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These fishermen in the South China Sea get paid for their time on water — not to fish

by Rachel Morgan News Editor April 24, 2026
written by Rachel Morgan News Editor

In the turquoise waters of the South China Sea, hundreds of fishing boats often sit idle off the coast of China. While they appear to be commercial vessels, surveillance indicates the crews are not there to fish, but rather to maintain a strategic presence.

These vessels are part of China’s “maritime militia,” a state-funded fleet that functions as a “third maritime force.” This force operates alongside the China Coast Guard and the People’s Liberation Army Navy to intimidate others and guard sovereignty in a contested region.

The Rise of ‘Ghost Ships’

Research from the US Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) reveals that the scale of these operations reached a record high in 2025. The daily average of dispatched vessels rose from 100 in 2021 to more than 241 by 2025.

The fleet is divided between professional militia and civilian-staffed vessels. Professional ships are typically larger and keep their Automatic Identification System (AIS) active, making them easy to track.

In contrast, smaller civilian vessels are often called “ghost ships” because they lack an AIS and can vanish from radar. Between 70 and 85 per cent of the fleet is operated by civilians under China’s Military-Civil Fusion policy.

Did You Know? To collect state payments, militia crews must prove they spent at least 280 days at sea, creating a financial incentive for longer deployments.

Financial Incentives and Crewing

The Chinese government provides vessel upgrades, fuel subsidies, and a bonus for the “Nansha Backbone Fishing Fleet” (known in English as the Spratly Backbone Fishing Fleet). Five years ago, these payments were approximately $US3,500 ($5,400) per boat per day.

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From Instagram — related to China, South

This lucrative system has shifted how boats are crewed. Rather than employing skilled fishers, owners often hire a skeleton staff of seven or eight people, sometimes including family members.

While they often appear to be simply dropping anchor, analysts suggest the militia performs critical roles. These include reconnaissance, intelligence surveillance, and providing logistics support.

Expert Insight: By utilizing a state-funded civilian fleet, China effectively blurs the line between commercial activity and military operation. This “grey zone” strategy allows for the projection of power and the intimidation of regional neighbors while maintaining a layer of plausible deniability.

Strategic Maneuvers and Regional Tension

The militia’s capabilities have been demonstrated in both the South and East China Seas. In December, 2,000 vessels—including barges and car ferries—formed a massive “snake formation” north of Taiwan, a pattern repeated by 1,200 vessels in January.

Chung Ting Huang of Taiwan’s Institute for National Defense and Security Research suggests these may be rehearsals for a blockade and a form of “cognitive warfare.” Still, others suggest these formations could be related to bad weather, Lunar New Year exercises, or seasonal fishing.

Tensions are currently high during the annual Balikatan military exercise, running from April 20 to May 8. Thousands of troops from the US, Philippines, Australia, and Japan are conducting drills, including live-fire exercises in the South China Sea and maneuvers on Itbayat island.

China has warned that these exercises create “division and confrontation.” Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesperson Guo Jiakun stated that tying together security efforts would only “backfire.”

Professionalization and Escalation

The militia’s roots trace back to Mao Zedong’s “People’s War” ideology. In 2013, President Xi Jinping praised the force as a “model unit” and encouraged the gathering of offshore intelligence.

Professionalization and Escalation
China Coast Guard

Experts note that current and former navy personnel are increasingly integrated into these state-owned vessels. This influx has boosted the fleet’s professionalism and its ability to threaten neighbors.

This escalation was evident in December 2025, when the Philippine Coast Guard released video showing professional militia vessels using water cannons against Filipino fishermen near the Sabina Shoal. Details of the encounter are available here.

Looking Ahead

As the Balikatan exercises continue, analysts suggest China may deploy the maritime militia to monitor the drills and position pressure on Manila.

Fishermen lived on South China Sea islands centuries ago

There is a possibility that China could attempt to embarrass the United States by massing militia vessels in other locations within the Philippine Exclusive Economic Zone.

While Vietnam also operates a smaller maritime militia, the scale and professionalization of China’s fleet may continue to influence the stability of this critical maritime trade route.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the “maritime militia”?

It is a state-funded fleet that acts as a “third maritime force” for China, operating alongside the China Coast Guard and the People’s Liberation Army Navy to maintain presence and guard sovereignty.

What is the "maritime militia"?
China Coast Guard

What are “ghost ships”?

These are smaller, civilian-staffed militia vessels that do not use an Automatic Identification System (AIS), allowing them to vanish from radar screens.

Why are the “snake formations” significant?

Some experts view these coordinated mass gatherings of vessels north of Taiwan as rehearsals for a blockade and a form of cognitive warfare designed to rattle public morale.

Do you believe the use of civilian vessels for military purposes changes the way international maritime law should be applied?

April 24, 2026 0 comments
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World

Japan ditches decades of arm export curbs as US reliability wavers

by Chief Editor April 18, 2026
written by Chief Editor

Japan’s Evolving Defense Exports: A Strategic Shift

Japan is taking a significant step away from its long-standing limitations on arms exports. This transition is not merely a policy change but a strategic move designed to strengthen the domestic defense industry and spur technological innovation.

Japan's Evolving Defense Exports: A Strategic Shift
Japan Defense Principles

By relaxing these rules, Tokyo aims to deepen its security ties and reduce its reliance on the United States at a time when Washington is increasingly perceived as a less reliable partner. This shift reflects a broader effort to adapt to a changing global security environment.

Did you know? Japan’s post-war restrictions on arms exports were first codified in 1967, prohibiting transfers to communist bloc countries, nations under UN arms embargoes, or those involved in international conflicts.

Understanding the Three Principles on Transfer of Defense Equipment and Technology

At the heart of this transition are the Three Principles on Transfer of Defense Equipment and Technology. Originally established on April 1, 2014, in accordance with the National Security Strategy (NSS), these principles provide a clear framework for the overseas transfer of defense equipment.

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The primary objective is to promote the maintenance of international peace and security. This includes providing timely and effective contributions to international peace cooperation and international disaster relief activities.

From Post-War Restrictions to Modern Reality

The journey toward the current policy has been gradual. While the 1967 rules were strict, they were expanded in 1976 to cover all areas of the world, provided the transfers remained in conformity with Japan’s position as a “peace-loving nation.”

More recently, the Ukraine crisis and other global instabilities have prompted a fresh review of these policies from an international perspective. The government has sought to balance the need for peace contributions with the necessity of developing a robust defense industry.

Strengthening the Domestic Defense Ecosystem

Analysts suggest that easing export rules will have far-reaching consequences for Japan’s industrial base. By expanding the export of defense equipment, Japan can help maintain the international order while simultaneously fostering innovation within its own borders.

Japan Relaxes Arms Export Regime

This industrial development is seen as a key component in ensuring that Japan can maintain its security capabilities independently, while still operating as a peace-loving nation.

Pro Tip for Industry Observers: Watch for the implementation of end-use monitoring mechanisms. These are critical for ensuring that exported tech does not leak to unauthorized third parties.

Managing Risks: Preventing Third-Party Leaks

Given the sensitivity of arms exports, the Japanese government is moving to tighten controls over weapons after they have been exported. New rules are being adopted to prevent equipment from being leaked to third parties or transferred to terrorist groups.

Managing Risks: Preventing Third-Party Leaks
Japan Defense Principles

According to reports from the Yomiuri Shimbun, the government intends to establish a rigorous mechanism to monitor the end-use of exported weapons to ensure they are used only for their intended purposes.

This balance—expanding exports to support allies while maintaining strict oversight—is the central challenge for Tokyo’s current defense strategy.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the Three Principles on Transfer of Defense Equipment and Technology?
They are a set of guidelines established by the Japanese government in 2014 to regulate the overseas transfer of defense equipment and technology to fit the modern security environment.

Why is Japan changing its arms export rules?
The changes aim to strengthen the domestic defense industry, spur innovation, deepen security ties, and reduce reliance on the US.

How will Japan prevent the misuse of exported weapons?
The government is implementing revised rules and monitoring mechanisms to track the end-use of weapons and prevent their onward sale to third countries or terrorist groups.

Does this contradict Japan’s identity as a peace-loving nation?
The government maintains that the transfer of defense equipment should proceed in a manner that does not contradict the principles of being a peace-loving nation and aims to promote international peace and security.

What do you think about Japan’s shift in defense policy? Do you believe this will lead to a more stable international order? Let us know in the comments below or subscribe to our newsletter for more deep dives into global security trends.

April 18, 2026 0 comments
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