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Iran war underscores risks of Trump’s focus on oil

by Chief Editor March 19, 2026
written by Chief Editor

The Iran War’s Ripple Effect: Why Trump’s Energy Policy is Under Fire

The ongoing conflict involving Iran is sending shockwaves through global energy markets and it’s simultaneously highlighting a critical flaw in President Trump’s strategy of prioritizing fossil fuels over renewable energy sources. As oil prices climb and gasoline costs surge, experts are questioning whether the administration’s approach has left the U.S. More vulnerable to geopolitical instability.

Rising Prices at the Pump and a Shifting Energy Landscape

The national average gas price has already jumped to approximately $3.88 per gallon, a significant increase from the sub-$3 figures touted just last month. This spike comes as the Strait of Hormuz, a vital artery for global oil transport, faces disruption due to Iranian actions. The situation underscores the inherent risks associated with relying heavily on a single, geographically concentrated energy source.

“The biggest short-term losers of the war will be U.S. Consumers of oil and gas, as energy prices rise,” stated Peter Gleick, a climate scientist and co-founder of the Pacific Institute. The current crisis is forcing a re-evaluation of energy security and the potential benefits of diversifying energy sources.

Trump’s Fossil Fuel Focus: A Reversal of Course

President Trump has consistently championed fossil fuels, rolling back climate-friendly policies enacted by his predecessor and prioritizing oil and gas production. This includes providing tax breaks and fast-tracking permits for drilling, while simultaneously blocking clean energy projects and canceling grants for renewable energy initiatives. He has repeatedly dismissed climate change as a “con job.”

This shift in policy stands in stark contrast to the previous administration’s efforts to promote renewable energy and reduce carbon emissions. The reversal has left the U.S. With fewer alternative energy options at a time when they are desperately needed.

The Economic Impact and Political Repercussions

The rising energy costs are not only impacting consumers but also raising concerns among lawmakers, particularly as the midterm elections approach. Affordability is a key issue for voters, and higher gas prices could prove detrimental to Republican candidates. Senators Mike Rounds and Thom Tillis have both expressed concern about the impact of rising gas prices on affordability.

Despite the economic pressures, President Trump has downplayed the severity of the situation, predicting that oil prices will eventually fall and characterizing the conflict as a “small price to pay.” He also acknowledged that the war would likely lead to a temporary economic slowdown.

The Strategic Petroleum Reserve and Potential Solutions

In an attempt to mitigate the impact of rising prices, the Trump administration has authorized the release of oil from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve and temporarily lifted sanctions on some Russian oil shipments. Officials are also exploring the possibility of using the U.S. Navy to escort oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz and are seeking international cooperation to secure the waterway.

But, analysts warn that these measures may only provide temporary relief. Gregory Brew, a senior analyst at the Eurasia Group, stated that the current situation represents “the largest oil supply disruption in history,” and energy prices are likely to remain elevated for the foreseeable future.

The Long-Term Case for Renewable Energy

The current crisis is reinforcing the argument for a rapid transition to renewable energy sources. As U.N. Secretary-General António Guterres pointed out, “There are no price spikes for sunlight and no embargoes on the wind.” Investing in renewable energy not only reduces dependence on volatile global oil markets but also addresses the long-term threat of climate change.

FAQ: The Iran War and Energy Prices

  • Why are gas prices rising? Gas prices are rising due to disruptions in oil supply caused by the conflict involving Iran and its impact on key shipping routes like the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Is the U.S. Doing anything to lower prices? The U.S. Is releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, considering lifting sanctions on some oil shipments, and exploring naval escorts for tankers.
  • What is the administration’s stance on renewable energy? The administration has prioritized fossil fuels, rolling back policies that supported renewable energy development.
  • Could this impact the midterm elections? Rising gas prices could be a significant issue for voters and potentially impact the outcome of the midterm elections.

Pro Tip: Consider exploring energy-efficient transportation options, such as public transit, biking, or carpooling, to reduce your fuel consumption and save money.

Did you understand? Cats are actually a bigger threat to bird populations than wind turbines, according to government statistics.

The situation in the Middle East serves as a stark reminder of the interconnectedness of global energy markets and the importance of diversifying energy sources. As the conflict continues to unfold, the debate over energy policy is likely to intensify, with increasing calls for a more sustainable and secure energy future.

Want to learn more? Explore our other articles on energy policy and renewable energy to stay informed about the latest developments.

March 19, 2026 0 comments
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Business

Trump’s ‘roaring’ economy meets a rough start to the year

by Chief Editor March 8, 2026
written by Chief Editor

Trump’s Economic Reality Check: A Bumpy Start to 2026

President Trump’s optimistic predictions of a booming 2026 economy are facing a stark reality check. Despite confident pronouncements of a “roaring economy,” recent data reveals job losses, rising gasoline prices, and stock market volatility – a situation that could significantly impact the upcoming midterm elections.

Job Market Reversal: From “Golden Age” to Uncertainty

Just weeks after President Trump touted a “Golden Age” following a January jobs report of 130,000 gains, February saw a concerning loss of 92,000 jobs. Revisions to previous months further darkened the picture, with December also showing a job loss of 17,000. This trend, excluding the healthcare sector, indicates a loss of roughly 202,000 jobs since President Trump took office in January 2025.

Interestingly, the unemployment rate for U.S.-born citizens has risen to 4.7% from 4.4% over the past year, suggesting that the promised job gains haven’t materialized for the demographic the administration prioritized.

Pro Tip: Keep a close watch on sector-specific job reports. Construction gains outside of housing offer a potential bright spot, according to the administration.

Gasoline Prices Surge Amidst Geopolitical Tensions

President Trump had emphasized keeping gasoline costs low as a key strategy to combat inflation. Although, strikes against Iran have triggered a 19% jump in prices at the pump, reaching a national average of $3.45. Goldman Sachs warns that sustained higher oil prices could push inflation from 2.4% to 3% by year-end.

The administration is attempting to mitigate the impact through plans to maintain energy supplies, hoping for a swift resolution to the conflict or increased tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.

Stock Market Dip and Shifting Investor Sentiment

Despite President Trump’s repeated claims of the Dow reaching 50,000, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has fallen by 5% in the past month. Whereas the market remains up during his presidency, the recent decline serves as a warning sign, particularly given the administration’s push for increased stock market investment through programs like “Trump accounts” for children.

Consumer sentiment reflects this uncertainty. A University of Michigan survey revealed that gains among stock-owning consumers were offset by declines among those without stock holdings.

Productivity Gains Without Worker Benefits

While business sector labor productivity has increased by 2.8% in the fourth quarter of last year, the benefits haven’t translated to workers. Labor’s share of income fell to a record low, raising concerns about equitable economic growth.

Biden’s Economic Performance: A Contrasting Picture

Data reveals that the U.S. Economy grew at a rate of 2.8% under the Biden administration in 2024, compared to 2.2% under President Trump in 2025. Inflation remained consistent at 2.6% in both years. This challenges President Trump’s narrative of surpassing Biden’s economic record.

Looking Ahead: Key Economic Challenges

The convergence of these economic headwinds – job losses, rising energy prices, and stock market volatility – presents significant challenges for the Trump administration. The situation is further complicated by ongoing tariff disputes and geopolitical instability.

The Iran Factor: A Wildcard for Oil Prices

The conflict with Iran remains a major wildcard. Prolonged tensions could continue to drive up oil prices, exacerbating inflationary pressures and potentially triggering a broader economic slowdown.

Tariffs and Trade: A Lingering Uncertainty

The ongoing tariffs drama adds another layer of uncertainty. While intended to protect domestic industries, tariffs can also increase costs for consumers and businesses, potentially hindering economic growth.

FAQ

Q: What is the current unemployment rate?
A: The unemployment rate for people born in the U.S. Is currently 4.7%.

Q: How much have gasoline prices increased?
A: Gasoline prices have jumped 19% over the past month, reaching a national average of $3.45.

Q: What was the economic growth rate under the Biden administration?
A: The U.S. Economy grew at a rate of 2.8% during Biden’s last year in office.

Did you know? Labor’s share of income fell to the lowest level on record last year, despite gains in productivity.

Explore further: For more in-depth analysis of the economic impact of geopolitical events, read our expert commentary on the Stimson Center website.

Stay informed: Subscribe to our newsletter for the latest economic updates and insights.

March 8, 2026 0 comments
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