Austin Weather: Warm Temps Continue, Red Flag Warning West of City

by Chief Editor

Central Texas is bracing for a cold front Thursday, but residents shouldn’t expect a significant temperature drop. While a front will sweep across the region, afternoon highs are forecast to remain in the 80s through the weekend.

Warm Temperatures Ahead of the Front

Thursday will begin with cloudiness and light south winds, with temperatures around 60 degrees. The cold front is expected to reach the Hill Country by mid-morning and move across the rest of Central Texas throughout the afternoon. Before the front arrives, temperatures could briefly rise as air descends from the Balcones Escarpment, potentially pushing temperatures near 90 degrees in parts of the Austin area.

Did You Know? Austin’s record high temperature for February 26th is 93 degrees, set in 1954.

Thursday’s forecast high of 89 degrees is almost 20 degrees above normal for this time of year, though still short of the 1954 record. Following the front’s passage, winds will shift to the north and become breezy, with gusts near 20 mph.

Wildfire Risk and Shifting Allergens

A red flag warning has been issued by the National Weather Service for areas west of Austin from 11 a.m. To 7 p.m. Thursday due to increased wildfire risk. While Austin is not currently included in the warning, a moderate threat will persist along the I-35 corridor. Friday will bring slightly cooler temperatures, with morning lows in the 50s and afternoon highs in the lower 80s.

Expert Insight: The compressional heating phenomenon highlights the complex interplay of topography and weather patterns. This localized warming can create conditions that deviate significantly from broader regional forecasts, requiring careful monitoring.

South winds are expected to return over the weekend, bringing increased humidity, and temperatures. While February has been dry, a shift in the weather pattern could bring small chances of rain by midweek next week. Residents experiencing cedar fever may find some relief, but it’s likely to be temporary.

As cedar pollen declines, other tree pollens – including ash, spring elm, mulberry, and oak – are expected to become prevalent in the coming weeks.

Frequently Asked Questions

What time will the cold front arrive in Austin?

The cold front is expected to reach the Hill Country by mid-morning and sweep across the rest of Central Texas through the afternoon on Thursday.

What is compressional heating?

Compressional heating happens when air is forced downhill, causing it to compress and warm up as it sinks. In this case, it’s air descending from the Balcones Escarpment.

What is the wildfire risk?

The wildfire weather threat will be higher west of Austin, where a red flag warning is in effect from 11 a.m. To 7 p.m. Thursday. A moderate threat will still exist along the I-35 corridor.

How will these changing weather patterns impact your outdoor plans this week?

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