How deadly is the corona virus in Germany?


Permanent use: undertaker in the largest cemetery in Brazil, the Vila Formosa in Sao Paolo
Image: Reuters

The proportion of deceased people among those infected varies widely internationally. Mortality is rather low in Germany – but it is increasing. How the numbers come about.

WIf you want to understand the dynamics of the corona epidemic and make predictions about various measures and their social consequences, then one question is of central importance: how many deaths are expected? Or more specifically: what is the mortality rate of Covid-19? Anyone who has ever had a look at the international figures will suspect that the answer is much more complicated than the question itself might suggest.

Sibylle Anderl

The percentage of people who died of Covid-19 was simply calculated on this basis: You divided the number of people who died of Covid-19 in a country by the official number of infected people. However, the national values ​​determined in this way deviate from one another to an astonishing extent: While the value in Germany has now risen to 1.3 percent according to the latest figures from the Robert Koch Institute (RKI), it lies in Italy according to the European Center for Prevention and Prevention Disease Control (ECDC) at 12.1 percent. Other countries such as Sweden (4.8 percent) or the Netherlands (8.6 percent) can be found somewhere in between. This spread can have two different causes: it could be due to national differences, such as different capacities of the health systems or different age structures of the population. However, it could also be based on the different determination of the number of cases and deaths.

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“The serious illnesses often run in two phases”


Detect infections early: smear center on the exhibition grounds in Heidelberg’s Kirchheim district
Picture: dpa

Hans-Georg Kräusslich, Head of Virology at Heidelberg University Hospital, talks about successful strategies to alleviate the severity of Covid 19 diseases, medical corona taxis and excessively high mortality rates.

Professor Kräusslich, the university clinic in Heidelberg, like all other hospitals in the country, has been preparing for the worst for weeks. What can you expect in the next few days?

Joachim Müller-Jung

Joachim Müller-Jung

Editor in the feature section, responsible for the “Nature and Science” department.

At the moment we are seeing a stable number of new infections for a week, possibly a slight decrease in a day or two, but this is not yet certain. In the clinic we recently had more severe courses, since younger holidaymakers are now affected by older people after an initial infection. But at the moment we expect that the capacities at Heidelberg University Hospital should be sufficient, provided that nothing significant changes. In this regard, we are particularly concerned about infections in old people’s homes and nursing homes, and here we have therefore developed a detailed strategy for containment with the authorities.

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Virologist Georg Kräusslich on the course of a corona disease


Detect infections early: smear center on the exhibition grounds in Heidelberg’s Kirchheim district
Picture: dpa

Hans-Georg Kräusslich, Head of Virology at Heidelberg University Hospital, talks about successful strategies to alleviate the severity of Covid 19 diseases, medical corona taxis and excessively high mortality rates.

Professor Kräusslich, the university clinic in Heidelberg, like all other hospitals in the country, has been preparing for the worst for weeks. What can you expect in the next few days?

Joachim Müller-Jung

Joachim Müller-Jung

Editor in the feature section, responsible for the “Nature and Science” department.

At the moment we are seeing a stable number of new infections for a week, possibly a slight decrease in a day or two, but this is not yet certain. In the clinic we recently had more severe courses, since younger holidaymakers are now affected by older people after an initial infection. But at the moment we expect that the capacities at Heidelberg University Hospital should be sufficient, provided that nothing significant changes. In this regard, we are particularly concerned about infections in old people’s homes and nursing homes, and here we have therefore developed a detailed strategy for containment with the authorities.

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Coronavirus: Australian hospitals running out of masks

  • 15 million Australians could catch the virus in a few months
  • Shock therapy of angry teachers in the fight against viruses in schools

The multi-billion dollar Coronavirus economic response package received the final tick of approval in the House of Representatives around 11pm Monday evening.

Treasurer Josh Frydenberg said that the economic measures, described as the most significant since wartime, were designed to build a bridge to recovery from the other side of the virus.

“We know that the economic situation has deteriorated over the days,” he said at a late night press conference in Parliament.

“The Australian people can be sure that their parliament has reached political division tonight.

“We face an enemy who has no flag and has no face.

“We must deploy every weapon in our arsenal to defeat it.”

The treasurer said he expected around one million Australians to receive the coronavirus supplement.

DENIED FACE MASKS OF AUXILIARY HOSPITALS FROM STOCKPILE

Eighty Catholic hospitals that supply 10% of the nation’s public hospital beds are running out of masks, gloves, clothing and other protective equipment, while COVID-19 extends the system.

Catholic Health Australia calls on the Morrison government to urgently release stocks of personal protective equipment (PPE) to hospital staff – some of whom have a supply of less than a week – as the stocks in its network reach extremely low levels.

People lined up for coronavirus tests at Royal Melbourne Hospital. Image: Tim Carrafa
media_cameraPeople lined up for coronavirus tests at Royal Melbourne Hospital. Image: Tim Carrafa

The Catholic network employs tens of thousands of nurses and clinical staff.

“Requests from Catholic hospitals to access stocks of clothing, masks and gloves have been met with confusion, the passage of dollars between states and the Commonwealth and even a diktat that supplies supplies will only be released to publicly owned hospitals” Pat Patcia, CEO of Catholic Health Australia said.

The COVID -19 clinic at St Vincent's Hospital in Sydney, Australia. Image: Getty Images
media_cameraThe COVID -19 clinic at St Vincent’s Hospital in Sydney, Australia. Image: Getty Images

Nearly one in ten public hospital beds are in Catholic hospitals, but because they are not directly owned by the state, they are denied access to supplies, he said.

In some cases, stocks of personal protective equipment in Catholic hospitals would run out in less than a week, prompting Mr. Garcia to write to state, territorial and federal health ministers warning of the impending shortage.

“We can’t have a situation where thousands of doctors and nurses treat unprotected people – it’s a shocking situation for patients, staff and the community in general. We need every weapon in our arsenal to fight coronavirus and masks, clothes and gloves are the bases. It would be like sending our fireworks to fight fires without trucks. “

Garcia said that Catholic hospitals are conducting clinical trials, treating COVID-19 patients and increasing the capacity in their emergency departments and departments to relieve pressure on public hospitals.

“We are working with all members of the wider healthcare network to combat this virus. All we ask for is the same access to the public network and a clear and efficient way for our staff to obtain supplies of PPE (personal protective equipment) in a timely manner. ) “.

People are seen in a long line outside a Centrelink office in Melbourne's Abbotsford. Image: AAP
media_cameraPeople are seen in a long line outside a Centrelink office in Melbourne’s Abbotsford. Image: AAP

The general manager of the group of San Giovanni di Dio, dr. Shane Kelly, who runs 17 hospitals in Western Australia, Victoria and New South Wales, said time is running out.

“Starting today, if I can’t get more PPE titles, some of my hospitals will end in a week. To protect nurses, doctors and other health care workers and help reduce infections, we need sufficient supplies of gloves, clothes and masks to continue operating and we are not getting the right information on how we can access the inventory.

“We have tried to do everything we can to manage supplies, but we cannot and will not compromise the safety of our staff and ultimately of our patients,” he said.

GYMS CLOSED: CAN I RESET MY REGISTRATION RATES?

Two of Australia’s leading gyms will freeze member payments after the federal government has expanded its blockade.

Prime Minister Scott Morrison announced on Sunday that non-essential services, including hospitality venues, places of worship, cinemas and gyms, would be closed in an attempt to stop the spread of the deadly coronavirus.

In a Facebook statement, Goodlife Health Clubs said that its gyms would be “temporarily closed” nationwide and that an “automatic block” had been placed on members. He said it would provide members with “a whole range of online training content”.

Fitness First also used social media to warn that customer signups had been blocked, adding that it would provide members with home training materials.

News Corp asked Fitness First, Goodlife Health Clubs, Jetts Fitness Australia, Anytime Fitness, Zap Fitness, Virgin Active and F45 directly about whether members will have the option to cancel their contracts in advance, if a refund will be offered to members. who paid in advance and whether clubs will face permanent closure if the ban lasts at least six months.

Mount Waverley's Muscle City gym is seen empty after the gyms are forced to close. Image: Getty
media_cameraMount Waverley’s Muscle City gym is seen empty after the gyms are forced to close. Image: Getty

Fitness Australia is seeking clarifications on the time of the closings, which will remain in effect until midnight on April 13th, but may be extended.

Fitness Australia is seeking clarifications on the time of the closings, which will remain in effect until midnight on April 13th, but may be extended.

Simon Thompson, an executive officer of the collective wellness group that is responsible for the Anytime Fitness franchises, told News Corp that he was working with clubs to find a solution.

“Yesterday, the government announced a temporary shutdown of non-essential services, including gyms, starting at noon today, Monday 23 March 2020, which subsequently led to the temporary shutdown of all Anytime Fitness Australia clubs,” said Thompson. in a note.

In light of this, we are working closely with our individually owned and managed partners to find the best solution for our 560,000 members. At this stage, our priority is to inform our members directly and we hope to confirm the next steps as soon as possible. “

Earlier, the CEO of Fitness Australia, Barrie Elvish, said in a statement: “It is not yet clear whether the services offered in the fitness sector can continue to function.

“For example, can a PT (personal trainer) continue to train a client indoors in a 1: 1 environment provided that all social distance measures are in place? Or can these services only be offered outdoors? “

The sector body is also looking for clarifications on the closure deadline, which will remain in force until midnight on April 13th, but could be extended.

It was vital that people continue to remain active during social distancing, he said.

“Staying active during a period of isolation and uncertainty is extremely important for our mental health and as an industry, it is our mission to ensure that people can continue to exercise safely,” he said.

HUNTING FOR CRUISE PASSENGERS

The hunt for potentially infected passengers aboard Princess Ruby was handed over to the military with Defense personnel sent to COVID-19 civilian coordination centers across the country.

The cruise ship Ruby Princess obtained permission to dock and disembark in Sydney last Thursday, despite the results of ongoing tests on those showing coronavirus symptoms.

Passengers were allowed to disperse nationally and it has since been confirmed that there were 2,700 infected people on board; it is one of the five cruise ships that docked in Australia with the crates they could land on board.

Defense confirmed that staff from the reconnaissance and planning support teams have been incorporated into COVID-19 civilian coordination centers in New South Wales, Victoria, Queensland, Northern Territory and Western Australia.

They are tracking passengers on those ships in each state with additional staff waiting for a call.

Cruise ship passengers disembarked from Princess Cruises' Ruby Princess at Circular Quay on Thursday. Image: AAP
media_cameraCruise ship passengers disembarked from Princess Cruises’ Ruby Princess at Circular Quay on Thursday. Image: AAP

The deployment adds to the dozens of staff who provide clinical and epidemiological support to national health operations and even to the production of facial masks and hand sanitizers.

Defense Minister Linda Reynolds said the teams are contributing to the “overall strength and resilience of the Australian health system in this difficult time”.

“These ADF teams will provide logistical, transportation, healthcare and general planning assistance as the workload of civilian medical teams continues to increase as more Australians are diagnosed or affected by COVID-19,” he said. Senator Reynolds.

“The defense continues to follow the advice of the Australian health authorities in prioritizing its support arrangements.

Nine Defense staff members have been diagnosed with COVID-19 including six in New South Wales.

The death toll rises in Europe

Spain extended its blockade until after Easter as the country’s death toll rises, with health workers representing 12% of the total coronavirus cases.

The Spanish government warned that the worst was “yet to come”, as nurses and doctors are bearing the brunt of the outbreak there, which has reported nearly 30,000 infections.

Further tests were expected to increase that number again, with Spain becoming the new epicenter as it followed Italy’s deadly path.

A conference center in Madrid was being set up as a makeshift military hospital, with images showing structures similar to some of the hospitals used during the Spanish flu in 1918.

A man wearing a protective mask collapses in Rome. Image: Getty
media_cameraA man wearing a protective mask collapses in Rome. Image: Getty
Medical staff assists man. Image: Getty
media_cameraMedical staff assists man. Image: Getty

Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez said: “Unfortunately the number of diagnosed cases will increase in the coming days.

“The worst is yet to come and is pushing our capabilities to the limit.”

The death toll in Italy rose yesterday with 651 more deaths, bringing the total to 5476, while the country desperately tries to extend its blockade to prevent further outbreaks.

Health workers facing the coronavirus crisis cheer in exchange for police cheers outside Bellvitge hospital near Barcelona. Image: AFP
media_cameraHealth workers facing the coronavirus crisis cheer in exchange for police cheers outside Bellvitge hospital near Barcelona. Image: AFP

The death toll announced on Monday in Australia (Sunday local time) was less than nearly 1000 dead on Saturday local time, but it was too early to tell if the virus had peaked.

The head of the Italian civil protection service Angelo Borrelli, who manages the country’s response, was cautious that the blockade in progress since March 8 was starting to work.

“The figures announced today are lower than yesterday’s,” he said.

“I hope and we all hope that these figures can be confirmed in the coming days. But don’t let your guard down. “

The UK will appeal to the army to deliver parcels of food to up to 1.5 million people while asking sick, vulnerable and elderly people to stay home for 12 weeks.

The UK was sending letters to people over 70 and others considered at risk asking them to stay home.

Passengers stop on an underground Central Line train at Stratford station, East London, despite guidelines for social distance. Image: AFP
media_cameraPassengers stop on an underground Central Line train at Stratford station, East London, despite guidelines for social distance. Image: AFP

He will also be offered help with army-coordinated food and medicine spills if they don’t have a support network to keep them going.

British Prime Minister Boris Johnson said the UK must step up its measures, but stops at a complete blockade with police patrolling the streets.

French army soldiers set up tents while building a military hospital in Mulhouse, eastern France. Image: AA)
media_cameraFrench army soldiers set up tents while building a military hospital in Mulhouse, eastern France. Image: AA)

In France, the first doctor died when the toll hit 674, with nearly 16,018 cases in which the terrible toll rose 112 in one day.

The country has ordered 250 million masks as it tries to slow the epidemic.

There were 1,746 coronavirus patients in intensive care, with 35% of those under the age of 65, who had broken theories that it was a disease that only affected the elderly.

Germany has banned meetings of more than two people, with the exception of families, since her chancellor Angela Merkel entered quarantine after being treated by a doctor who has the coronavirus.

Passengers at a subway station in Shanghai. Image: AFP
media_cameraPassengers at a subway station in Shanghai. Image: AFP

Merkel was told of her doctor’s positive test after holding a press conference, raising concerns that she might have spread the virus if she had also been infected. Hairdressers in Germany will also close now, with new penalties in place for at least two weeks. Germany has almost 24,000 cases but a mortality rate of only 0.3 percent.

India has 396 cases, but it is feared that up to 300 million will contract the disease if it manages to take over the second most populous country in the world.

In Pakistan, telephone companies exchanged ringtones when people called for warning messages on COVID-19, while doctors and nurses posted images of bruises on their faces from protective equipment during patient treatment.

Pakistan has 730 cases so far, but there were concerns about a higher death toll due to the country’s already struggling health system compared to western hospitals.

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How does COVID-19 coronavirus compare to influenza? – Health

Many people who get sick with new coronavirus experience mild, flu-like symptoms.

But COVID-19 is not equal to the flu.

So far, the new coronavirus appears to be more contagious, more deadly and has more potential to overwhelm the health care system.

Here’s how the two compare.

The ways in which COVID-19 and flu are similar

Viruses cause both flu and COVID-19, and their early symptoms are often very similar.

They can cause fever, cough and sore throat and in both cases the symptoms can range from mild to fatal.

Although none of us have any immunity to the new coronavirus, research shows that our immune systems respond the same way as influenza.

The immune cells that emerge in the blood before patients recover from COVID-19 are the same cells that we see in people before they recover from the flu.

Since both viruses are transmitted in the same way, via respiratory droplets, both require good hygiene and adequate respiratory labeling.

This means washing your hands frequently and thoroughly, covering your cough and sneezing with your elbow or a tissue and, if you are sick, avoid contact with others.

COVID-19 is more contagious

Epidemiologists use a couple of different measures to understand how far a virus is likely to spread.

One of these is called the “base play number”, otherwise known as R null, or R0.

R0 refers to the number of secondary infections generated by an infected individual, said Sanjaya Senanyake, an infectious disease specialist from the Australian National University.

“For COVID-19, that number goes from 2 to 2.5. This means that a person with COVID-19 continues to infect two or two and a half people,” said Dr. Senanyake.

This figure is higher than that of influenza, for which R0 varies, but it is estimated to be around 1.3.

This means that the new coronavirus is about twice as contagious as the flu.

Follow our coronavirus coverage

What coronavirus experts say:

COVID-19, however, appears to spread somewhat slower than influenza, which has a shorter incubation period (the time from infection to the onset of symptoms).

“When we talk about infectivity … the other measure is something we call a serial interval, which is the speed between infections,” said Dr. Senanyake.

While pre-symptomatic transmission (when the virus spreads before symptoms appear) is an important flu transmission factor, COVID-19 is not likely to be the case.

While there are people who can get rid of the COVID-19 virus 24-48 hours before showing symptoms, according to the World Health Organization (WHO), this doesn’t seem to be a driving factor in its spread.

COVID-19 is more deadly

Most people who get the new coronavirus or flu will improve.

“Eighty percent of people with COVID-19 have only mild to moderate disease that lasts around two weeks,” said Dr. Senanyake.

However, the fraction of people who develop severe disease with COVID-19 is higher than it is for the flu.

According to the WHO, 15% of COVID-19 cases are serious infections that require oxygen and 5% are critical infections that require ventilation.

The mortality rate for COVID-19 also appears to be higher than that of influenza, particularly seasonal influenza.

“For seasonal flu it tends to be around 0.1 percent,” said Dr. Senanyake.

This equates to about one in 1,000 people.

At a rate of 1%, COVID-19 would be about 10 times more deadly than seasonal flu, which is estimated to kill between 290,000 and 650,000 people worldwide every year.

But the real mortality rate will take some time to fully understand, as there are many mild cases that have probably not been reported yet.

Those most at risk

The people in the community most at risk of serious flu are:

  • children,
  • pregnant women,
  • Senior citizens,
  • people with chronic conditions (such as asthma),
  • people who have compromised the immune system.

For COVID-19, those most at risk are:

  • people who have recently been to a high-risk country or region (Mainland China, Iran, Italy or Korea),
  • people who have been in close contact with someone who has a confirmed case of COVID-19,
  • Senior citizens,
  • people with chronic medical conditions,
  • people who have compromised the immune system,
  • Aboriginal peoples and of the islands of the Torres Strait (as they present higher rates of chronic diseases).

But health experts have warned younger adults not to be pleased with their risk, as it is not impossible for them to have a serious form of the disease or even die from it.

While children are the key drivers of influenza transmission in the community, initial data from the COVID-19 pandemic suggest that children are much less affected than adults.

No treatment for COVID-19

Unlike the flu, for which we have antiviral medicines and vaccines, there are currently no vaccines or drugs authorized for COVID-19, although there are several in development.

While the flu shot is not effective against coronavirus, it is highly recommended that you be vaccinated whenever possible.

“What we don’t want is for people to get flu and COVID-19 at the same time,” said Dr. Senanyake.

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Covid-19’s worst 24 hours in Europe’s most affected country

Italy recorded an additional 475 deaths associated with Covid-19 in just 24 hours. It was the worst day of the outbreak of this new coronavirus in what has for weeks been the country in the world with the most confirmed and dead cases after China, the epicenter of the pandemic.

And with these black numbers (2,978 people have already lost to this infection), Italy is approaching the balance registered in China, more than 3,200 dead. Italian health services have identified 4,207 new cases in the past 24 hours, another record number.

Lombardy, the Milan region, remains the hardest hit, with about two-thirds of the deaths recorded.

Doctors, nurses and assistants share images of a scenario of public calamity that seems impossible to contain.

On the other hand, there were 1084 people reported this Wednesday as recovered, bringing to more than 4,000 the number of people who were infected in Italy and have already been discharged.

Altogether, Italy has more than 35 thousand registered cases of infection, of which 28,700 are still active, among them almost 2,700 are health professionals.

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Coronavirus Melbourne: the man stabbed Rosebud Woolworths amid panic purchases in supermarkets

This coronavirus article is unlocked and free to read in the interest of community health and safety. For full access to Herald Sun / Le Joined journalism, sign up here.

Violence is breaking out in Melbourne supermarkets after a Brunswick worker was allegedly beaten with a stick and a man stabbed on the Mornington Peninsula.

The 37-year-old staff member of Woolworths was stabbed in the lower body while picking up carts in the parking lot outside the Rosebud store just before 13:00.

A search is underway for the perpetrator of the male offense described as aged between the late 1930s and early 1940s.

The injured staff member was flown to the hospital with non-fatal injuries.

The accident was investigated by the police, who registered the area.

Woolworths was contacted for comment.

Witness Deb said the Woolworths store was closed and blocked by police.

He told 3AW that there were three police cars and two ambulances on the scene.

“We’ve all seen them running in there,” he said. “It’s actually quite scary.”

The incident comes after days of tension among shoppers who sometimes fight for limited stocks on the shelves including toilet paper, soap and other essential items due to the purchase of panic.

Meanwhile, an angry client accused of hitting a Coles employee with a stick in Brunswick has been charged.

The 43-year-old man was detained in an arrest by a group of clients around 20.30 on Sunday.

Police spokeswoman Nikki Ladgrove confirmed the incident in the Sydney Rd shop but said the staff member did not request medical attention.

“A passerby who intervened and assisted suffered minor injuries during the accident,” he said.

“The 43-year-old man was accused of carelessly causing injury, illegal assault, assault with a weapon, and possession of a dangerous item.”

Customer and Coles staff members fight over toilet paper

Another fight broke out in a supermarket.

The man was released on bail to appear before the Melbourne Magistrates’ Court on July 30th.

In east Melbourne, the mega Chadstone mall is oddly empty as shoppers keep away from the usually bustling mall.

Buyer Chrissie said the center was a “ghost town” with several closed stores, including Apple and New Balance.

“The parking lots are all empty. There are only a few cars around, “he said.

“I can’t believe what a ghost town is. It’s so disturbing inside the center.

“Many stores are closed and the atmosphere is so low. I have been coming here for years and have never seen him like this – he is so sad. “

media_cameraChadstone has been turned into a ghost town. Image: provided
media_cameraThe usually lively parking lot was also almost empty. Image: provided

“THE SUPERMARKET TOURISTS” ARE LEFT FOR THE SERIOUS ACT

Loads of people have arrived in regional cities in the past few days and have stripped supermarket shelves.

It comes as anger scenes erupted in Woolworths Victorian supermarkets this morning during an hour of shopping for the elderly and vulnerable.

Victoria’s number of coronavirus infections continues to rise after 23 people tested positive overnight, including an elementary school teacher in southeast Melbourne.

And in regional cities, local residents have been unable to purchase viable supplies due to the influx of “supermarket tourists”.

media_camera“Supermarket tourists” are cleaning up regional shops with toilet rolls and other necessities. File image: Peter Parks / AFP

Reverend Melissa Clark, of St Mary’s in Woodend, told al Herald Sun local residents were now unable to buy goods because people went down to the city to buy food.

“Many regional cities are experiencing this,” he said.

“People come in from Melbourne and other parts who are clearing out the supermarket.

“Buses of people have come in the past few days. People come from Mornington.

“We just need a break. We love having tourists here in Woodend, but not tourists in supermarkets. “

Rev Clark said she was concerned about older people in the city and pregnant women.

“We have several elderly people and women who will soon give birth and cannot get the essentials they need,” he said.

“The shelves are empty. It doesn’t matter what time of day or night you go.

media_cameraThe buyers were unhappy and spirits flared up. Image: Mark Stewart

“I tried to get supplies for the elders in my congregation and the best I could do was some frozen meals.”

Woodend, which has a population of around 5000, has a Coles in the city.

Rev Clark said the situation has been replicated in other cities including Daylesford and Gisborne.

“We are a close-knit community and thrive in tourism, but this is difficult,” said Rev Clark.

“We only need a couple of days to refuel. Coles staff was wonderful. They are dealing with some difficult customers who are frustrated and doing a great job. “

In the Macedon Ranges, libraries, municipal service counters, community sports centers and the Kyneton Museum have been closed for at least a month, with events postponed or canceled.

Nurseries operated by the Council and maternal and child health centers will remain open until otherwise indicated by state government departments.

media_cameraDrivers flocked to Woolworths in Glen Huntly this morning. Image: Mark Stewart

THE PURPOSE OF PURCHASE IS EXPIRED

Tennis champion Dylan Alcott has pleaded that fearful shoppers are kinder to the disabled community while panic shoppers continue to wreak havoc in supermarkets.

Alcott, winner of the Grand Slam in Wimbledon and the United States, France and the Australian Open, said he appreciated Woolworths’ decision to open its stores exclusively for the elderly and disabled from 7 to 8 from today until Friday.

“I won’t lie, this will be extremely useful for so many in our community, including me,” Alcott said on Instagram today.

“I went to the shops the other day and it was carnage, and I am more capable than some. It continues to be kind to each other in this very strange time,” he added. “And cross your fingers and get some toilet paper.”

Shoppers across the country swarmed Woolworths supermarkets this morning, but many remained empty-handed or unable to find the essentials.

media_cameraShoppers waited in long lines to purchase groceries during Woolworth’s dedicated shopping hour. Image: Mark Stewart

On Woolworth’s early morning of a new hour dedicated to shopping for the elderly and vulnerable, the queues outside were as long as hundreds waited outside the stores nationwide before opening.

And in another move today, Coles has introduced new purchasing limits, including two packs per customer: eggs, chilled pasta, frozen vegetables and frozen desserts.

In Glen Huntly in southeast Melbourne, shoppers anxiously waited at the front of the store only to be disappointed.

Glen Huntly’s 76-year-old retired Pat Riordan remained empty-handed.

“I wanted to get toilet paper, paper towels and mince and there was none,” he said.

“I asked in the store and they said they didn’t receive a delivery last night.”

While retired Gillian Phillips, 66, and her husband Rodney, 74, from Caulfield East, said they were able to get some items.

“We got soap and antibacterial tissues that they handed out when you entered the store,” said Ms. Phillips.

“I thought they would have more supplies.”

The supermarket was warning customers in line before they entered that they had limited resources.

media_cameraShoppers flood a Woolworths supermarket in Moonee Ponds this morning. Image: Twitter / Remy Varga

Many furious customers were warming up conversations with each other, with some even trying to push in the queue.

Traffic was spreading across the parking lot and on the street with many furious customers blowing horns to nearby buyers as tensions increased.

There were angry scenes as many were unable to find parking, they came to find the empty shelves and the EFTPOS machines were not working.

Some furious shoppers packed their bags and left before setting foot in the store, abandoning their grocery offerings after being discouraged by huge queues.

Casey Hunt said she was “disgusted” after finding empty shelves when she visited Woolworths in Hampton Park during her special shopping hour this morning.

“The shelves were not stocked. My 79-year-old grandfather and others were forced to wait for the cold for nothing, “said Hunt.

“They need to endure early morning shopping until the shelves are stocked – all my grandfather ended up buying today were his mints – nothing else.”

In North Melbourne, 79-year-old Dora Puglisi woke up at 5 this morning to be front row at Woolworths.

He bought rolls of toilet paper, tissue paper, pasta and milk.

It was one of the lucky few, with most of the older buyers losing their toilet paper because there was no overnight delivery.

media_cameraShoppers are waiting for the dedicated shopping hour to end in North Melbourne. Image: Aneeka Simonis

Ms. Puglisi has driven into the shop for the past few days to pick up items without success. “I felt very bad,” he said.

A group of around 50 older shoppers took the dedicated shopping hour in the North Melbourne store. Some were assisted by assistants.

Among the buyers was Dawn Fuller, 61, visiting Wagga Wagga.

He said older shoppers were disappointed and stressed about finding empty shelves.

“You should have seen the disappointment on their faces,” he said. “There should have been an inscription to say that the stock hasn’t arrived yet.”

Ms. Fuller has been unable to purchase toilet paper or wipes for two weeks and has spent the last few days driving from shop to shop looking for items.

He will continue his research today.

Heather, who didn’t provide a surname, left a cart full of stash.

But he said essential items like rice and flour were not yet available.

media_cameraThe scenes in Blackburn North were more subdued. Image: Jack Paynter

To the east of Melbourne, hundreds of older shoppers lined up in Woolworths, Blackburn North.

A handful of customers were also lined up pending a delivery of toilet paper, which the store had been waiting for three days to arrive.

Nunawading woman, Barbara, 68, took her 96-year-old mom Mabel at 6.50 to stock up on essential supplies.

“It was quite civil, it’s very sad, it actually brought me to tears,” said Barbara, who didn’t want to give her surname.

“They are doing a great job, we thanked the manager and that’s all you can do.”

He said they weren’t able to get everything they needed since many products hadn’t been stocked.

“There is still no toilet paper, people are waiting in line, delivery is delayed,” said Barbara.

“There is also some humor in there, people are offering to exchange goods.”

He also praised supermarkets for spending an hour on the elderly while his mother struggled to get in among everyone else.

Mabel said she hoped she would have enough supplies at home and that she would only come back tomorrow if she had to.

media_cameraTraffic chaos in the parking lot of Glen Huntly supermarket. Image: Mark Stewart

TRINITY COLLEGE, ST KEVIN’S, TOORAK PRIMARY CLOSE

Elite Trinity College private school closed in an attempt to curb the spread of coronavirus.

Principal Adrian Farrer wrote to his parents today, telling them that the students would not be back tomorrow and would instead study from home.

“We didn’t make this decision lightly. We believe it is in the best interest of our students and our entire community, “he said.

“We worked last week to prepare for this possibility and will continue to devote school resources to ensure that teaching and classroom learning can continue as effectively as possible.

“At this stage, all other student and parent activities have been canceled or postponed.”

It comes after the closure of Toorak Primary School this morning after a staff member tested positive for coronavirus.

media_cameraTrinity Grammar has closed. File image: Jake Nowakowski

– Is your child’s school closed? Email news@heraldsun.com.au

The staff was at the school gate this morning, driving families away. The school will be closed today for an initial 24-hour period which could be extended.

Investigations are underway to trace the disease and determine who else may have been exposed after the staff member fell ill on Friday, March 13.

“This morning they are conducting further investigations by the DHHS, the school and the DET to identify whether staff or students are required to quarantine and to determine any further actions to reduce the risk of infection,” said a DET spokesman. .

“Regional staff are at school this morning to advise parents who have not read the closure reports.”

But education minister James Merlino said that the advice on schools has not changed.

“We will come to a point where we need to close schools, but not right now,” he said.

On current advice, thousands of government, independent and Catholic schools will remain open.

The coronavirus crisis prompted more private schools to decide to keep students at home, with a principal who sparked a war of words with the federal government over allegations of inaction.

School the 'best place' for children amid coronavirus

Education minister Dan Tehan says the “best place” for children right now is at school, but told Sky News that the advice would be evaluated daily. A ban on mass gatherings of at least 500 people started on Monday, but the government stressed that it would not include schools, universities or public transportation. Speaking to Sky News, Tehan said the government was advised to keep schools open. “The best advice they can give us at the moment is that schools should remain open at this stage. The best place for children is at school, “he said.” There are three million schoolchildren in Australia and we must make sure that we do the best by all of them, by their families and by the community, by limiting the spread of the virus. “Tehan He also warned that if schools were closed, this could make certain sectors of the workforce vulnerable as workers took free time to take care of their children. “There are also workforce problems, we currently need nurses, doctors and allied health workers in the workforce. So, we want to make sure they can be there and not take care of their children, “he said.

“I understand that parents are anxious about this problem and what it means for their children,” said Merlin.

“The facts are that schools are informed on a daily basis, sometimes several times a day.”

Some schools are staggering lunchtime, where possible, to limit numbers on the playground.

Responding to reports that soap was running out, Merlin said all resource-less facilities will be supported.

Yesterday, Victoria’s Chief Health Officer, Brett Sutton, said there was “real uncertainty” about the effectiveness of school closings, while Premier Daniel Andrews warned that “it could do more harm than good.” The nation’s health experts will continue to discuss today whether schools should remain open.

With the school holidays starting March 27, the Herald Sun the state government has been told it is seeking to extend the deadline beyond April 14.

Professor Sutton said that evidence of school closures during previous respiratory epidemics showed that “costs are often underestimated and benefits overestimated.”

He said keeping children at home brought health workers to the forefront and asked grandparents to help out, putting them at risk.

The professor. Sutton added that the virus has so far proven to be “extremely mild” among children. Andrews said closing schools en masse is still not appropriate.

St Kevin’s College in Toorak will also go online only from tomorrow.

THE MASKS ARRIVE, THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE VACCINE CONTINUES

About 230,000 new P2 facial masks have arrived in Australia and will be delivered to states, pathological clinics and general practitioners where patient samples are taken for coronavirus tests. Health Minister Greg Hunt said the additional masks are part of an “ongoing process” to secure and support further testing.

Hunt also said that Australian researchers from the Doherty Institute of Victoria and the University of Queensland “are helping to lead the world” in the search for a COVID-19 vaccine.

“Professor Katherine Kedzierska (of the Doherty Institute) led the immune response mapping, arguably the world’s most advanced mapping of the immune response to coronavirus in mild to moderate patients,” he said.

COUNCIL WESTERN ROUTE IN LOCKDOWN

The city of Maribyrnong has closed its community centers, recreation centers and public libraries from today until mid-April.

Maribyrnong Mayor Sarah Carter said the decision was not taken lightly and invited event organizers to “seriously consider” the community’s best interest.

“The health and well-being of our community and our employees is our priority and we must work together to do everything possible to slow the spread of COVID-19 in the community,” he said.

“The federal government has ordered that there are no meetings of at least 500 people and all community events that meet these criteria will be canceled.

“We also ask small event organizers to seriously consider whether they should proceed in the interest of community well-being.

“There is no precedent for this, but I want the members of the community to have the certainty that we are doing everything to ensure their safety.”

Board meetings have also been closed to the public and will be available for viewing via live streaming.

Residents were asked to contact the council by phone or email.

Essential services including waste, recycling, park management and parking services will function normally.

THE VICTORIAN AGING CARE HOMES COME IN BLOCK

Eleven nursing homes for the elderly in the suburbs of Melbourne will go on lockdown today in an attempt to combat the deadly coronavirus.

The Catholic houses of Villa Maria have confirmed that no visitor would have been authorized in any of his residences for the elderly for at least two weeks.

The blockade will affect the homes of Berwick, Bundoora, Clayton, Mulgrave, Bacchus Marsh, Pakenham, Torquay, Sunshine North, Balwyn, Wantirna and Upper Ferntree Gully.

The organization is also closing community-based daytime relief services at the Shanagolden Community Center, Kialla House, Carinya House and White Road Community Center.

In addition, the VMCH op stores in Balwyn, Heathmont, Wantirna and Ferntree Gully will be closed.

CEO Sonya Smart said the blockade is necessary for the safety of residents and staff.

“This decision was not made lightly, with a deep understanding of the importance of contact with family and loved ones,” said Smart.

Premier Daniel Andrews yesterday declared a state of emergency in Victoria for the next four weeks while the state is struggling with the coronavirus pandemic.

media_cameraA woman is tested for coronaviruses at Royal Melbourne Hospital. Image: Tony Gough

As of yesterday evening, 336 Australians had contracted the virus and five had died, with 71 cases identified in Victoria as a state of emergency.

Yesterday it was predicted that 50,000 Australians could die of coronavirus if the more conservative modeling of the Australian government comes true.

Deputy Manager Paul Kelly said the government was examining the possibility that between 20 and 60 percent of the country’s 25 million citizens contracted the killer virus, with a one percent mortality rate.

It wouldn’t say exactly how many government forecasts, only that it was somewhere between 60% of German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s prediction and NSW Health’s modeling of Dr. Kerry Chant of 20%.

“It’s something in the range, I’m not going to speculate on real numbers,” said Professor Kelly on Monday.

“This is an infectious disease. The more we can do to separate people and stop the spread of infection, the better.

“The mortality rate is around one percent. You can do the math. “

– Additional reports: Alex White, Grace McKinnon, Jack Paynter, Suzan Delibasic, Tom Minear and Nui Te Koha

READ MORE

EVENTS CANCELED OR DELAYED SO FAR

SUPERMARKETS TO CLOSE FOR RESTORATION

QANTAS LEAVES MOST OF INTERNATIONAL FLIGHTS

ASX OPENS HIGHER BLOOD BLOOD BLOOD

NEW LIMITS OF ALDI AND COLES AS UPSET OF WOOL CUSTOMERS

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Why all the Corona epidemic numbers are so uncertain


In the intensive care unit of a hospital in Wuhan on January 24th
Picture: dpa

Between 60 and 70 percent of the population will be infected with the corona virus – says the Chancellor. How does this number come about? Why the epidemic statistics are so uncertain.

Dhe existential uncertainty that almost everyone can feel in the corona pandemic has to do with the many uncertainties in our knowledge of the virus. It is reinforced by our handling of the available knowledge. This becomes clear every day when new statistics appear.

Joachim Müller-Jung

Joachim Müller-Jung

Editor in the feature section, responsible for the “Nature and Science” department.

Anyone who reads numbers of the virus that are lethal, except for two decimal places, tends to believe them. Many people probably also expect that the scientists and doctors, who have seen thousands of infected people and made hundreds of studies, now know so much about the Sars-CoV virus that the statement made by the Chancellor, among others, can be considered certain: Between sixty and seventy percent of the population would be exposed to the virus.

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Coronavirus Tasmania: live rotating blog, Friday 13 March

  • The fourth case of coronavirus status was confirmed on Friday morning
  • Health authorities say it is not necessary to close the borders of Tasmania, describing it as “socially disruptive”
  • School closings are not currently recommended
  • Tasmanians are at “low risk” of contracting the virus and no person-to-person transmission has been recorded
  • Tasmanians should not be discouraged from traveling freely in the country
  • A public health care line for coronavirus management has seen an increase in demand, with 1000 calls recorded in a single day this week
  • The state government expected to say more about the upcoming big events in the next few days after national counseling on mass meetings

OTHER NEWS CORONAVIRUS:

CLOSING SCHOOLS AND BORDERS NOT NECESSARY

POSSIBLE measures to curb the spread of coronavirus such as closing the borders of Tasmania and closing schools are not necessary at this stage, say health authorities.

Health Minister Sarah Courtney and director of public health Mark Veitch spoke to the media on Friday afternoon and said the state was well prepared to handle the coronavirus threat.

Dr. Veitch said that there is no need to close the borders of Tasmania and said it would be “socially disruptive”.

“It is very unlikely that closing the border with Tasmania or closing the highway between Albury and Wodonga would make much difference to spread,” he said.

“Closing borders is unlikely to be a commensurate measure. It would be a socially disruptive measure for Tasmania or any Australian border that has been closed.”

Courtney agreed.

“I will always rely on expert advice and Dr Veitch stressed that it is not necessary at the moment,” he said.

Health Minister Sarah Courtney. Picture: RICHARD JUPE
media_cameraHealth Minister Sarah Courtney. Picture: RICHARD JUPE

“It’s not something I’m contemplating, however we will always take steps in the best interest of the Tasmanians and this is my top priority.”

Dr. Veitch said closings were not recommended at the time, but said steps would be taken if a case had been confirmed within a school.

“The merit of closing schools has been taken into consideration, but it is certainly a fairly substantial measure that would interrupt education and would affect the parents and families of schoolchildren who were unable to go to school,” he said.

“If there was a case in a school, we would discuss if there is a need for a quarantine for students or classes.”

Courtney said the Tasmanians were “low risk” and that no person-to-person transmission occurred in the state.

Dr. Veitch said that a dedicated hotline set up to manage coronavirus in Tasmania has seen an increase in use, with over 1000 calls recorded in a single day this week.

But Courtney said the health system is adequately prepared for risk.

“We have a number of scenarios that we foresee within the health system. There has been a significant amount of planning work that has been done, not only through the public system but also through our private system,” he said.

“We want to make sure we hope for the best, but to plan for the worst and therefore, as a state, we have a series of scenarios that we can look at.”

Dr Veitch said there is no evidence of community transmission of coronavirus in Tasmania and that employees do not need to work from home.

But he said that as the situation evolves, it is reasonable for organizations to consider potential responses such as alternative work arrangements in the coming months.

Dr Veitch said that “there is no reason why Tasmanians can avoid interstate travel.

Courtney said discussions will be held in the coming days on responses to the next major Tasmanian events, following national councils on mass meetings.

Cameron Whiteley

TAX EVENTS: POSITIONED, CANCELED OR COMMERCIAL AS usual?

The Salamanca market will continue, but a number of other events and sports games have been canceled to contain the spread of the coronavirus.

The general manager of Hobart City Council, Nick Heath, said the board was in communication with the state’s health department to determine the short-term future of market operations.

CLICK HERE FOR THE COMPLETE STORY

DETAILS OF THE FOURTH CONFIRMED CASE OF CORONAVIRUS IN TASMANIA

Health Minister Sarah Courtney and director of public health, dr. Mark Veitch, released some details on the fourth confirmed case of coronavirus in Tasmania.

The press conference was streamed live on Mercury Facebook page.

Dr. Veitch said that the woman in her forties, who was diagnosed Thursday afternoon, is currently isolated in the UTAS-provided housing in Launceston because she is not “undue”.

Health Minister Sarah Courtney and Director of Public Health Mark Veitch provide an update on the fourth coronavirus case in Tasmania. Picture: RICHARD JUPE
media_cameraHealth Minister Sarah Courtney and Director of Public Health Mark Veitch provide an update on the fourth coronavirus case in Tasmania. Picture: RICHARD JUPE

Public health services have informed UTAS that there is no risk to other people on campus and that normal campus activities can continue.

The other three cases remain in medical care and are also stable.

Dr Veitch said the woman’s infection was not related to previous cases and is not due to local transmission in Tasmania.

He said the woman traveled to Australia from the Philippines on March 8th.

He then boarded Jetstar Flight JQ731 from Melbourne to Launceston, which landed around 8.05 am on March 9, said Dr. Veitch.

Passengers who were sitting nearby and a number of other people known by the woman were contacted and asked to quarantine for 14 days.

Dr. Veitch said that all the other travelers on the flight were at low risk.

Dr. Veitch said that “most people” with coronavirus will be managed from home as long as they are not “unduly undue”.

DRAWERS CORONAVIRUS DOUBTS ABOVE ROUND SUPERCARS TAXES

Image: DANIEL KALISZ / GETTY IMAGES
media_cameraImage: DANIEL KALISZ / GETTY IMAGES

The Tasmanian round in the Supercars championship is in serious doubt after the second round in Melbourne was canceled giving a potential blow of $ 10 million to the state’s economy.

Tickets for Tasmania’s biggest sporting event were selling as hot cakes in anticipation of the last time fans would see Holden supercars battling Symmons Plains Raceway on April 3-5.

CLICK HERE FOR THE COMPLETE STORY

AGFEST ADVANCES IN THIS PHASE

The organizers of the largest agricultural event in Tasmania are carrying out the plans, but a committee of the royal commission has decided to put his visit to the north of the state on ice.

The Agfest Organizing Committee states that it is closely monitoring the situation and has contingencies in place if they have to cancel.

CLICK HERE FOR THE COMPLETE STORY

UTAS WILL NOT YET CLOSE ITS DOORS IN FEAR OF CORONAVIRUS

Professor Rufus Black, Vice Chancellor of the University of Tasmania. Image: PATRICK GEE
media_cameraProfessor Rufus Black, Vice Chancellor of the University of Tasmania. Image: PATRICK GEE

The University of Tasmania is ready to close Vice-Chancellor Rufus Black if necessary.

Speaking this morning, Professor Black said he predicted potential from about January.

“We are committed to being able to prepare ourselves for as many online courses as possible. At the moment there are almost 112 units, topics so particular, that we would be able to deliver online. Obviously it was a lot of work to achieve this goal, “he said.

CLICK HERE FOR THE COMPLETE STORY

WOMAN IN LAUNCESTON FOURTH CASE OF CORONAVIRUS

A woman in her forties is in solitary confinement in the student accommodation of the University of Tasmania in Launceston after being diagnosed with the fourth case of Tasmania’s coronavirus.

The Public Health Office announced that it is handling the situation and has informed that the student is isolated, well supported and that there is no risk to others on campus.

“Normal campus operations can continue,” said a spokesman.

“Public health manages it carefully to ensure public safety.

“Further information will be provided later today once public health officials have been able to complete the necessary investigations and assessments in order to accurately inform the public.”

Chris Arnold, UTAS director of safety and well-being, wrote to all staff and students informing them of the Newnham campus resident’s diagnosis.

Arnold said that when there was a local broadcast in Tasmania. the University would move on to online delivery of teaching “to the maximum extent possible”, a model for rotating people at work from home, where possible, and careful management of the circumstances in which people have to work on campus.

This current case is not a local broadcast case.

This coronavirus article is unlocked and free to read in the interest of community health and safety. To support the Mercury, sign up here:

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