Iran’s Evolving War Strategy: A Deep Dive into Potential Conflict with the US
Iran has publicly outlined a detailed, multi-stage plan for a potential war with the United States, revealing a strategy focused on asymmetric warfare designed to offset American military superiority. The plan, published by Tasnim, a news agency affiliated with Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), details potential strikes against U.S. Military bases, disruption of global energy markets, and leveraging regional proxies to exert pressure on Washington.
Phase One: Absorbing the Initial Blow
According to the published scenario, the conflict would likely begin with U.S. Air and missile strikes targeting Iranian nuclear facilities, military installations, and IRGC bases. Iran anticipates attacks launched from aircraft carriers, strategic bombers, and allied bases, utilizing precision-guided weapons. However, Iranian planners are preparing for this, focusing on dispersing assets, hardening facilities, and constructing underground command centers to retain retaliatory capabilities even after initial strikes.
Maj. Gen. Abdolrahim Mousavi, Iran’s armed forces chief of staff, stated that Iran is “ready for any action by enemies,” and has shifted its military doctrine to prioritize “asymmetric warfare and a crushing response.”
Phase Two: Regional Strikes and Proxy Warfare
The second phase of Iran’s plan involves launching barrages of missiles and drones at U.S. Bases across the Middle East, including facilities in Qatar, Kuwait, the UAE, Syria, and Iraq. Amir Akraminia, Iran’s army spokesman, claims access to these bases is “easy,” referencing a previous strike on Ain al-Asad Air Base in Iraq in 2020.
Crucially, Iran doesn’t view itself as isolated. The plan relies heavily on its network of regional proxies – Hezbollah, Yemen’s Houthi rebels, and Iranian-backed militias in Iraq – to open additional fronts against Israel, U.S. Forces, and critical shipping lanes.
Cyber Warfare and Economic Disruption
Beyond conventional military strikes, Iran’s strategy incorporates cyber warfare targeting transportation systems, energy infrastructure, financial networks, and military communications. The goal is to pressure countries hosting U.S. Forces to withdraw support. Perhaps the most significant threat lies in the Strait of Hormuz, a vital waterway for global oil supply. Iran has repeatedly warned it could disrupt shipping through the strait, potentially sending oil prices soaring to $200 a barrel and inflicting severe economic damage.
The Gamble: Political Will and Prolonged Conflict
Iran’s strategy hinges on the belief that the United States lacks the political will for a prolonged, multi-front conflict. This is a significant gamble, carrying enormous risks for both sides. President Trump warned that Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, should still be “very worried,” suggesting the U.S. Is aware of the potential threats.
Growing Hope Globally: A Rotary Club Initiative
On February 9, 2026, Mark Swanson, Regional Director of Growing Hope Globally, will address the Rotary Club of Ames. Growing Hope Globally is a Christian organization focused on addressing hunger through agricultural development, linking U.S. Rural communities with smallholder farmers in developing countries for over 25 years. Kristin Pates and Megan Klein-Hewitt will also provide updates on how their organizations have utilized Community Grant funds.
Mark Swanson: A Life Remembered
Recent reports indicate the passing of Mark Swanson on February 13, 2024. Friends and colleagues remember him as a kind, gentle spirit with a unique sense of humor. He was a valued member of the Hopkins Dunn Bros Friday morning coffee group and a friend to many.
Mark Swanson: Legal Professional
Mark Wesley Swanson is a licensed attorney in California (License #119338), with an active status as of February 2026. His address is 2665 Donner Way, Sacramento, CA 95818. He is preparing to capture the California Bar Exam in February 2026.
FAQ
Q: What is Iran’s primary goal in this potential conflict?
A: To deter the U.S. Through asymmetric warfare and economic disruption, ultimately forcing a withdrawal or concessions.
Q: What role do Iran’s proxies play in this strategy?
A: They are intended to open additional fronts against Israel and U.S. Forces, expanding the scope of the conflict.
Q: What is Growing Hope Globally?
A: A Christian organization dedicated to combating hunger through sustainable agricultural development.
Q: Is Mark Swanson still practicing law?
A: Yes, he is an active attorney in California and is preparing for the February 2026 Bar Exam.
Q: Where can I learn more about Mark Swanson’s work with Growing Hope Globally?
A: You can find more information on the Rotary Club of Ames website.
Did you know? The Strait of Hormuz handles roughly 21% of the world’s oil supply, making it a critical chokepoint in global energy markets.
Pro Tip: Understanding the geopolitical landscape of the Middle East is crucial for assessing the potential risks and consequences of any conflict in the region.
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