Stronger government climate policy is required to force major resource companies to accelerate decarbonization, according to Dr. Huw McKay, the former chief economist at BHP. McKay argues that voluntary corporate commitments are inherently unstable and that a carbon price calibrated to address hard-to-abate emissions is the most effective mechanism to influence investment decisions in the mining sector.
Policy Gaps and Corporate Decarbonization Targets
The debate over industrial emissions centers on whether regulatory frameworks, such as Australia’s safeguard mechanism, provide sufficient pressure for companies like BHP to meet net-zero goals. Dr. McKay, now a visiting fellow at the Australian National University’s Crawford School of Public Policy, contends that internal investment processes at large resource firms often favor short-term financial returns over long-term climate action unless a clear carbon-price obligation is present.
BHP has publicly committed to reducing emissions by 30% below 2020 levels by 2030. While the company has made progress through power purchasing agreements and the 2024 suspension of its nickel operations in Western Australia, internal documents leaked to Guardian Australia and the ABC suggest a pattern of project delays. These documents indicate that the company shelved a solar and battery project at its Jimblebar mine and delayed larger renewable systems, despite previously labeling climate change an “existential” risk.
The safeguard mechanism applies to approximately 200 industrial facilities in Australia that emit more than 100,000 tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent annually. While the government requires these sites to reduce emissions intensity by up to 4.9% each year, companies can meet these targets by purchasing carbon offsets rather than making direct onsite cuts.
The Role of the Safeguard Mechanism
Climate Change Minister Chris Bowen has defended the current regulatory regime, noting that it mandates annual emission reductions and targets net zero by 2050. According to government data, onsite emissions under the scheme fell by 2.3% this year. However, the minister has explicitly ruled out the implementation of a carbon tax, a policy shift that analysts like Professor Ross Garnaut and Dr. McKay suggest would be more effective at “moving the needle.”

The current framework allows companies to use “safeguard credits”—generated when a facility performs better than its baseline—or Australian carbon credit units to offset pollution. Critics argue that this flexibility allows firms to avoid the capital-intensive process of transitioning away from diesel-powered fleets and gas-reliant power grids.
Challenges in Scaling Heavy Industry Technology
BHP maintains that the pace of its decarbonization is dictated by technological maturity rather than a lack of intent. In a statement, a company spokesperson emphasized that the technology required to scale 240-ton battery-electric haul trucks to a full operational fleet does not yet exist at a commercial level. The company is currently trialing two battery-electric trucks and plans to test four battery-electric locomotives in the coming months.
This position contrasts with the urgency voiced by policy observers who point to the company’s continued acquisition of diesel haulage trucks as evidence of a “backtracking” on climate commitments. As the mining industry faces increasing pressure to electrify inland power grids, the divide between corporate pilot programs and full-scale operational shifts remains a key friction point for investors and regulators alike.
Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the safeguard mechanism? It is a policy requiring Australia’s largest industrial polluters to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions intensity year-on-year.
- Does BHP have a net-zero target? Yes, the company has a long-term net zero goal and an interim target of cutting emissions by 30% below 2020 levels by 2030.
- Why are carbon prices considered “better” by some economists? Proponents like Dr. Huw McKay argue that a carbon price directly impacts the internal investment calculations of large firms, making low-carbon projects more financially attractive than traditional fossil-fuel alternatives.
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