Corona shock – Historical tax slump in Bavaria – Domestic politics

Corona pushes Bavaria into the tax hole!

The tax leader among the federal states has to reckon with a huge drop in income: This year and next, the Free State is heading for an unprecedented slump in tax income due to the corona crisis.

For 2020 alone, the tax estimate assumes a decrease of around 4.2 billion euros compared to the estimate last autumn!

Bavaria’s Finance Minister Albert Füracker (52, CSU): “The situation remains a great challenge. The latest estimates also show that we can expect a massive decline in tax revenues this year and next. It is becoming apparent that the next few years will be even more difficult than expected. “

Already in May, Bavaria had predicted tax losses of more than ten billion euros by 2022. It is now becoming even clearer that the financial consequences of the pandemic are likely to get much worse.

Bavaria is by no means alone with the poor tax forecast. The Federal Ministry of Finance announced on Thursday in Berlin that the federal, state and local governments will have to manage with 19.6 billion euros less tax income than expected in May in 2021 alone.

For Bavaria, which has been the number one tax revenue among the federal states for many years, it is historically the worst tax estimate.

For comparison: After the outbreak of the financial crisis, the estimated drop in revenue between autumn 2008 and May 2009 amounted to around 1.5 billion euros.

At least this year, the holes in the state budget and the billion-dollar aid programs due to the Corona crisis should be compensated for with new debts. The state parliament approved a debt of up to 20 billion euros this year.

It is unclear whether Bavaria, like the federal government, will have to suspend the debt brake anchored in the constitution in the coming year due to the poor forecast.

After the government around Prime Minister Markus Söder (53, CSU) has been advocating an offensive investment policy since the beginning of the crisis and rejecting a rigid austerity course, also out of concern about the consequences for the economy, the next double budget should not be able to cope without new debts.

The Free State benefits from the fact that it enjoys a high reputation with lenders and therefore receives very good conditions for money lending on the financial market. Just a few days ago, the rating agency “Standard & Poor’s” had again certified Bavaria with the top rating “AAA / A-1 +” with a stable outlook. It is the only state with the highest rating.

The reasons for this are Bavaria’s considerable reserves, the great economic power and the comparatively low debt in relation to the number of inhabitants. At the end of 2019, Bavaria was in the chalk with donors with around 27 billion euros.

The tax assessment working group actually meets twice a year, in spring and autumn. Because the effects of the corona pandemic were still difficult to assess in spring, this extraordinary meeting was postponed for September. This should make it easier to plan the budget for the coming years. Bavaria’s state government has to submit the double budget for the next two years to the state parliament for a decision this year.


Are these men replacing Melanie Huml? – Munich

Munich –Two times Herrmann, Martins and Holetschek: Is this men’s quartet Melanie Humls (44, CSU) a replacement?

After the mega-mishap in the corona tests for return travelers, Bavaria’s Minister of Health is disempowered. Bavaria’s fight against Corona has now been taken over by four men:

Interior Minister Joachim Herrmann (63, CSU)

After the test breakdown, he controls the operation of the communal corona test centers.

Zack! Skills gone!

Photo: Peter Kneffel / dpa

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Interior Minister Joachim HerrmannPhoto: Peter Kneffel / dpa

Florian Herrmann (48, CSU)

The head of the State Chancellery was appointed “Corona coordinator” by Prime Minister Markus Söder (53, CSU).

Zack! Power away!

Florian HerrmannPhoto: Peter Kneffel / dpa

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Florian HerrmannPhoto: Peter Kneffel / dpa

Marcus da Gloria Martins (47)

Munich’s police spokesman was appointed as the new spokesman for Huml.

Zack! Vote away!

Marcus da Gloria MartinsPhoto: Sven Hoppe / dpa

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Marcus da Gloria MartinsPhoto: Sven Hoppe / dpa

Klaus Holetschek (53, CSU)

Particularly dangerous for Huml: The previous Secretary of State for Construction and Transport, Klaus Holetschek (53, CSU), is coming to Huml’s house as the new State Secretary.

Ganz neu dabei: Klaus HoletschekPhoto: Karl-Josef Hildenbrand / dpa

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Brand new: Klaus HoletschekPhoto: Karl-Josef Hildenbrand / dpa

Is Melanie Huml now just the corona face of your ministry?

▶ Internally, Holetschek is already considered to be Huml’s immediate successor.

That would then mean: Zack! Job gone!


ARD “Germany trend”: Scholz a good candidate for SPD chancellor?

The SPD wants to run next year with Scholz at the top in the federal election. According to a new survey, he has not yet received the approval of his two predecessors Martin Schulz and Peer Steinbrück.

According to a survey, 44 percent of the population think so Olaf Scholz for a good SPD chancellor candidate. On the other hand, 30 percent disagree, as can be seen from the latest “DeutschlandTrend in ARD morning magazine”. 26 percent can therefore not judge Scholz, do not know him or give no information. According to the information, Scholz does not achieve the popularity of his two predecessors with the values Martin Schulz and Peer Steinbruck at the time of their nomination. The SPD wants to run with Scholz at the top in the 2021 election.

If the general election were on Sunday, the CDU and CSU would get 37 percent of the vote, the Greens 17 percent, the AfD 10, the Left 8 and the FDP 6 percent. Compared to the Germany trend of August 6, the SPD and the Left win one point each, while the Union, AfD and Greens lose one. The FDP remains unchanged.

Meanwhile, given the rise in new corona infections in the population, fear of infection is increasing. 34 percent currently express very great or great concerns that they or family members could be infected with the virus. 66 percent are currently only slightly concerned or not at all.

For the “Deutschlandtrend” on behalf of the ARD “Morgenmagazin” the opinion research institute Infratest dimap asked 1,065 voters in Germany on Tuesday and Wednesday. The margin of error is 1.4 with a proportion of five percent and up to 3.1 with a value of 50 percent.


Geisel justifies tolerance of the Iraqi highway attacker

NAfter the alleged Islamist-motivated attack on Berlin’s city motorway, Senator for the Interior Andreas Geisel the tolerance of the offender in Germany is justified by the rules of the rule of law. The 30-year-old Iraqi was not deported after his asylum application was rejected in 2017 because Germany has not sent people back to the civil war country for years, said the SPD politician on Thursday in the Berlin House of Representatives.

There are exceptions, for example for people who have committed the most serious crimes. The knowledge available about the 30-year-old man before the attack was not sufficient for this.

Meanwhile, the authorities continued to work intensively on the investigation. The attacker has not yet commented, said the public prosecutor’s office spokesman, Martin Steltner. According to a psychiatric assessment, the Iraqi is assumed to be a “bizarre, religious mania”. The man was housed in the psychiatry in the penal system, the detention hospital. Due to the mental illness, a debt incapacity cannot be ruled out.

According to Interior Senator Geisel, the Iraqi came to Germany via Finland in 2016. He appeared under criminal law for assault and resistance to law enforcement officers. “The state security has registered him as an acquaintance of someone dangerous here in Berlin,” said the senator. They lived together in a dormitory. But that was “a long time ago”.

Six people were injured

“We act in accordance with the rule of law and have done that in this case too,” assured Geisel. “I deeply regret that this act of violence took place.” If the police had been able to prevent it, then they would have done so, the senator was convinced.

According to prosecutors, the Iraqi attacked and rammed vehicles on the city highway on Tuesday. He was therefore hunting motorcycles. Six people were injured, three of them seriously. The attacker is being investigated for attempted murder. He was initially placed in a psychiatric ward.

A broken car and a destroyed motorcycle are on the Berlin city motorway A100 at the Alboinstraße exit.

Image: dpa

Union politicians called for clarification in the case on Thursday. The CSU member of the Bundestag Michael Kuffer demanded information in the “Bild” newspaper about the reasons why the tolerated asylum seeker continued to stay in Berlin. Meanwhile, the Berlin SPD internal politician Frank Zimmermann emphasized that “we are deporting endangers” and that the case will be dealt with.

“Timely deportation can save lives”

The case shows “again in a dramatic way that a timely and consistent deportation can save lives under certain circumstances,” said the CSU politician Kuffer. The Berlin authorities must therefore quickly clarify why this has not been possible in the specific case so far.

The CDU domestic politician Christoph de Vries also told the “Bild” newspaper that the question of why the repatriation of the alleged perpetrator to Iraq “was not carried out by the state of Berlin” was politically important.

Berlin’s CDU leader Kai Wegner also urged clarification. “If the terrorist drive on the city motorway could have been prevented, Geisel will get into trouble,” said Wegner with a view to Interior Senator Andreas Geisel (SPD).

The SPD internal politician Zimmermann assured that the case would be dealt with in detail. The suspected Iraqi was once placed in a psychiatric hospital and then released. He has “apparently a past, and we will be told exactly what was the reason for letting him go.” If a mistake happened, it had to be corrected.


Bavaria announces Corona-Tests for everyone

In Bayern should be able to let everyone on the Coronavirus test – regardless of whether he has symptoms. The Tests should be extended to “solid,” as health Minister Melanie Huml (CSU), said on Sunday in Munich. They announced a “Corona-Test campaign”: “All the citizens of Bavaria is offered, therefore, timely, to be a established doctor even without symptoms test.”

Generally speaking, In the fight against the Virus Tests are now in Germany, even in the absence of acute signs of disease on a broad Front possible, especially in sensitive areas such as hospitals, nursing homes, schools, and daycare centers. Federal Minister of health, Jens Spahn (CDU) had announced just three weeks ago, a regulation, a number of additional test facilities on a cash cost sets. Until then, there were Tests on a cash cost in the rule, only in the case of suspected Infection – so if you had symptoms such as fever, cough, sore throat, or a smell – and taste disorders.

Bavaria is the first state, which provides for, in the future, Tests for everyone. “A cornerstone of our Bavarian test concept is that all the people who want to be tested for an infection to SARS-CoV-2, to obtain certainty about whether or not you have been infected” said Huml. Who bears the cost, remained open in the first place.

After the massive Coronavirus outbreak in the meat Tönnies in the district of Gütersloh, the number of Infected has increased in the rest of the population there is “noticeably”. As the circle announced on Saturday evening, have been tested in the past seven days, through Friday, 75 people positive for the Virus, which have no relation to the company. The were 28 more than the previous week. The reason for the rise, especially the expansion of Tests, many of the Infected but showed no symptoms, the authority said.

The focus of the Tests at slaughterhouses

After the incident at Tönnies, should also be in Bavaria, the focus of the Tests at slaughterhouses and meat processing plants. The goal is “larger outbreak occurred in Gütersloh prevent,” said the health Minister. In 33 addition, the selected meat, the employees should be tested and operated in Bavaria in a row. “We want to find out whether the high physical workload and physical work in adverse climate, present conditions, and possible other risk factors for coronavirus infection,” said Huml.

In the first comprehensive Corona-Series tests of the employees, 51 battle in Bavaria a total of 110 people were stations to the Ministry of information is positive to SARS-CoV-2 have been tested.


After the riots: Seehofer’s visit to Stuttgart planned

Bundesinnenminister Horst Seehofer (CSU) wants to make after the riots in Stuttgart in front of a picture of the situation. This is the baden-württemberg Ministry of the interior announced on Monday. Interior Minister Thomas Strobl (CDU), will meet Seehofer, 12 PM, to a meeting in his office. 13 at a forward location in the city centre was planned.

The riots on Saturday night were involved according to police, 400 to 500 people. At least 19 police officers were injured. 24 people were taken into custody.

Strobl insured, with the utmost determination against the rioters to proceed. “We will continue to pursue with everything that the state makes available to the rioters and hold them to account,” he said on Sunday evening in the ARD”Tagesthemen”. The quality of this violence is not new. Strobl pointed out that there is little evidence of a political Motivation. This came from the “party scene”, sure drugs and alcohol were in the game. In the baden-württemberg state capital had rioted on the night of Sunday, hundreds of people and police officers attacked. Emergency workers were pelted with bottles and stones, many shops looted.

“Social And Stimulating Climate”

The domestic policy spokesman of the Union faction in the Bundestag, Mathias Middelberg (CDU), called for a thorough investigation into the riots. “The Emergence of right-free areas, but we must not allow,” said Middelberg of the “world”. The violence would have to be solved outbreaks “wholeheartedly, and the perpetrators punished”. It was true that “we have tightened up the penalties for attacks on police officers just”.

The former Greens co-chair Cem Özdemir warned of a coarsening of the society. “We have to do it in total, with a coarsening of manners, the use of violence,” said Ozdemir in the RTL show “Good Morning Germany”.

There had to be a preoccupation with the question, “how does it happen that young people, in particular with a background of migration, to slip away to the part of us,” said Özdemir. He called at the same time, tough action against the rioters: “This must be punished with the full force of the law.”

The trade Union of police (GdP) is calling on the government to stand behind the police. “We must realize that we are in a social and stimulating climate”, said the Vice-GdP-Chairman Jörg Radek RTL. The policy must strengthen the police now, “the back and not in the back fall”.

Meanwhile, Horst Seehofer, reaps strong criticism after he announced a controversial newspaper column about the police and a criminal complaint. The national Director of the Green Michael Kellner, wrote on Twitter: “This is an attack on the freedom of the press, regardless of whether one finds the opinion, post is good or bad.”


ADAC welcomes revision of the new StVO

Dhe ADAC welcomed plans from Transport Minister Andreas Scheuer (CSU) to partially revise the new road traffic regulations. “In particular, speeding violations are punished disproportionately hard,” said traffic president Gerhard Hillebrand on Friday of the German press agency. “With the new regulation, the tried and tested differentiation into light, medium and gross traffic violations was lost, and with it the balance of fines, points and driving bans was lost. Here a strong differentiation makes sense. “

According to information from the German Press Agency, the ministry is working on the revision of part of the catalog of fines. Above all, it is about the rule that a driving ban is now in danger for a month if you drive 21 kilometers per hour too fast in urban areas or 26 km / h out of town. This regulation is “disproportionate”, the Ministry said.

The changes to the traffic regulations came into force at the end of April. In February, the Federal Council tightened Scheuer’s bill on many points, including the rule on driving bans for speeders. Scheuer had nevertheless put the amended regulation into effect – the alternative would have been to withdraw it entirely. The focus of the new road rules is actually better protection for cyclists, especially in cities.

in the On Friday morning, the Bundestag is debating applications from the AfD and the FDP demanding changes to the catalog of fines. The FDP traffic politician Oliver Luksic welcomed Scheuer’s turn. Impending driving bans should be avoided if the speed limit exceeded 21 km / h once in a city and 26 km / h outside the city. The “driving license trap for millions of drivers” must be abolished.

In a letter from Luksic to Scheuer earlier this week, the FDP politician wrote that many of the adjustments made made sense and were in part long overdue. “With a few, however, I miss measure and middle.” The letter was in the dpa.


Who is the virologist Hendrik Streeck?

DGermany is currently divided into two: some play in Team Drosten, others in Team Streeck. One is a virologist in Berlin, the other a virologist in Bonn. One warns of a second wave and hasty loosening, the other assesses the virus as less dangerous. Christian Drosten and Hendrik Streeck know each other well, exchanged regularly until Easter. Since then there has been silence between the two scientists who are currently moving the Republic. Six years of age separate the two. Streeck, the younger, looks almost youthful at 42. Looks like a model, not a scientist. Streeck likes to laugh, shows a happy face, which some find inappropriate. After all, we are living in a crisis, and a scientist from the beating of a Drosten with his mostly serious expression seems to fit in better for many.

What they have in common is that they are extremely hostile. They only do their job as scientists. The decisions that result from it make others. Both value that they do not make any political recommendations, they give their opinion, but do not close or open schools and day-care centers, beer gardens and shops.


Controversy over further corona loosening

Z.At the start of the week, the restrictions applicable due to the corona pandemic are further relaxed in many federal states. Hairdressers are allowed to reopen their salons, hundreds of thousands of pupils can study in schools again. Last week, the federal and state governments had already agreed to allow services and open playgrounds. Museums and zoos are also expected to receive visitors in many places, all subject to hygiene requirements.

But the discussion about further easing continues. The next Wednesday, Chancellor Angela Merkel and the prime ministers of the federal states will give advice again. Further steps are expected from the conversation than from last Wednesday, when the current steps were decided. The economy in particular is putting massive pressure in the face of the economic downturn.

According to a “picture” report, the federal states want to enforce a relaxation of the ban on contacts in advice. In a preparatory conference call by the heads of the state chancellery, it was said that meetings of up to five people could be allowed again – as was the case this Monday in Saxony-Anhalt, reports the newspaper (online). So far, there has been a limit of two people who do not belong to the same household.

Bavaria’s Prime Minister Markus Söder (CSU), who is currently Chairman of the Prime Minister’s Conference, said in the ARD program “Anne Will” on Sunday evening when asked about this expansion: “I don’t know about that.” And: “There is a lot of talk.”

On the subject of football, the newspaper wrote about the conference call: “For the approval of so-called ghost games of the Bundesliga (without spectators in the stadium) planned for May, a regulation should be found to broadcast these games on public TV.” The background is that the current Season of the subscription broadcaster Sky had the television rights and the country heads feared that there could be real Sky parties of football fans.

Solutions for Bundesliga and popular sports

North Rhine-Westphalia threatens to go it alone with the daycare centers if the federal / state group does not decide on a uniform opening course. “We will not allow ourselves to be put off for another week,” said the Vice Prime Minister and Family Minister Joachim Stamp (FDP) in the “Morning Briefing” podcast by Gabor Steingart.

Federal Minister of the Interior Horst Seehofer (CSU) warned of caution, but announced that on Wednesday there would be talk about the Bundesliga games such as grassroots sport, about opening schools to other age groups and about gastronomy. According to the “picture”, a plan for opening the restaurants before Pentecost should be presented. Federal Minister of Health Jens Spahn (CDU) said on the ARD: “It is important that we also give a perspective there. I think that will happen on Wednesday. “

Finance minister Olaf Scholz (SPD) announced with “Anne Will” that the coalition plans to launch an economic stimulus package in late May or early June to boost economic activity. Söder also confirmed this schedule.

Seehofer also gave ZDF the benchmark for more openings: “I want us to gradually loosen up in the light of infection development.” Like Spahn, he considers loosening steps to be feasible only because of the restrictions and the discipline Have enabled citizens to curb the spread of the virus. It is not defeated, and Spahn also believes it may take years to find a vaccine, he said.

Left-wing chairwoman Katja Kipping, however, is calling for an “exit from the spiral of easing debate”. Looking at their supporters, she said in the “Tagesspiegel” in Berlin: “What we (FDP chief Christian) Lindner, (NRW Prime Minister Armin) Laschet and Co. sell as an exit strategy does not lead us out of the corona crisis, but in a second wave of infection. ”That costs the economy and people more than an extended lockdown.

The changes at the start of the week:

For many Hairdressers is actually closed on Mondays – but this time many salons will open: After around six weeks of compulsory break, the industry expects a rush to reopen. Due to the distance restrictions, fewer people can be served at the same time. “Face-related services” such as eyebrow and eyelash coloring and beard care are prohibited.

In many countries, those are now coming after the final grades student back on a daily basis, who will have final exams in the next school year, as well as the top elementary school classes. Distance regulations and hygiene requirements apply to avoid a feared surge in the number of infections. The children of the other grades initially stay at home.

In some countries such as Saxony-Anhalt, Thuringia and Rhineland-Palatinate, everyone is allowed to start again this week businesses open – regardless of your range and also with more than the previous maximum value of 800 square meters of retail space. However, you must comply with requirements. For example, a mask requirement and a limitation of people per square meter apply. Others such as Brandenburg and Hamburg remain with the limitation for the time being. In other countries such as North Rhine-Westphalia and Bavaria, the regulation applies with exceptions.

The nationwide regulations remain in effect almost everywhere Contact restrictions – the exception is Saxony-Anhalt. There, the black-red-green state government decided on Saturday that groups of up to five instead of two people were allowed to meet from Monday – provided the minimum distance of 1.5 meters was observed. This allows numerous loosenings, for example in club sports, but also in educational offers.


Confusion about the number of reproductions in Bavaria

Lothar Wieler, the president of the Robert Koch Institute, has spoken out in favor of testing people for an infection with Sars-CoV-2 who have no symptoms but who work in care facilities, for example. Last week there were 860,000 tests available in Germany, more than ever before. However, only 467,000 of these were used. About 25,000 of these tests were positive, and some people were tested several times.

Wieler said that increasing test capacities could increase the official number of positive cases in the future. It is therefore not always the absolute cases that alone are decisive for the evaluation of the development, but the quota. “It is our task to convey and assess this.” Wieler appealed to the population to continue to abide by the contact restrictions: “Hold on! Then we can keep the virus at bay. “

He affirmed that Germany was still at the beginning of a marathon to overcome the crisis. The pandemic is only under control when the so-called epidemic of the population is between 60 and 70 percent. At present, Germany is in the single-digit percentage range. The majority of scientists assume a second and maybe even a third wave. “The virus is in our country, it will remain in our country for months.” Wieler does not yet see the time for so-called immunity passes. There are still too many unanswered questions about when and how long a person is really immune.

Wieler: Wearing masks is important

According to the RKI, 159,119 infections had been reported in Germany by Thursday, an increase of 1,478 compared to the previous day. 6,288 people died (plus 173) in connection with Covid-19, and about 123,500 recovered. According to RKI findings, the number of corona deaths in Germany is increasing. “We see that mortality is increasing in Germany,” said Wieler. “And we assume that more people have died from it than have been reported.” People are most likely to get infected in hospitals. “That’s why wearing masks is so important.” According to Wieler, the so-called number of reproductions is currently 0.76.

Because of different calculation methods and different results, there is now confusion in Bavaria about this number. Prime Minister Markus Söder announced the value of 0.57 on Monday after a meeting of the CSU board. On this basis, FDP parliamentary group leader Martin Hagen called for a relaxation of measures against the pandemic. But the number does not match the nationwide value of around 0.9 that the RKI has given in the past few days. The background is that various calculation approaches were used, as the Bavarian State Office for Health and Food Safety (LGL) in Erlangen has now explained.

Accordingly, on April 26 the RKI estimated the number of reproductions (as of April 22) for Bavaria at 0.9. According to the calculation method to which Söder referred, R was only 0.57 (data status as of April 23). Other federal states such as Baden-Württemberg, however, always refer to the calculation method chosen by the RKI for the declared values.

The reproduction number R is one of the central values ​​for assessing the course of an infection wave and has triggered several controversial discussions in the past few days. It shows how many people are infected on average in a certain period of time. The lower R is, the better. If R is less than 1, an infected person infects less than another person on average – and the epidemic ends. If R is greater than 1, an infected person infects more than another person on average – the number of new infections every day increases. (Read detailed information on the number of reproductions here)

The calculation of the reproduction rate is complex due to various factors and estimates. There are also various calculation approaches, as a LGL spokesman explained:

The LGL makes it clear that both procedures have a different focus: in the first case it is about the reporting and transmission process, in the second it is about the presumable course of illness. Both calculations would be observed and used in Bavaria.

The crux of the matter is that – for example at press conferences – the exact calculation methods and influencing factors are often hardly communicated.