Heavy Rain & Flooding: Germany Weather Forecast – February 2026

by Chief Editor

Residents across parts of Germany are bracing for a period of unsettled weather, with forecasts predicting heavy rainfall, rising water levels and potential flooding in the coming days. A shift in weather patterns has led meteorologists to revise earlier predictions of a calmer period, now anticipating the arrival of strong low-pressure systems and prolonged precipitation.

The most significant rainfall is expected in the west and southwest of the country, particularly around the Black Forest and in portions of Rhineland-Palatinate and Baden-Württemberg. Current calculations suggest that some areas could receive more than 100 liters of rain per square meter. Hydrologists are closely monitoring river levels, as the largely rain-based precipitation—due to mild temperatures—is expected to quickly impact waterways. Smaller streams are particularly vulnerable to rapid increases, while larger rivers may see a delayed response.

Did You Understand? Wetter.net, a content partner, provides detailed 14-day forecasts with hourly updates for the first seven days.

The approaching weather system also casts a shadow over upcoming Karneval celebrations. New rain bands are expected to move through the region, accompanied by windy conditions and fluctuating temperatures. While a significant cold snap is not currently anticipated, short-lived temperature drops are possible, potentially bringing snow or sleet. The forecast suggests a prolonged, autumnal pattern with repeated rainfall events and continued uncertainty regarding the precise amount of precipitation.

Expert Insight: The rapid shift in weather model predictions underscores the inherent challenges in long-range forecasting. While models are becoming increasingly sophisticated, the atmosphere remains a complex system prone to unexpected changes, necessitating continuous monitoring and adaptation of forecasts.

Recent model adjustments also indicate a potential change in the spring outlook. Earlier predictions of a mild transition into spring have been revised, with some simulations now suggesting the possibility of colder conditions later in the season.

Frequently Asked Questions

What areas are most at risk of flooding?

The Black Forest and parts of Rhineland-Palatinate and Baden-Württemberg are expected to be particularly vulnerable due to the potential for over 100 liters of rain per square meter.

Is a significant cold snap expected?

No, a substantial cold snap is not currently anticipated, but short-lived temperature drops could bring snow or sleet.

What is the current outlook for Karneval?

The outlook for Karneval is turbulent, with repeated rain bands and windy conditions expected.

Given the evolving weather situation, how prepared do you feel your community is for potential flooding or disruptions?

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