Nice Election Heats Up: Divisions and Unexpected Alliances
The mayoral race in Nice is intensifying, marked by reported tensions between key contenders Éric Ciotti and Christian Estrosi. Even as supporters of Ciotti downplay the disagreements as personal rather than strategic, the potential for internal strife threatens to fracture the right-wing vote.
The Zemmour Factor and Shifting Loyalties
The emergence of Éric Zemmour and his Reconquête! party adds another layer of complexity. Zemmour’s recent comments, particularly an interview with Nice-Matin, have resonated within the younger Union of the Right for the Republic (UDR). Zemmour reportedly suggested Ciotti owes his position to Estrosi, framing the current rivalry as a matter of “ingratitude and careerism.”
Despite political alignment with Ciotti in the past – being identified as his preferred candidate over Emmanuel Macron in 2022 – Zemmour’s actions raise questions about his allegiances. He was observed spending considerable time with Estrosi before his interview, fueling speculation about potential support for the incumbent.
A Delicate Dance with Reconquête!
While a direct alliance between Cédric Vella, the Reconquête! candidate, and Ciotti hasn’t materialized, Vella reportedly considered joining Ciotti’s list due to difficulties forming his own. Still, Zemmour’s engagement with Estrosi casts doubt on Reconquête!’s overall strategy.
Some within Ciotti’s camp believe these maneuvers are a deliberate attempt to portray Ciotti as less moderate than Estrosi, hoping to encourage a left-wing backlash against the latter. However, Ciotti’s strategists argue that the left is unlikely to fully support either candidate, given Ciotti’s history of criticism.
The Left’s Potential Role and Ecological Alliances
Interestingly, the key to Ciotti’s success may lie to his left. The support of Jean-Marc Governatori, an ecologist centrist who garnered 19.30% of the vote in the 2020 election, could be pivotal. Governatori’s endorsement could attract valuable votes and free up support for Juliette Chesnel-Le Roux (The Ecologists), potentially allowing her to surpass 10% in the first round.
This scenario would create a three-way race more favorable to Ciotti, as it would split the opposition vote.
Internal Dynamics and Personal Grievances
Close associates of Sarah Knafo, a prominent figure linked to Ciotti, suggest that while Zemmour isn’t actively campaigning against Ciotti, his attitude differs from Knafo’s. There’s a perception that Zemmour resents Ciotti’s success in forging a union with the Rassemblement National, something Zemmour has struggled to achieve.
FAQ
Q: What is the main source of tension in the Nice mayoral race?
A: The primary tension is between Éric Ciotti and Christian Estrosi, with disagreements reportedly stemming from personal and career-related factors.
Q: What role is Éric Zemmour playing in the election?
A: Zemmour’s involvement is complex, with his actions suggesting a potential alignment with Christian Estrosi despite past political connections with Éric Ciotti.
Q: Could the left-wing vote influence the outcome?
A: Yes, the support of ecologist Jean-Marc Governatori could be crucial for Ciotti, potentially creating a more favorable electoral dynamic.
Q: Is Reconquête! likely to play a significant role in the election?
A: Currently, Reconquête! is not expected to be a major force in the election, with predictions of limited electoral success.
Pro Tip: Keep an eye on the evolving alliances between parties. The Nice election is proving to be a dynamic race where unexpected partnerships could significantly alter the outcome.
Did you know? Jacques Médecin’s daughter has publicly endorsed Éric Ciotti, adding another layer to the complex political landscape.
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