Humid weather, heavy rain for parts of the North Island

by Rachel Morgan News Editor

A widespread series of rain warnings and watches are in effect for portions of the North Island beginning Friday, as humid conditions are forecast to move across the country.

Heavy Rain Warnings Issued

MetService has issued an orange heavy rain warning for the Bay of Plenty east of Ōpōtiki and for Gisborne/Tairāwhiti north of Tolaga Bay, beginning at 8pm Friday and extending into Saturday. The forecaster anticipates rainfall accumulations of 80 to 100 mm, with the possibility of 130 to 150 mm in localized areas.

Did You Know? Peak rainfall rates are expected to reach 25 to 35mm per hour during Saturday morning, dependent on localized convection or thunderstorms.

Yellow heavy rain warnings have also been issued for Northland, Auckland (including Great Barrier Island), Coromandel Peninsula, Waikato, Waitomo, Gisborne/Tairāwhiti from Tolaga Bay southwards, Manawatū, Tararua District and Hawke’s Bay throughout Friday.

MetService notes that these conditions could lead to the development of thunderstorms and localized downpours, which, whereas currently assessed as low to moderate risk, could have significant impacts.

South Island Weather Outlook

A front moving across the South Island on Friday is expected to bring heavy rain to western areas, with some precipitation extending east of the Alps. A southerly change on Saturday will bring showers and potential thunderstorms to Otago and Canterbury.

Expert Insight: The exact position of the low-pressure system east of the North Island remains uncertain, making it challenging to precisely predict the intensity and location of severe weather. Residents are advised to stay informed by checking the latest forecasts.

Meteorologist Alwyn Bakker indicated that the forecast position could change daily.

Temperature Shift Expected

While temperatures remain high across both islands, with a heat alert issued for Upper Hutt and highs of 28C in Invercargill and 30C in Alexandra, a shift is anticipated this weekend. Cooler air is expected to move up from the south, potentially resulting in a temperature decrease of more than ten degrees in some South Island locations between Friday and Sunday. These cooler temperatures are expected to extend into early next week.

Frequently Asked Questions

What areas are under an orange heavy rain warning?

The Bay of Plenty east of Ōpōtiki and Gisborne/Tairāwhiti north of Tolaga Bay are under an orange heavy rain warning from 8pm Friday into Saturday.

What rainfall amounts are expected?

Between 80 to 100 mm of rain is expected, with the possibility of 130 to 150 mm in some locations.

What is the forecast for Wellington’s Round the Bays event?

The forecast currently predicts that rain will stay away until the tail finish of Wellington’s Round the Bays on Sunday, though strong southerly winds are still expected.

As conditions are evolving, what steps will you capture to stay informed and prepared this weekend?

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