A fresh poll suggests the majority of Albertans do not support separating from Canada. Released Monday by the Angus Reid Institute, the poll found that 65 per cent of 979 Albertans surveyed would either vote to stay in Canada or lean toward voting that way if a referendum on separation were held today.
Support for Separation Remains a Minority Position
While nearly a third of Albertans – 29 per cent – say they would vote or lean toward voting to abandon Canada, support for separation remains a minority position. Of those who favour separation, eight per cent would definitely vote to leave, while 21 per cent lean toward voting to leave. Five per cent of respondents remain unsure.
According to Shachi Kurl, president of the Angus Reid Institute, the approximately one in five Albertans who lean toward separation represent a key demographic. Kurl stated this group will determine whether support for sovereignty grows or diminishes.
Divisions Within the UCP
The poll likewise revealed political divisions regarding separation. While 93 per cent of Alberta NDP voters favour remaining in Canada, the UCP base is more divided. Forty-one per cent of UCP voters lean toward leaving, while 16 per cent would definitely vote to leave. However, 26 per cent of UCP voters would definitely vote to stay.
The most convincing arguments for separation, according to the poll, are the belief that Alberta gives more to Canada than it receives and the desire for complete control over the province’s natural resources. Conversely, those who favour remaining in Canada cite potential economic challenges and a strong sense of Canadian identity as key reasons.
What Could Happen Next
Mitch Sylvestre, CEO of Alberta Prosperity Project, is currently gathering signatures for a petition to trigger a referendum on separation. The petition requires approximately 178,000 signatures by May 2nd. If successful, a referendum could be held, potentially forcing Albertans to formally vote on the question of leaving Canada. However, even if a referendum is held, the poll suggests a majority would vote to remain part of Canada.
Frequently Asked Questions
What percentage of Albertans would definitely vote to stay in Canada?
Fifty-seven per cent of Albertans surveyed said they would definitely vote to stay in Canada.
What percentage of Albertans would definitely vote to leave Canada?
Eight per cent of Albertans surveyed said they would definitely vote to leave Canada.
What concerns do Albertans have about leaving Canada?
The poll found that a majority of Albertans who favour remaining in Canada are concerned about the potential for the United States to annex an independent Alberta, and the economic challenges an independent Alberta would face.
Given these findings, what role do you believe economic factors will play in shaping the future of Alberta’s relationship with Canada?
