Amid growing uncertainty over the Republican Party’s congressional fate in the upcoming 2026 Midterm Elections, coupled with calls for President Donald Trump’s impeachment, the presidential approval rating stands at an all-time low.
According to polling data as of Feb. 12, 2026, Trump’s approval rating is 42.1% with 55.2% disapproval, according to RealClearPolling. This is below his first term average of 42.8% and close to former President Joe Biden’s overall approval rating of 43.2%.
Adding to the political pressure are organized protest rallies planned for next Tuesday, Feb. 17, called “National Day of Lobbying: Impeach Trump and Abolish Ice.” These rallies are intended to influence congressional legislatures to impeach Trump, convict him of constitutional violations, and remove him from office.
A third impeachment effort is already underway, with House Resolution 939 introduced on Dec. 10, 2025, though it was tabled by a vote of 237-140. While a third impeachment faces political hurdles given the current Republican control of both the House and Senate, the outcome of the 2026 Midterm Elections could alter that dynamic.
According to the Polymarket, there is a 13% chance Trump will be impeached by the end of 2026. Kalshi betting odds show a 6% chance by Jun. 1, 2026; 15% chance by Jan. 1, 2027 and 64% chance by Jan. 1, 2028.
In Pennsylvania, as of Feb. 12, Trump’s net approval rating stands at -14%, with 55% of Pennsylvanians polled disapproving of his performance and 41% approving.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled for Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026. A recent Economist/YouGov poll from Feb. 9 indicates 39% support for Democratic candidates, 31% for Republican candidates, and 30% are undecided.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Trump getting impeached?
While Trump is not currently being impeached, there are discussions and proposed House resolutions for a third impeachment effort, such as H. Res. 939, which was tabled on Dec. 10, 2025.
What is Trump’s current presidential approval rating?
As of Feb. 12, 2026, Trump’s presidential approval rating is 42.1% with 55.2% disapproval, according to RealClearPolling.
When are the 2026 midterm elections?
The midterm elections are scheduled for Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026.
Given the current political climate, will these factors significantly influence voter turnout and the outcome of the 2026 midterm elections?
