Military Aid to Ukraine Continues to Decline

European Loans Drive June Funding Peak

The latest figure represents the third-largest monthly increase in military aid since the full-scale Russian invasion began in 2022, tracking promised and delivered assistance across financial, military, and humanitarian channels.

The surge stems primarily from a new European support loan that pushed military allocations from European institutions to 4,3 млрд. евро across May and June. The European Union previously approved a заем от общо 90 млрд. евро spanning 2026 to 2027 to help Kyiv fund its military operations and maintain state institutions.

“Бързото отпускане на заема изпрати положителен сигнал към украинската страна”,
— Taro Nishikawa, Kiel Institute representative

Alongside the EU loan, individual European governments stepped up bilateral commitments. Germany allocated 700 милиона евро, Denmark contributed 600 милиона, and the Netherlands provided 500 милиона to support Ukrainian forces.

Long-Term Funding Dips Below Pre-2025 Averages

Despite the June spike, baseline funding continues to lag behind the totals recorded before the U.S. policy shift under President Donald Trump. Prior to February 2025, supporting nations provided an average of 3,46 млрд. евро in monthly military aid to Kyiv, a figure that has since dropped to 2,94 млрд. евро.

While Washington no longer directly finances the acquisition of new military capabilities for Ukraine, American defense equipment remains central to the conflict. European armies are accelerating their rearmament through purchases from U.S. defense manufacturers and drawing directly from U.S. military stockpiles.

“САЩ остават основният доставчик на системите за противовъздушна отбрана, като например “Пейтриът”, за които Европа разполага на този етап само с ограничени алтернативи”,
— Федерико Мелаче, анализатор от института в Кил

Федерико Мелаче added that the primary long-term question centers on whether Europe can independently develop reliable replacements for major American defense platforms and gradually reduce its strategic reliance on the United States.

U.S. Congress Advances 2026 Defense Policy Bill

Meanwhile, legislative bodies in Washington are moving forward with long-term defense authorizations. On Wednesday, September 10, the U.S. House of Representatives passed a законопроект за отбранителна политика на стойност 892,6 милиарда долара for 2026 by a 372 to 60 vote, according to reporting by The New York Times and Actualno.com.

The House measure easily defeated an amendment proposed by Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene that sought to block military funding for Ukraine, with broad bipartisan opposition. The bill also requires the Pentagon to submit formal reports to Congress if the administration attempts to alter or suspend previously approved assistance. The legislation now awaits final harmonization with a separate version under review in the Senate.

Bulgaria Halts Direct Arms Transfers

In southeastern Europe, Bulgaria has officially ended its direct military contributions from army stockpiles. Премиерът Румен Радев confirmed that Sofia will not dispatch additional weaponry to Ukraine, pointing to accumulated socio-economic strains.

“Вече сме дали достатъчно, а страната ни продължава да търпи социалноикономически щети от тази кръвопролитна война. Убедени сме, че постигането на мирно решение няма да стане с военни средства. Затова отново призоваваме за всеобхватен и реалистичен подход към този конфликт и за търсене на дипломатическо решение”,
— Премиерът Румен Радев, as reported by Dnes.bg

Радев emphasized that Bulgaria’s priorities now rest on domestic institution-building, strengthening the rule of law, and reinforcing the defensive capabilities of the Bulgarian armed forces rather than extending military allocations abroad.