The Shifting Sands of NBA Awards: Injury Impact and the 65-Game Rule
The NBA’s Most Valuable Player race, as of February 20, 2026, is currently led by Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. However, a recurring theme is dramatically influencing the landscape: player availability. An ESPN straw poll reveals SGA’s lead over Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic, but the shadow of the 65-game requirement looms large over numerous contenders.
The 65-Game Threshold: A Growing Concern
The NBA’s rule stipulating a minimum of 65 games played to be eligible for end-of-season awards is becoming a critical factor. Jokic, despite maintaining a stellar stat line (28.7 points, 12.7 rebounds, 10.7 assists, 59% field goal percentage), faces potential ineligibility due to a bone bruise sustained in December. If he misses two more games, his streak of five consecutive top-two MVP finishes – one shy of Bill Russell and Larry Bird’s record – will end.
This isn’t an isolated case. San Antonio Spurs rookie Victor Wembanyama, who jumped to fourth in the poll, can only miss four more games. Luka Doncic of the Los Angeles Lakers has already missed 12, and Kawhi Leonard of the LA Clippers and Anthony Edwards of the Minnesota Timberwolves are also approaching precarious territory. Even established stars like Giannis Antetokounmpo and LeBron James have already fallen below the 65-game mark, while Stephen Curry is two missed games away from ineligibility.
Injury’s Increasing Influence on MVP Voting
The current season highlights a clear trend: injuries are significantly altering the awards conversation. The absence of key players creates opportunities for others, as seen with Detroit Pistons guard Cade Cunningham’s rise in the MVP discussion. Cunningham, fueled by Detroit’s surprising success, received a first-place vote in the straw poll.
Jaylen Brown of the Boston Celtics is another example. With Jayson Tatum sidelined from an Achilles injury, Brown has stepped up, improving his standing in the MVP race. This mirrors the 2022-23 season, where Joel Embiid capitalized on Jokic’s late-season absence to secure the MVP award.
The Rise of Unexpected Contenders
The injury-plagued landscape is opening doors for players who might not have been in the conversation earlier in the season. Cunningham’s performance with the Pistons, now atop their conference, demonstrates how team success combined with individual brilliance can propel a player into contention.
Similarly, Brown’s elevated role in Boston, coupled with the team’s continued success, is attracting attention. Donovan Mitchell, Jalen Brunson, and Tyrese Maxey, all East All-Stars, are also garnering votes, showcasing a deeper pool of potential MVP candidates.
The Future of NBA Awards Eligibility
The increasing emphasis on load management and the inherent risk of injury raise questions about the fairness and relevance of the 65-game rule. While intended to reward consistent performance, it may inadvertently penalize players who prioritize long-term health or face unavoidable setbacks.
The NBA may need to revisit this rule to ensure that the most deserving players are recognized, even if they encounter unforeseen circumstances. Potential solutions could include a tiered system based on games played or a waiver for players with documented injuries.
FAQ
Q: What is the 65-game rule?
A: The NBA requires players to participate in at least 65 games to be eligible for end-of-season awards, including MVP.
Q: Why are injuries impacting the MVP race so much this season?
A: Several top contenders have missed significant time due to injuries, altering the landscape and creating opportunities for other players.
Q: Could Nikola Jokic be ineligible for MVP?
A: Yes, if Jokic misses two more games, he will not meet the 65-game requirement and will be ineligible.
Q: Is the 65-game rule likely to change?
A: The increasing number of injuries and the impact on awards eligibility may prompt the NBA to reconsider the rule.
Did you recognize? Bill Russell and Larry Bird share the record for most consecutive top-two finishes in MVP voting, with six each. Nikola Jokic is currently at five.
Pro Tip: Keep an eye on player injury reports throughout the remainder of the season. Availability will be a key factor in determining the MVP winner.
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