“We are the first party.” The secretary did not mince words Pd Nicola Zingaretti in commenting on the outcome of the regional elections of 20 e 21 September. Justified exultation, if you think that in the days preceding the vote, voices gave the winning center right is in Puglia that in Tuscany, two of the three regions together with the Campania instead won by the center-left with a democratic candidate.
But the numbers justify this celebration? In this respect, the question is more complex. Infodata collected the data relating to the percentages obtained by the Democratic Party at the regional, Europeans last year and the policies of two years ago. Obviously, only in those regions called to vote this weekend. The result is represented in this infographic:
In the infographic, the red dot indicates the result of the regional elections, the blue one refers to the European ones, while the yellow represents the policies. The more a dot is to the right, the higher the percentage obtained by the Pd in that competition, the larger it is, the greater the turnout.
Meanwhile, it can be said that in the three regions where the center-left won, as well as in the Market, the Democratic Party has obtained a result superior to the policies of the 2018, probably the lowest point reached so far by the Democrats, at least in electoral terms. So if this is the comparison, improving was not that difficult.
What is certain is that the result obtained by the Democratic Party is especially important in Campania, where there was a list of the president Vincenzo De Luca, capable of obtaining the 13,3%. A success, that of the Campania democrats, obtained at the expense of the Grillini government allies, who passed from 30,1% of policies to just under 10%.
Difficult to assess the situation in Valle d’Aosta because the Democratic Party presented itself with the autonomists of theAlpe, Wreck, Edelweiss, Union valdotaine e Progressive Valdotaine Union. While at the regional he formed the Progressive Civic Project with Civic Network ed Green Europe. Circumstances that make it difficult to weigh the vote of the Democrats alone. Certainly there has been a decline with respect to policies, but it is largely due to the fact that Union Valdotaine ran alone, touching the 16%.
However, nothing even remotely comparable to what happened in Veneto, where the Democratic Party arrived at11,9%. It is true that, given the results, the allies of the 5 Star Movement they would make false papers for such a result (in Veneto they stopped at 3,25%), but at last year’s Europeans, those of League al 40%, the Pd touched the 19%. The reason for the collapse, in these parts, however, has a name and a surname: Luca Zaia. Which has obtained higher percentages than those who went to the yes to the cut of parliamentarians, both in Veneto and at national level.
Finally there is the Liguria, where the Democratic Party stopped just below the 20%, as was the case with the policies of two years ago. The important difference is that on Sunday and Monday the 50,7% of the Ligurians, while the politics went to the polls 72,9% of voters. In absolute numbers it has gone from 169mila votes two years ago ai 124mila last weekend.
Summing up, as always happens when it comes to local elections, it is difficult to find an absolute winner, especially if you look at the numbers. The alternative is the anecdotal, the one for which everyone won and nobody won. And we can define ourselves as the first party.
It was pointed out to us by some readers, also through social networks, that by adding up the votes obtained in the individual regions, those of Pd far exceed those of the League. In particular, 1.784.626 crosses on the democratic symbol, 1.256.082 on that ofAlberto da Giussano. The difference is 528.544 preferences in favor of the dem. Having said that the result must still be calibrated on the fact that on Sunday and Monday more or less a third of the entire electorate was called to vote for the regional, this analysis neglects one factor. A factor called Luca Zaia. Why maybe i 916.087 votes on his list, in upcoming policies, will not all go to the League. But they are more likely to go here than to the Democratic Party. Thus reviewed, the situation is that represented by this infographic.