christian Scharpf won 59.3 percent of the vote and thus won against incumbent Christian Lösel (CSU) with 40.7 percent.
The mayor of Munich, on the other hand, is likely to continue to be Dieter Reiter in the future. After counting 636 of the 1001 areas on Sunday evening, the SPD politician clearly led with a good 71 percent. His challenger from the CSU, Kristina Frank, was 29 percent. Reiter already thanked for “a lot of tailwind for the next term,” even if the end result is not expected until Monday.
The run-off election in Augsburg won the CSU candidate Eva Weber with 62.3 percent of the vote. Dirk Wurm (SPD) came to 37.7 percent.
The district election in the district of Miesbach went bankrupt for the Greens, where the CSU recaptured the district post after six years: The green district administrator Wolfgang Rzehak lost 34.59 percent to his CSU challenger Olaf von Löwis, who came to 65.41 percent .
Voter turnout was higher in many places than in the first ballot two weeks earlier. For the first time in Bavarian history, all voters could only vote by letter until Sunday evening – there were no polling stations due to the risk of coronavirus.
Tens of millions of people in Bavaria were asked to cast their votes in around 750 run-off elections by 6 p.m. on Sunday evening at the latest – wherever no candidate had immediately won more than 50 percent of the votes in the first round on March 15.
Two weeks ago, in 16 independent cities, it was not clear who will be mayor in the future. In addition, the district elections in 18 counties had no final result.
More: Read the latest developments in the corona virus in our news blog.
Washington It was an election day marked by the corona crisis. Actually, Democratic registered voters should vote on their presidential candidate in four US states on Tuesday: Florida, Illinois, Arizona and Ohio. However, the governor in Ohio canceled the vote on Monday evening, a few hours before the polling stations were due to open. The risk of infection for election workers and voters seemed too great.
Polling stations also remained closed in the remaining three federal keys because helpers were sick or stayed at home out of fear of infection. In addition, only a few voters were allowed to enter the open polling stations at the same time, and so individual voters in Illinois had to queue for two and a half hours – with an increased safety distance from the person in front.
The result couldn’t be clearer: Florida, Ohio, Arizona: Joe Biden was clearly ahead of Bernie Sanders in each of the three states. Especially in Florida, where there were 219 delegate votes, he won with a big lead. There are three lessons to be learned from this clear result:
1. The Democratic presidential candidate has been chosen
“Joe Biden will be the next Democratic Party presidential candidate,” said Terry McAuliffe, former Virginia Democratic governor, shortly after 9:00 p.m. East Coast on CNN. Indeed, if 77-year-old Biden stays healthy and makes no catastrophic mistake, he will face Donald Trump in November. Tuesday was the last chance for Sanders to keep up with favorites Biden with a surprise success. But there was no surprise. Instead, Biden was able to extend his lead over Sanders.
Almost 60 percent of the delegate votes are now taken. There is still a long way to go before Biden has received enough delegate votes to have a majority in the first ballot at the Democratic congress. But the bottom line is: there is no evidence that Sanders could turn the tide in the remaining states.
Biden is at the forefront of almost all important socio-demographic groups, the majority of white voters in the suburbs as well as the African-American voters in the city centers. The majority of Latino voters supported him in Florida. As a result, Sanders in Florida was unable to win a single constituency (county). In the front it is only among young voters under 30.
2. The candidacy was nevertheless a success for Sanders
Bernie Sanders, the left wing of his party, has achieved an important success with his candidacy: He has forced Biden to move clearly to the left in order to convince potential Sanders voters. Shortly before election day, Biden adopted an important demand from Sanders in its own election program: Households with an annual income of up to $ 125,000 should be exempted from tuition fees for their children in the future – if only for the first four years of study and only at state universities.
On the evening of the election, Biden specifically addressed the young Sanders supporters: “I hear you,” he called to them in a webcast from his private home. The otherwise usual bathroom of the election winner in the crowd of his fans had to be avoided due to Corona. Biden knows: The left-wing positions of Sanders get caught in a significantly larger proportion of democratic voters than the number of votes suggests.
This can be seen, for example, from a poll among democratic voters on election day in Illinois: 57 percent support the idea of state health insurance for all Americans (“Medicare for All”). A key demand from Sanders, but not from Biden, who prefers to stick to the previous state-private mixed system (“Obamacare”). Healthcare costs are also high on the political priority list for democratic voters in the same survey. The explanation for the discrepancy with the election result: Many voters voted for Biden because they trust him more than Sanders to beat Trump in the fall.
3. Nothing will be normal in the election campaign
In addition to Ohio, a number of other states have postponed their pre-election dates due to the corona pandemic. But it is completely open whether it will not be even more difficult or even impossible to hold the elections at a later date. It is also open whether the democratic nomination party conference can take place at the beginning of July as planned.
Given these risks and his hopeless position, Sanders is now under great pressure to give up the race and to declare the pre-election campaign over. The election campaign Biden against Trump will also take place almost exclusively via the media, at least until the summer. The classic “Campaign Trail” through all states is hardly conceivable from today’s perspective. This gives Trump a clear advantage because, as President-in-Office, he draws media attention with each of his statements.
Corona will determine the rest of the election campaign not only in terms of form, but also in terms of content. He is increasingly focusing on the question of who can show the better recipes against the pandemic and its economic consequences. During the TV duel against Sanders on Sunday, Biden Trump was right to criticize the lack of awareness and lack of leadership in the crisis. But Trump has woken up in the past 24 hours.
With his massive aid and economic stimulus package, including “helicopter money”, the planned cash checks for all citizens, announced on Tuesday, Trump has recaptured the initiative. If the package is implemented as planned, Biden will have to compete against a man who recently gave every citizen $ 1,000. For this task Biden will need as much campaign support from Sanders and his followers as he can get.
Here’s how it continues: An overview of all Democratic area codes.
Despite the corona crisis, many Bavarians voted today.
Munich The local elections in Bavaria, overshadowed by the corona virus crisis, are only decided in many places in the runoff election. For example, the mayor elections in the three largest cities of Munich, Nuremberg and Augsburg on Sunday in the first ballot did not yet bring a final decision. The run-off elections are scheduled for March 29, which is Sunday in two weeks.
Regardless of the spread of the corona virus, there was a noticeably higher turnout nationwide than in the election six years ago. The reason for this was often a big plus for the mail voters. In 2014, the turnout in Bavaria was around 55 percent – the previous record in the history of local elections.
In Munich it became clear that Lord Mayor Dieter Reiter (SPD) had to be in the runoff – but he was very clearly ahead of his challengers from the Greens and the CSU. After counting around 80 percent of the voting districts, riders accounted for a good 48 percent of the votes. Katrin Habenschaden (Greens) and Kristina Frank (CSU), each with just under 21 percent, were significantly behind – and fought a tight race for second place.
In Nuremberg, after the long-time mayor Ulrich Maly has resigned, the SPD has to fear for the executive chair in the town hall: its candidate Thorsten Brehm has to run in a run-off election against Marcus König (CSU). After counting around three quarters of the voting districts, the two candidates were roughly on a par with around 35 percent.
In Augsburg after the waiver of OB Kurt Gribl (CSU), CSU candidate Eva Weber was clearly ahead. After counting about three quarters of the electoral areas, it came to almost 42 percent. Behind it, SPD applicants Dirk Wurm ranked almost equal with a good 19 percent and Martina Wild (Greens) with only about 0.5 percentage points less.
In the midst of the corona crisis, people everywhere in Bavaria were called upon to re-elect local parliaments, i.e. local councils, city councils and district councils. Almost everywhere there were elections, such as the mayors and district administrators. In the case of 4000 elections across Bavaria, a total of almost 40,000 mandates had to be awarded.
Mood test after state elections
For the parties, the local elections were considered an important mood test after the 2018 state elections and the 2019 European elections – whereby local elections traditionally count strongly as personality elections. However, many results will only be known in the coming days because counts in local elections take longer. There will be run-off elections wherever no candidate won more than 50 percent of the vote on Sunday.
Despite all the question marks about the worsening corona crisis, the state government had stuck to the election date. Prime Minister Markus Söder (CSU) emphasized only once again on Friday that all the necessary precautions had been taken. In fact, there were sinks in the polling stations, or disinfectants were available.
The state government has already made one provision for the run-off elections planned for March 29: voters should receive postal ballot documents by post without any prior application.
So far, the CSU has provided 53 of a total of 71 district administrators in the Free State. Twelve district councilors were free voters, four of the SPD and two of the Greens. So far, eleven of the 25 mayors of the independent cities have belonged to the CSU. A specialty is Würzburg, where a CDU man sat on the executive chair on a CSU ticket, among other things. The SPD had won ten OB positions in the past elections. A mayor in Bavaria was previously a FDP member, a mayor was one of the free voters, so far a mayor has been impartial.
More: Ever stricter measures are to curb the corona virus in Germany: From Monday, there will be massive restrictions at the national borders.
Now Biden has a big head start in the delegate votes in the further ballot boxes of the Democrats. The 77-year-old clearly won the primaries in Michigan, Missouri, Mississippi and Idaho. The votes are still being counted in Washington and North Dakota.
After his comeback in South Carolina and the ten victories on the so-called “Super Tuesday”, Biden is the third successful ballot in a row. His most important victory was in industrial Michigan in the Midwest, a state that will be one of the “battleground states” particularly fought between Democrats and Republicans in the November elections – the “battlefields”.
The maximum left Sanders still has a theoretical chance to make up the gap in the upcoming primaries, but the momentum clearly lies in the moderate bidding, which was addressed to the Sanders camp in his speech on election night. Share a common goal: “Together we will defeat Donald Trump.”
The primaries were overshadowed by the Corona crisis. Biden and Sanders canceled major events in Cleveland, Ohio after authorities warned of risks. Sanders did not make a public appearance on election night and stayed in his home state of Vermont. Biden made his victory speech in Philadelphia.
Here are the five key lessons from election night:
1. Joe Biden almost did it
“It is more than a comeback,” said the 77-year-old. “It is a comeback for the soul of this nation. This campaign is picking up speed and I think we will do well from now on. ”The decisive factor for his winning streak was once again the support of the Afro-American voters in the southern states of Mississippi and Missouri, and secondly his clear success in the“ blue -collar “Michigan State. It was about the voices of the industrial workers.
Biden is now the favorite in the next primaries in Arizona, Florida, Illinois and Ohio on March 17th. Should he prevail there as well, the race should be over for good. In Biden, Trump would get a challenger from the political center, who could also lose votes among core voters.
2. Showdown in the Midwest
Above all, his clear victory in Michigan points the way for Biden. Not only did most of the delegates win here, Michigan with the Autostadt Detroit has been one of the so-called “swing states” since the last election. Donald Trump had conquered the state for the Republicans for the first time since 2004, four years ago.
Biden has succeeded in winning over even those voters from the working classes in the Midwest who voted for Trump in 2016. For Sanders, on the other hand, the defeat in Michigan is particularly bitter. Here, the Vermont senator had not only won against Hillary Clinton in 2016, Sanders had focused his campaign on Michigan in the past few days.
3. The Biden coalition is growing
The former US Vice President has shown with his success on Tuesday that he can win geographically, socially and ethnically broad groups of voters. Biden has now won states in the Northeast, South, and Midwest of the United States. He is the clear winner among the African-Americans, clearly leads the older voters and better educated women in the suburbs, but was also successful on Tuesday in rural areas and among white men.
Sanders was only ahead of the young voters under 30. Biden is likely to play his popularity with the older generation in Florida, and thanks to the great support of African-Americans, victory in Georgia will be hard to take shortly afterwards.
4. Bernie Sanders faces a question of conscience
Four years ago, the Vermont senator in Michigan landed a surprise victory, dragging out the race for the Democratic candidacy. This time Sanders is faced with the question of conscience sooner than expected, whether he will end his campaign and, like most other candidates, stand behind Biden.
The 78-year-old senator is considered a fighter and his loyal followers often appear uncompromising. Sanders and his mostly young fans will soon have to decide whether the purity of their teaching is more important to them than a broad coalition against Trump.
Israel voted for the third time within a year – and again the citizens have not made a clear decision. The right-wing national bloc led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu did better than the middle party of Benjamin Gantz. But Netanyahu, who is already celebrating himself as the election winner, is not able to achieve an absolute majority based on the votes counted so far.
Which means that the coalition negotiations could take several weeks – only to fail again in the end. Then elections would be due again, for the fourth time in a row. Already at the poll a year ago, Netanyahu’s party lacked a vote for an absolute majority despite the election victory in parliament.
The fact that Netanyahu received the most votes this time is a danger to the rule of law. Already in two weeks, on March 17th, the election winner as defendant will have to answer in court for three corruption cases involving bribery, infidelity and fraud. The trial in the Jerusalem District Court will take several months, maybe even years. If convicted, Netanyahu can appeal to the Supreme Court.
Such a legal crisis is brewing in Israel. It remains to be seen whether Netanyahu can be entrusted with the formation of the government at all. But the fact that a candidate suspected of serious crimes by the police and attorney general is at the top of the will to vote does not bode well for the reputation of the judiciary in large parts of Israel’s population. Because the man who will defend himself in court could soon be responsible for those institutions that have to ensure the functioning of the rule of law.
Netanyahu is now trying to entice MPs from other parties to get a sufficient majority in parliament. If he brings it to a majority in the Knesset with her help, chances will increase that he will be spared a conviction. Before the election, the prime minister applied for immunity from law enforcement, but ultimately withdrew.
Israel’s society is deeply divided
If Netanyahu remained head of government, he might even be tempted to punish the state’s legal system for daring to try him. Under the guise of judicial reform, he could limit the influence of the Supreme Court, which has emerged as a liberal bastion in recent years.
The elections have shown once again how divided Israeli society is. The protagonists of the election campaign, Netanyahu and Benni Gantz, symbolize diametrically opposite values. Perhaps surprisingly for Europeans, this is not about the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. In principle, Netanyahu and Gantz agree that it could be resolved on the basis of the peace plan that US President Donald Trump presented in January.
The break across the country can be seen in the latest election results in the two largest cities in Israel. A year ago, Likud, the Netanyahu party, and his ultra-Orthodox partner together received more than 60 percent of the vote in the god-fearing Jerusalem, which piously worship as the Holy City. In contrast, Gantz was only able to win over twelve percent of its citizens in Jerusalem.
Tel Aviv in turn ticks completely differently. In the financial center, which also has a good reputation worldwide as a party city, Gantz received almost every second vote, but Netanyahu only 20 percent. The pious and ultra-Orthodox did markedly worse in Tel Aviv than in Jerusalem.
The elections were ultimately about the country’s lifestyle and identity. Whoever chose Netanyahu knew that he would receive the pious along with the right as a coalition partner. He spoke in favor of the dominance of religion, for example on civil law issues.
Followers see Netanyahu as a martyr
The Orthodox also always have an economic interest in ensuring that their politicians are represented again in the future coalition. In doing so, they ensure that their religious schools continue to be funded by the state and that the eleven in religious schools learn nothing about “heretical” subjects such as evolution and grow up without secular subjects, as this would be at the expense of Bible study.
The composition of the Gantz electorate is heterogeneous. The Blue White party, founded just a year ago, consists of four currents and is still looking for a resilient identity. But the exponents and their voters agreed on one point: Netanyahu’s mandate should not be renewed after more than a decade. For them, a prime minister who is charged is a violation of the rule of law.
Netanyahu’s voters, on the other hand, see the charges as neither a flaw nor a danger. On the contrary, they are convinced that Netanyahu is being persecuted by the “left”, the media and the elite. “Bibi”, as he is called by friend and foe, is a martyr to whom she is wronged. The political jack-of-all-trades knew how to swear in those who feel misunderstood and discriminated against.
More: Read here why political uncertainty in Israel could become an economic risk.
Hamburg In the general election in Hamburg, the FDP narrowly failed at the five percent hurdle. According to the preliminary official final result, the Liberals came to 4.9 percent and thus missed the entry into the state parliament. However, top FDP candidate Anna von Treuenfels-Frowein won a mandate in her Blankenese constituency. According to the first figures from Sunday evening, the FDP was still at 5.0 percent. In the election five years ago, the FDP won 7.4 percent.
As reported by the state election office on Monday, the AfD managed to re-enter the city with 5.3 percent (2015: 6.1 percent). The SPD was strongest by Mayor Peter Tschentscher with 39.2 percent (45.6). The Greens came in second place under top candidate Katharina Fegebank with 24.2 percent (12.3). The CDU accounted for 11.2 (15.9) and the Left 9.1 percent (8.5). The final result is scheduled for March 11.
123 deputies will sit in the citizenship. The SPD gets 54 seats, the Greens 33. 15 mandates go to the CDU, 13 to the Left and 7 to the AfD. There is also the headquarters of Treuenfels-Frowein. The constituent meeting of the new citizens is scheduled for March 18.
The Liberals were disappointed. “I think that’s a shame. For us as a party, this is of course a sad result, ”said von Treuenfels-Frowein on the sidelines of a state board meeting. FDP boss Christian Lindner wrote on Twitter: “But @AnnaVTreuenfels will have a liberal vote in the citizenship – a little consolation and the starting point for the next attempt. “
The fact that FDP candidate Thomas Kemmerich from CDU and AfD had been elected prime minister in Thuringia is seen as a main reason for the poor performance of Christian Democrats and Liberals in Hamburg. This caused a loss of trust among the citizens, said von Treuenfels-Frowein. “It was very, very difficult for us to catch up in a short time.”
CDU top candidate Marcus Weinberg missed the entry into the citizenship. As state returning officer Oliver Rudolf announced, all 15 mandates of the CDU were awarded through constituency mandates. The Altona member of the Bundestag only ran on the state list. Also without a mandate was the state chairman Roland Heintze, who had taken third place on the state list.
“Marcus Weinberg was our top candidate in the election campaign. (…) He fought a lot and then not getting the mandate is really bitter, ”said CDU state chairman Roland Heintze, who also came out empty on third place in the list. At first, he did not want to comment on Weinberg’s political future. “Marcus Weinberg is first a member of the Bundestag, I think he has to find himself now.”
On the sidelines of a state board meeting, Heintze said about the possible personal consequences of the election flop: “The question is not yet pending for me, I would like to wait for the discussion.” The election result is to be discussed at a party conference on Thursday. “First of all – and this is also my role – we have to do a thorough work-up, look closely, where are the causes that were here in Hamburg?”
SPD wins Hamburg election – Greens in second place
Even the candidate for the list, Tom Radtke, who was later unwanted by the Hamburg left, will not belong to the new citizens. According to the preliminary official end result, the 18-year-old, who had caused national outrage at the end of January through a relativizing Holocaust tweet, did not receive the necessary votes. “I was not elected, but I will continue to do politics,” he tweeted on Monday evening. Radtke was 20th the left country list. According to the left, party exclusion proceedings are now underway against him.
The student had introduced himself as a climate and network activist in his election application. Later he had made serious allegations online against leaders of the Fridays for Future movement as well as leftists and Greens. Most recently he had posted a picture of himself with a flag of the identity movement classified as extreme right by the Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution one day before the state elections – from the memorial for the Nazi-murdered Communist leader Ernst Thälmann.
SPD wants appointments for exploratory talks quickly
The Hamburg SPD wants to offer Greens and CDU appointments for exploratory talks this week. “We don’t want Hamburg to wait longer than necessary for a new government,” said SPD state chairwoman and social senator Melanie Leonhard during a meeting of the state executive board. Mayor Tschentscher emphasized: “We will soon approach the Greens first, but in a second step we will also approach the CDU and offer a discussion.” The “first option” is a red-green coalition agreement.
Fegebank does not expect simple exploratory talks and coalition negotiations with the SPD. “Our issues are on the table with a clear mandate for green to make those issues stronger in the next government,” said Fegebank before a meeting of the citizens’ group with old and new MPs. CDU top candidate Marcus Weinberg announced that his party would not ignore an offer of talks by the SPD.
After the short re-entry into the Hamburg citizenship, the AfD wants to pay more attention to the wording of its officials. According to her top staff, she also expects this from representatives of other parties. Everyone would have to disarm verbally – “We sometimes made a mistake in the choice of words,” said the chairman of the AfD parliamentary group, Alexander Gauland, in Berlin. He also denied a radicalization of his party.
More: FDP chief Lindner calls for a “political update” of his party after the FPD election debacle in Hamburg.
Berlin Langenhorn is a tranquil residential area on the northern outskirts of Hamburg. Family houses, lots of nature. Only the noise from the nearby airport disturbs the calm. Young families live here, but so do many seniors.
On the evening of the Hamburg state election, the district reported an astonishing result: While the FDP worried about re-entry into the city due to poor results in the rest of the city, 22.4 percent are said to have voted for the party. Langenhorn, a liberal enclave?
On Monday, the suspicion was confirmed that it was a counting error. The district returning officer explained that the results of the FDP and the Greens had been confused in Langenhorn. For the liberals, who were only a few votes above the five percent hurdle, that could mean that they are flying out of the citizenship. The end result was not clear until the editorial deadline. For the overall situation of the FDP, it is irrelevant whether you are in Hamburg or outside.
Since the FDP politician Thomas Kemmerich was elected Prime Minister of Thuringia three weeks ago with AfD votes, the liberals have been in crisis mode. The party also presents the events of Erfurt as the main reason for the poor performance in Hamburg.
The hapless FDP top candidate Anna von Treuenfels spoke of a loss of trust among the citizens: “It was very, very difficult for us to catch up in a short time.” Choice.
FDP must readjust
The party committees of the FDP advised in Berlin on Monday. Christian Lindner appeared before the press between the meeting of the Presidium and the Federal Executive Committee. The federal chairman also referred to a Thuringian effect that “trust must only grow again”. In a remarkable clarity, Lindner also admitted that the FDP had to readjust its content.
The political location that he invoked is the “middle”. There have been doubts about the position of the liberals in the party structure, doubts that political competition also uses. After the “taboo breach” in Thuringia, the FDP was no longer a middle party, said SPD general secretary Lars Klingbeil. Lindner vehemently rejects proximity to right-wing populists. He complains of “attempts from the left” to “redefine” the political center and to exclude the FDP and the CDU. In Thuringia, there was no shift in the position of the FDP, but the AfD was trapped, trying to create chaos in the parliamentary system. Lindner made it clear that there had been no resolution at the FDP. But: “Maybe one has to speak of negligence.”
The Liberals are in their worst crisis since 2013, when they failed to make it into the Bundestag for the first time in the history of the Federal Republic. At that time the situation of the party was even more precarious, but the risks are still great today.
Lindner led the FDP back to the federal political stage. The messages with which the party presented itself were “world’s best education for everyone”, “progress through your own efforts” or an “uncomplicated state”.
In the seventh year under Lindner, however, there are noticeable signs of wear that will be addressed more openly by the party after Thuringia. One does not want to debate possible signs of wear and tear, not yet.
Lindner said on Monday that the FDP did not have to change its positioning fundamentally. Nevertheless, realignments are necessary: ”Where have social conditions changed, where do we have to change?”
The FDP chief announced that he would step up work on a newly formulated mission statement for the party. Ecological issues would be more important than five years ago. Many voters are also concerned with securing wealth and a free lifestyle. Then there is the question of how society can be held together in times of increasing polarization.
The goal is an “update of our political model” for the Federal Party Congress 2021, said Lindner. The FDP has it in its own hands “how we deal with this challenging situation”. The party leader cited membership development as proof that the liberals are not doing so badly. Overall, this has been positive since the beginning of the year. And even after Erfurt there is “relative stability” with almost 66,000 members.
More: The Liberal election evening begins with a breakdown and ends uncertainly. For the FDP, the evening turns into a tremor. Impressions from the election party.
Hamburg has voted, the results of the first count are there. Accordingly, the AfD and FDP have made the jump over the five percent hurdle. The election could still go bad for the FDP. All information in the blog.
Photo series with 11 pictures
11.30 p.m .: Error in voice recording? FDP could lose hundreds of votes
According to preliminary official figures, the FDP and AfD reached the five percent hurdle in the election to the Hamburg citizenship. According to a simplified counting of the second votes by the state election management on Sunday, the FDP came to 5.0 percent, while the AfD achieved 5.3 percent of the vote. The SPD was the clear winner of the election with 39.0 percent, followed by the Greens with 24.2 percent, the CDU with 11.2 percent and the Left with 9.1 percent.
Due to the complicated right to vote in Hamburg, the figures are not yet the preliminary official result. This is expected to be confirmed on Monday evening. The final official result can only be expected in two weeks.
Voice capture errors?
However, a possible mix-up in voting in the Hamburg-Langenhorn electoral district questions the FDP’s short re-entry into the citizens. In a polling station, the Liberals came to 22.4 percent after the simplified count on Sunday evening, the Greens, however, only 5.1 percent. Nationwide, the result was reversed. “This is definitely noticeable,” said regional election manager Oliver Rudolf of the German Press Agency. “I have already passed on the indication that there is an abnormality.”
If there had been a mix-up of the assignment, the FDP would have 423 fewer votes than previously assumed. Since the party as a whole is only 121 votes above the five percent hurdle according to the preliminary figures, this could lead to it missing the entry into the city parliament. “That can be crucial,” said Rudolf. All votes would be counted again on Monday anyway, so that an error would then also be found.
In addition, the #FDP an obvious mistake in the 43202 voting district. The results of the FDP and the Greens were probably exchanged here. If this is confirmed, the FDP will lose around 400 votes in this electoral district alone. pic.twitter.com/xJT8Ve8zEk
11 p.m .: Spahn: The result from Hamburg has to “wake us up”
Federal Minister of Health Jens Spahn described the CDU election defeat in Hamburg as a severe blow. “The result has to shake us all up a bit that there is a lot at stake,” said Spahn of the German Press Agency in Berlin. “This is Hamburg, this is Thuringia, this is the survey values, this is the situation of the federal party.”
Spahn, who is considered a possible successor for the outgoing CDU party leader Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, attended the reception of the NRW state representative at the Berlinale on Sunday evening. NRW Prime Minister Armin Laschet did not want to speak to dpa about the result of the elections in the Hanseatic city. “We don’t deal with Hamburg today, that’s an art and culture reception today.”
In his welcoming speech, Laschet dealt with the AfD’s performance. “The best thing would be if the radical right-wing party were no longer represented in the citizenship. That is the hope we have tonight.
10.30 p.m .: CDU election workers: “That was a slap in the face with an announcement”
The first election forecasts are a setback for the CDU: it is one of the worst state election results in 70 years. “It was a slap in the face with an announcement,” said a CDU campaign worker. The party headquarters in Hamburg had “finally reached zero”.
There was also criticism from the CDU leadership in Hamburg. The party’s top candidate in Hamburg, Marcus Weinberg, responded by blaming the historically poor result. The events in Thuringia “broke the neck” of the Hamburg CDU in the election campaign, he said. Thuringia “did not inspire the election campaign with all respect”. Hamburg’s CDU chief Roland Heintze told the German press agency: “The leadership crisis of our party in Berlin” also cost votes.
9:50 p.m .: 36 percent of Hamburg’s first voters voted for the Greens
The first voters in Hamburg showed a clear preference in the state election on Sunday: 36 percent of their votes go to the Greens, according to an evaluation by the Infratest dimap institute for the ARD. The SPD follows in second place with 24 percent, the left receives 13 percent. After all, seven percent of the first voters voted for the FDP – significantly more than the party as a whole is projected. The CDU only gets six percent of the votes among the first-time voters, the AfD only records two percent of the votes, as can be seen from the age group survey.
9:20 pm: Bernd Lucke is pleased with the poor AfD result
The co-founder of AFD. Bernd Lucke, is obviously happy about the loss of his ex-party in the election in Hamburg. “I find it very gratifying that the AfD did so badly. The terrible murders of Hanau became a memorial to the fact that xenophobia should not be used to make politics, “Lucke told the editorial network in Germany. Lucke co-founded the AfD in 2013, two years later he left the party after being voted out as federal spokesman.
20.55: AfD sees new ARD projection in Hamburg citizenship
After the Hamburg election, the AfD could move into the citizenship, according to an ARD projection. The party got 5.1 percent of the vote on Sunday evening, the FDP remained at 5.0.
Should the AfD fly out of the citizenship, this would be a first. They are currently represented in all 16 state parliaments. And it was of all places in Hamburg where they preceded Bürgerschaftswahl In February 2015, 6.1 percent moved to a West German state parliament for the first time.
8.45 p.m .: SPD wants to speak to the Greens – but also to the CDU
Hamburg’s first mayor Peter Tschentscher also wants to give the CDU a chance as a possible government partner. A coalition between red and green is the obvious option. “But we will also – if the majorities are confirmed – approach the CDU and hold a conversation,” said Tschentscher on ARD. The voters would have chosen these two options. He further said that the SPD would approach the Greens very soon to conduct exploratory talks. “That is the first priority we see,” said Tschentscher.
8:15 p.m .: SPD and Greens “scored points with local issues”
The SPD and the Greens scored high points in Hamburg with local issues. This was announced by the “Research Group Elections” on Sunday evening after an analysis. The parties would also win through expertise and their previous government work.
According to the analysis, the SPD owes its election victory above all to the generation from the age of 60 onwards, where it won 55 percent of the vote. The green became the strongest among those under 45.
According to their information, the figures of the research group elections are based on a telephone survey among 1,607 randomly selected voters in Hamburg in the week before the election and on the survey of 15,537 voters on the day of the election.
8:02 pm: AfD chief Chrupalla still expects to move into the citizenship
The AfD party leader Tino Chrupalla wants to wait for the result before an assessment of his party’s performance in the Hamburg elections. “As I said, we first have to wait for the evening, everything else would be coffee grounds reading,” he said on Sunday evening on ZDF. The AfD was only 4.7 percent in the projections of ARD and ZDF and might not be in parliament.
Chrupalla still expected his party to move into the citizenship: “You know, such evenings can be exciting.” Despite the election losses in the Hanseatic city, he does not see a general weakness of the AfD in western Germany. “Of course, I see a big loss here in Hamburg for the conservative bourgeois parties.”
7.15 p.m .: AfD no longer sees citizenship in the first projection
The SPD and the Greens have clearly won the general election in Hamburg. According to an initial projection by the ARD, the Social Democrats have 37.6 percent of the vote. The Greens can therefore more than double their result to 25.4 percent. Red-green can continue to govern. The CDU plunges to 11.4 percent, which is its nationwide worst state election result in almost 70 years. The AfD must fear 4.7 percent, the FDP 5.0 percent, about re-entering citizenship.
6.50 p.m .: Mayor Tschentscher celebrates the result
Hamburg’s Mayor Peter Tschentscher (SPD) was very pleased with the emerging outcome of the citizens’ election. “What a great evening,” said Tschentscher on Sunday evening at the SPD election party in Hamburg. When the Social Democrats turned two years ago after the then mayor’s departure Olaf Scholz as federal finance ministers reorganized to Berlin, none of this was taken for granted. The Hamburg SPD remains the leading, determining force in the Hanseatic city, said Tschentscher.
6.45 p.m .: Green sweeping bank wants to continue coalition
The green top candidate Katharina Fegebank has signaled its willingness to continue the red-green coalition in Hamburg. From the result, she deduces “that it should go on like this,” she says in the ARD. Your party would go into possible negotiations with the SPD “very confidently” and would campaign for issues such as climate protection and open society.
6.30 p.m .: Paul Ziemiak speaks of a bitter day for the CDU
CDU General Secretary Paul Ziemiak speaks of a bitter day for the CDU and a historically poor election result for the party in the Hanseatic city. “The events in Thuringia didn’t help, “says Ziemiak in a first reaction to the election forecast. Thuringia was anything but a tailwind.
6:28 pm: AfD top candidate Nockemann sees “exclusion campaign”
AfD top candidate Dirk Nockemann spoke after the likely departure of his party from the Hamburg citizenship of “result of a maximum exclusion campaign”. The AfD was constantly around 7 percent, but then it went down to Thuringia, said Nockemann on Sunday in the NDR. However, he emphasized that it was only a forecast. He was still confident.
6:21 pm: Kipping – Clear signal after “Fall of Erfurt”
The Left Party rates the poor performance of the CDU and FDP as a memo for the actions of both parties in Thuringia. The parties, which would vote in doubt with the AfD, were “punished”, said federal chairman Katja Kipping in Berlin. “After the fall of Erfurt, this signal was also necessary.”
6.20 p.m .: Green party leader Habeck expects the coalition to continue
Green party leader Robert Habeck evaluates the election result as a clear mandate to the SPD and Greens to continue their coalition. “If the SPD decided differently, I would look pretty stupid,” says Habeck on ZDF. For his party, it was the second best result nationwide at the state level.
6:19 p.m .: SPD supporters cheer
The supporters of the SPD and the Greens in Hamburg have hailed the poor performance of the AfD. “Nazis out”, they shouted at the election parties of their parties after the prognoses for the AfD became known. It could leave a state parliament for the first time.
“Nazis out”: The SPD celebrates the election victory – and is even louder in the AfD forecast. (Source: t-online.de)
6:01 p.m .: Silence at the AfD election party
According to initial forecasts, the AfD has probably not reached citizenship. The reaction at the AfD election party is corresponding. There was a dead silence at first, interspersed with horrified “What?”. Our reporter reports on site. Until a few minutes ago, none of those present would have expected this result.
5:38 p.m .: Voters can also vote without a voting form
It rains and is cold, reports t-online.de reporter Agata Strausa on site. People go to the polling station with their shoulders raised, for example at the district office in Eimsbüttel. But inside there is warmth, you meet friendly people, the mood is – positive to hopeful.
Here you will find election workers who are happy to help – even if you have left your voting rights at home. This happened to a couple here, the notification was sent to their old postal address in the electoral district, but they now live in a completely different district, namely Altona.
5.25 p.m .: The first official result is not expected until Monday evening
It will soon be time: the polling stations in Hamburg close at 6pm. The counting of votes is complicated. The state returning officer will only be able to announce the expected distribution of seats in the citizenship on Sunday evening. The preliminary official final result is not expected until Monday evening. The final official final result should be announced on March 11th.
The Social Democrats and Greens, who have ruled together since 2015, are eagerly awaiting the cut. Green top candidate Fegebank wants to take over the post of mayor of Tschentscher and make his SPD a junior partner.
16:56: turnout higher than in the last election
The general election in Hamburg on Sunday achieved a higher turnout than five years ago. By 4 p.m., 57 percent of those entitled to vote cast their vote, like that Country dialing line announced. There was no direct comparison value for the election five years ago, but at the time the turnout was only 56.5 percent. This was a historic low.
On Sunday it was already clear that more people were voting than five years ago. At 11 a.m., the turnout was 29.6 percent and at 2 p.m. 46.4 percent. The values were therefore significantly higher than at the same times when the election was held in 2015. The postal voters were also taken into account when calculating the turnout.
4.15 p.m .: Transport turnaround is an issue for many Hamburgers
Voter Cornelia Musolff (center) relies on young voters in the Hamburg election. You can go to the ballot box in Hamburg from the age of 16. Musolff told t-online.de reporter Agata Strausa that she and her friends had moved from polling station to polling station. Despite the bad weather, they were in a good mood. They were very interested in what others chose. For Musolff, the turnaround in traffic is particularly important. She says: “Cars have to get out of the city.”
Despite the “bad weather”, three voters went to the poll in Hamburg: They are curious about which choice the people in their city will probably make. (Source: Agata Strausa / t-online.de)
2:53 p.m .: Confirmation again for higher turnout
The latest figures suggest an increased turnout: At 2:00 p.m., the turnout is now 46.4 percent compared to the last election in 2015 at 38.5 percent.
2:29 pm: “We don’t want a car-free city”
Monika and Manfred Brinkmann say t-online.de reporter Agata Strausa: “We definitely don’t want a car-free city!” The parties in Hamburg are currently fighting for a compromise on the turnaround in traffic. One of the central points of controversy is whether car parking spaces will be used for public transport in the future.
Brinkmann couple: “Don’t want a car-free city.” (Source: t-online.de)
1:50 p.m .: Dial on the subway
Hamburg: Voting is requested in the train stations of the elevated railway. (Source: Agata Strausa / t-online.de)
Even the Hamburg Hochbahn is calling on the display boards in its stations to take part in the election, as t-online.de reporter Agata Strausa reports.
12.03 p.m .: Higher turnout is emerging
The morning election showed a higher turnout than the election five years ago. By 11 a.m., 29.6 percent of those entitled to vote cast their vote, as the state election management announced. In 2015, the stake was 24.2 percent at the same time. Letter voters are also taken into account in the calculation.
10.45 a.m .: Tschentscher and Fegebank voted
The top candidates from the SPD and the Greens for the elections in Hamburg cast their votes on Sunday. Mayor Peter Tschentscher of the SPD threw his ballot in the urn in the Barmbek community center in the morning. His Greens challenger, the second mayor Katharina Fegebank, did this almost simultaneously in the Uferstrasse vocational school in the Hanseatic city. It was in the polls SPD recently clearly ahead of the greens.
8.05 a.m .: Election of citizenship begins in Hamburg
The general election began in Hamburg on Sunday. At 8 a.m. the 1,283 polling stations in the Hanseatic city opened. A good 1.3 million Hamburgers aged 16 and over are eligible to vote. More than 300,000 postal ballot papers requested by them. Hamburg has a choice of 15 parties with 348 candidates on the state list. Another 564 applicants are on the constituency lists.
Each voter can cast five votes twice and distribute or accumulate them arbitrarily between parties and persons. The system that has been in place since the 2011 elections made the counting complicated. The state returning officer will only be able to announce the expected distribution of the 121 seats in the citizenship on Sunday evening. The preliminary official final result is not expected until Monday evening.
Saturday, February 22, 7:34 p.m .: How does Thuringia affect Hamburg?
The performance of the Social Democrats and Greens, who have ruled together since 2015, is being followed with interest. The second mayor and leading Green candidate Katharina Fegebank wants to take over the post of mayor from Peter Tschentscher (SPD). In surveys of the past weeks, however, the SPD was consistently ahead of the Greens. Christian Democrats and the FDP have been under great pressure since the government crisis in Thuringia. Both parties could choose the FDP-Politikers Thomas Kemmerich to the Prime Minister with votes from the CDU and AfD.
According to surveys, the FDP, in particular, has to worry about re-entering citizenship. It is currently just under five percent. However, moving in of the AfD is by no means certain.