North Korea launched at least two ballistic missiles on Sunday, marking the country’s first such tests in two months. The launches occurred on the same day South Korean President Lee Jae Myung began a state visit to China, Pyongyang’s primary ally, and shortly after a US attack that resulted in the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro.
Escalating Tensions
The missile launches, originating from Pyongyang and landing in the sea between the Korean peninsula and Japan, have further heightened global tensions. South Korea’s presidential office has convened an emergency security meeting and called for an end to North Korea’s “provocative acts” that violate United Nations Security Council resolutions.
Japan’s Defence Minister Shinjiro Koizumi stated the launches threaten the peace and security of Japan, the region, and the international community, and lodged a strong protest with North Korea. US forces for the Indo-Pacific indicated the event does not pose an immediate threat to US personnel or territory, but confirmed ongoing consultations with allies and partners.
Signaling Intent
According to Lim Eul-chul, a professor at the Institute for Far Eastern Studies in Seoul, the launches represent “a message to China to deter closer ties with South Korea and to counter China’s stance on denuclearisation.” North Korea also appears to be signaling a distinction between itself and Venezuela, asserting its status as a nuclear and military power capable of “aggressive deterrence.”
Bong Youngshik, a visiting professor at Yonsei University, suggested that Kim Jong Un may be particularly sensitive to the situation in Venezuela, stating, “After seeing what’s happening in Venezuela right now, the person who would be most afraid is Kim Jong Un.”
Preparing for a Party Congress
The launches occurred as Kim Jong Un has been increasing visits to weapons factories and overseeing missile tests. On Saturday, he called for more than doubling the production capacity of tactical guided weapons. These activities are taking place ahead of the Ninth Party Congress of the Workers’ Party, where major policy goals will be outlined.
South Korea anticipates that China will play a role in promoting peace on the Korean peninsula. President Lee Jae Myung’s agenda with Xi Jinping includes persuading China to facilitate dialogue with North Korea, despite previous dismissals of outreach from Lee, who assumed office seven months ago.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the range of the missiles launched?
South Korea’s military reported the missiles flew approximately 900 km (560 miles), while Japan indicated ranges of 900 km and 950 km.
What is South Korea’s position on the launches?
South Korea’s presidential office has held an emergency security meeting and urged North Korea to cease “provocative acts that violate United Nations Security Council resolutions.”
What is the stated purpose of the launches, according to analysts?
Analysts suggest the launches are intended to send a message to China regarding closer ties with South Korea and to demonstrate North Korea’s military capabilities, differentiating itself from Venezuela.
Given these recent developments, what impact might a shifting relationship between China and North Korea have on regional stability?
