For nearly two years, the Labour party’s commitment to build 1.5 million new homes in England has faced significant challenges. Recent data, however, suggests a potential shift in momentum, though substantial hurdles remain.
Tracking the Pledge
New figures shared with BBC Verify indicate a possible increase in housing demand. The Planning Portal, used for submitting planning applications, shows over 335,000 applications for homes outside of London in 2025 – a 60% increase compared to the previous year. Conversely, applications within London have decreased, falling by almost a third and returning to levels seen in 2023.
It’s important to note that planning applications represent only the initial stage of a lengthy process. Many submitted applications are ultimately withdrawn, revised, or denied.
EPC Data and Current Construction
BBC Verify also monitors the construction of new homes through energy performance certificates (EPCs), which are required for all new properties. EPC data generally aligns with official figures, though certificates can be issued before a home is fully completed and occupied.
The latest data reveals 202,803 new EPCs issued in 2025, a decrease from 208,072 in 2024. This figure falls short of the approximately 300,000 new homes needed annually to meet the 1.5 million target. However, EPC registrations in the latter half of 2025 showed a slight increase compared to the same period last year.
Ministers have stated that increasing house-building will take time, as many homes completed since the election were initiated under previous Conservative planning policies.
Looking Ahead
If current trends continue, we could see an increase in the number of homes progressing through the planning stages. However, translating applications into completed homes will depend on a variety of factors, including resource availability, economic conditions, and potential changes to planning regulations. It is also possible that application numbers could fluctuate in the coming months.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is an EPC?
An energy performance certificate (EPC) is required for all new properties and broadly follows official figures, although they can be issued before a home is complete and occupied.
How much did London planning applications fall?
Applications in London fell by almost a third last year, returning to levels seen in 2023.
What is the current shortfall in new homes?
The latest data shows 202,803 new EPCs in 2025, down from 208,072 in 2024 – well short of the 300,000 a year needed.
Given the complexities of the housing market and the various stages of development, what factors do you believe will have the greatest impact on the success of the 1.5 million homes pledge?
