SAN FRANCISCO — California Democratic leaders are expressing concern that a crowded primary field could lead to a Republican victory in the November gubernatorial election. Nine Democrats are vying to replace termed-out Governor Gavin Newsom, while only two prominent Republicans are currently in the race.
A Crowded Primary and the Risk of a Runoff
The state’s “jungle primary” system, where the top two vote-getters advance regardless of party affiliation, raises the possibility of a November matchup between two Republicans. State party chairman Rusty Hicks stated on Friday that California Democrats “are prepared to do what’s required” to avoid this outcome. He added the party has a “collective commitment to ensuring we do not see a Republican elected [for governor].”
While Hicks did not name specific candidates, those lagging in the polls include state Superintendent of Public Instruction Tony Thurmond, former state Controller Betty Yee, former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa, and former Assembly Majority Leader Ian Calderon. The party is reportedly urging these candidates to withdraw to consolidate the Democratic vote.
Polls Show a Tight Race
Recent polls indicate a surprisingly competitive race. Conservative commentator Steve Hilton and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco are currently tied for first place with 15.5% support each, according to Real Clear Politics. Representative Eric Swalwell of Dublin, California, leads the Democratic field with 12.5%.
The concern stems from a similar scenario in 2012, when Republicans secured the top two spots in a San Bernardino County congressional race despite a Democratic voter registration advantage.
Calls for Unity and Potential Endorsements
Former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-San Francisco) expressed confidence that Republicans will not win the top two spots, stating, “That’s not going to happen,” and emphasizing Democratic unity. Yet, other party leaders are taking a more proactive approach. Jodi Hicks, leader of Planned Parenthood’s California operations, warned that two Republican candidates would be “nothing short of devastating.”
Lorena Gonzalez, the leader of the California Federation of Labor Unions, noted that her organization’s endorsement process begins Tuesday and will involve “honest discussions” with candidates. Several delegates at the party convention expressed hope that the field would narrow in the coming weeks.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is California’s “jungle primary” system?
Under California’s “jungle primary” system, all candidates, regardless of party affiliation, run on the same ballot. The two candidates who receive the most votes advance to the general election, even if they are from the same party.
Which Democratic candidates are being urged to drop out of the race?
While party leaders have not publicly named specific candidates, those lagging in the polls – state Superintendent of Public Instruction Tony Thurmond, former state Controller Betty Yee, former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa, and former Assembly Majority Leader Ian Calderon – are among those being encouraged to consider withdrawing.
What is the biggest concern for California Democrats?
The biggest concern is that the crowded Democratic field will split the vote, allowing two Republican candidates to advance to the general election in November, potentially leading to a Republican victory.
Given the current dynamics, will the Democratic party be able to coalesce around a single candidate and prevent a potential upset in November?
