A coastal storm is expected to impact parts of the Northeast this weekend, potentially bringing significant snowfall. However, the exact areas that will see the heaviest accumulation remain uncertain.
Forecast models currently indicate high levels of uncertainty regarding the storm’s path and intensity. Through Friday morning, predictions vary considerably.
Initial forecasts suggest widespread snowfall of 1 to 3 inches for the New York City area, with some regions and Long Island potentially receiving up to 5 inches. These projections are subject to change.
What to Expect
An area of low pressure currently over California is forecast to move across the country and off the North Carolina coast on Sunday. As it moves into the Atlantic, the low is expected to strengthen, bringing light to moderate snow and gusty northeast winds to the tri-state area beginning Sunday afternoon. Both the American and European forecast models agree on this initial development.
Through Sunday afternoon, a dusting to no more than three inches of snow is likely for the tri-state area.
The Uncertainty Ahead
The storm’s behavior Sunday night into Monday is less clear. The American model predicts a secondary low will develop off the Jersey Shore, potentially bringing 6 to 12 inches of snow to the Delmarva Peninsula, South Jersey, and possibly Long Island. Conversely, the European model does not foresee the development of this secondary low, suggesting snow totals for most areas will remain under three inches.
The forecast remains fluid, but snow is expected this weekend – light to moderate Sunday afternoon, with the possibility of heavier snow Sunday night into early Monday. Areas most likely to see over six inches of snow would be South Jersey and Long Island, with lighter amounts elsewhere. Gusty northeast winds, potentially reaching 40 mph along the coast, are also anticipated.
Forecast confidence is expected to improve by Friday afternoon as the storm system moves onshore over the West Coast, allowing for a more accurate assessment of atmospheric conditions.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is currently known about the storm?
An area of low pressure over California will move off the North Carolina coast on Sunday, strengthening as it enters the Atlantic and bringing snow and wind to the tri-state area.
What is the biggest source of uncertainty in the forecast?
The primary uncertainty lies in whether a secondary low pressure system will develop off the Jersey Shore Sunday night into Monday, which would significantly increase snowfall totals in certain areas.
What areas are most likely to see significant snowfall?
South Jersey and Long Island are currently identified as areas most likely to see over six inches of snow, though this is dependent on the storm’s track and the development of a secondary low.
How will you prepare for the potential impacts of this weekend’s storm?
