Home » World » Will Xi Jinping hand over the baton or continue to seize power?US-Australia research suggests 4 possibilities | Global | NOWnews Today News

Will Xi Jinping hand over the baton or continue to seize power?US-Australia research suggests 4 possibilities | Global | NOWnews Today News






Will Xi Jinping hand over the baton or continue to seize power?US-Australia research suggests 4 possibilities | Global | NOWnews Today News












































▲Chinese President Xi Jinping has been in power for a long time, and the outside world is very concerned about when he will retreat behind the scenes or will continue to control the government. Information photos. (Photo/Retrieved from China Government Network)

Cai Shanling/Comprehensive Report

2021-05-21 11:42:42

The Communist Party of China will hold its 20th National Congress next year, but because the current Chinese leader Xi Jinping has lifted the term limit, the outside world continues to pay attention to the possibility of a new leader at this conference. Recently, research scholars from think tanks in the United States and Australia have submitted reports analyzing the possibilities if the Xi Jinping era ends.

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According to a report by the Voice of America, Jude Blanchette, a researcher at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), a US think tank, and Richard McGregor, a researcher at the Lowy Institute, an Australian think tank, co-authored The report “After Xi: Future Scenarios for Leadership Succession in Post-Xi Jinping Era” (After Xi: Future Scenarios for Leadership Succession in Post-Xi Jinping Era) puts forward four possibilities for the end of the Xi Jinping era. The first possibility is that in accordance with existing regulations, Xi Jinping will hand over the power of its general secretary to a member of the Politburo Standing Committee in 2022 at the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China. In accordance with the past practice of the CCP, the general secretary resigned after two five-year term and retired at the age of 68. The second possibility is that Xi Jinping will retire at the 21st National Congress in 2027 or the 22nd National Congress in 2032. Because all Politburo Standing Committee members have passed the retirement age by 2027, any possible successor must almost be in 2022. Of the 20 colleges are designated to enter the top leadership, and must be under 63 years of age. As for the third possibility, it is the high-level elites of the Chinese Communist Party launching a challenge to Xi Jinping or a coup. The report analyzes that the conspiracy to overthrow Xi Jinping and his government is not just a product of “fanatic imagination,” but a real existence. In the past, Xi Jinping also mentioned words such as “destroying and splitting the party” and “political conspiracy” in his conversations. The last one is an uncontrollable factor, that is, Xi Jinping’s accidental death or incapacity, but the research content also warns that if this happens, it will not rule out a power vacuum, triggering internal fighting in the Politburo, and even more dangerous consequences.



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