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The MLB coronavirus break could compromise Hall of Fame cases

For the 11 seasons from 1988 to 1998, Fred McGriff was as durable as any other player who was not named Cal Ripken Jr. He had an average of 154 games from 1988 to 1993 and again from 1996 to 1998.

In 1994-95, the Braves played 258 games and McGriff took 257 games. But it was only 258 rather than the standard 324. Work-related interruptions canceled the last two months and the after-sales season of 1994 and limited 1995 to 144 games.

There were 66 potential games lost for McGriff at his top – he was in the middle of his best season in 1994. It is not a stretch to believe that McGriff steel would have played in all those games and, if he had stayed on his trajectory of an average of 4.28 plate appearances per game and one humerus every 17.7 plate appearances would have affected 16 other humeri.

This would have given McGriff 509 humeri, tied for the 26th overall of all time with Gary Sheffield. McGriff would have hit at least seven other homers if those games weren’t lost. Instead, he ended up with 493. Any eligible player not tied to illegal performance enhancers who has reached 500 homers is in the Hall of Fame.

McGriff is generally recognized as a player who has performed clean. His 493s tie him to Lou Gehrig for the highest number of murders hit without reaching 500. In 2019 – his last year of writer’s ballot – McGriff received 39.8 percent of the votes. That was its highest total, but far less than the 75% needed.

Hardball
Jose Altuve, Jacob deGrom and Gerrit ColeN.Y. Post: Charles Wenzelberg, Anthony J. Causi, AP

Would he have arrived in Cooperstown without job conflicts? At the very least, your application would have looked better. Extended career interruptions have an impact on Hall of Fame borderline cases. Each generation is familiar with how accidents hinder opportunities. Previous generations lost service time during the war. There have been work stoppages. We are now facing a season that could be shortened – or completely lost – against coronavirus.

So which cases will be most penalized by time lost in 2020?

Let’s start with the active players I believe they are regardless of whether they play another game: Miguel Cabrera, Clayton Kershaw, Albert Pujols, Justin Verlander and Mike Trout (this would have been his tenth season, the minimum to be eligible) . Max Scherzer is already child’s play for me with three Cy Young awards and nine seasons ranging from above average to brilliant, but I’m not sure that’s a universal opinion. I also believe that Yadier Molina should be there, but I feel that a metric case will be conducted against word of mouth within the game that was among the whispering pitchers of all time.

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So Molina / Scherzer could fall into the category of those whose Hall odds are going to be damaged by the lack of time in 2020. But since I think they should now be brave, I will leave them out. I will do the same for the guys who showed great advance, but still have a lot of career ahead of them like Ronald Acuña Jr. and Juan Soto. This is more of the player already stated who would get Hall consideration, but he needed more and may not have a chance to get it this year:

Robinson Cano – He may not enter regardless due to the voters who held a positive test against him for a banned substance and a suspension of 80 games in 2018. His best way is to accumulate the 430 shots needed for 3,000 (voters tend to love the magic numbers). Was last year a blip or the beginning of a decline? If it was a decline, he was already looking at less playing time during the last four years of his contract.

Like Cano, Nelson Cruz has a failed test / suspension on his log, plus a lot of DH time. Since Cano needs 3,000 shots, Cruz really needs 500 homers to get a chance. He is 99 years old. He has the most homers in the past six years – 21 more than anyone else. But he was supposed to play this year at the age of 39. How long can those 99 homers waste and still get?

The Hall case of Nick Markakis was already a throw to multiply by five due to the lack of magnitude. But he had an outside chance for 3000 shots. A shortened 2020 would make the production of 645 hits more unlikely than it needs.

Gerrit Cole Legitimate had a magnificent season in Pittsburgh and consecutive great years in Houston, leading to his nine-year record, a $ 324 million deal with the Yankees. For him to make the Hall after a bad start to his career, Cole would have had to put together many other seasons like the previous two. You don’t want to miss the first few years, and she turned 29 last September.

Jacob deGrom – I recently wrote that the DeGrom Hall case would likely have mimicked that of Roy Halladay, a late thriving who has garnered a decade of greatness between the ages of 25 and 34. DeGrom has had six brilliant campaigns since the age of 26. Losing much of his 32 year season this year when he is at the peak would be a big blow to his Cooperstown opportunity. Maybe future voters won’t worry about the victories at all. But sitting down to just 66 career wins looks bad for a Hall portfolio right now. A third Cy Young would certainly help, as would a fourth.

Jose Altuve – All Astros hired killers linked to the stealing scandal will have to prove themselves again. Altuve was far ahead in filing a Hall case. He had 1,568 hits during his 29-year season, 24 more than Derek Jeter in the same spot and the 43rd ever. But now there is contamination with its MVP AL 2017 and its successes. And he had played declining and average batting games in each of the past two years. Each lost time paralyzes his long-term play for 3,000 hits.

Zack Greinke – Mike Mussina had a relationship with McGriff – two of his best seasons (1994-95) were shortened. There was a loss of high-end production that could explain why Mussina took six years to finally be voted in the Hall. Greinke is the active pitcher that reminds me of most of Mussina – an athletic, brain-right who has the ability to adapt with old age.

During his 35-year season, Mussina had 2,833¹ / ₃ innings, 126 ERA-plus and 68.3 wins over the replacement. Greinke is at 2,872, 125 and 65.9 respectively at the same time. Mussina has launched four more complete seasons, two of which are excellent. How much more will Greinke generate?

Felix Hernandez / Cole Hamels / Jon Lester – Probably all of them are short of Cooperstown, but it was clear that they would need more to avoid it. Hamels and Lester have post-season excellence, Hernandez peaked spectacularly for eight years in the 2008-15 period (113-76, 2, .90 ERA, Cy win and two second place awards). Hernandez, after three miserable seasons in Seattle, was having a strong spring for Atlanta and seemed to be making the rotation, in part due to an injury to Hamels. Everyone has more than 2,500 innings, so they’re back-nine and can’t waste much time if they turn the shooting room’s possibilities into something more.

Andrew McCutchen
Andrew McCutchenAP

Andrew McCutchen – In the shadow of Trout, McCutchen’s greatness of 2009-15 has been lost (151 homers, 154 steals, an OPS-plus of 144, four top five of the MVPs, including a win). Since then he has been very good at very good. This could just be a Don Mattingly / Dale Murphy career – an initial outburst of genius followed by something less. Neither Mattingly nor Murphy built the Hall. The only way for McCutchen to present a case is much more than excellent, accumulating seasons. He wouldn’t have been able to start this season on time anyway after snatching an ACL last year. But he was due to return in April.

Madison Bumgarner / Buster Posey – The backbone of the pitch / hit and the face of the three Giants titles. Posey has shades of Jeter because of the championships. The problem for him is that catching him beat him. He would always have accumulation problems, and now he could lose a lot of a 33-year season. Bumgarner is a historically exceptional post-season pitcher, and his 2014 could be the best playoff ever. Its regular seasons have been marked by lasting excellence, but not by consistent elite performances. He was about to launch this year at just 30 and for a new team (Arizona).

Joey Votto – Whenever he becomes eligible, it will be a great debate. Those who love modern statistics elevate Votto for its combination of eye and power. Those who don’t see a version of Bobby Abreu, a guy who could build up but who somehow doesn’t have enough impact on the win. His 35-year season last year was by far the worst, and he is sitting on 1,866 hits and 284 omer – statistics he will have to pump to be approved by voters who love the old line numbers more.

Nolan Arenado / Freddie Freeman / Paul Goldschmidt / Manny Machado – You can add others like Mookie Betts, Josh Donaldson, Giancarlo Stanton and Christian Yelich. Try Francisco Lindor and Bryce Harper. These are players who have established a good base of results and results, but have come a long way from here to Cooperstown. Now they could be without part or all of this season, and for someone like Donaldson, already 34 and who lost much of 2017-18 due to an injury, it could be devastating for an occasion outside the Hall.

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