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Estimating firms’ emissions from asset level data helps revealing (mis)alignment to net zero targets

by Chief Editor March 8, 2026
written by Chief Editor

The Race to Net Zero: Are Corporate Climate Commitments on Track?

The global push to limit warming to 1.5°C, as outlined in the Paris Agreement, is intensifying. But are corporate climate commitments translating into real-world emissions reductions? A growing body of research suggests a significant gap exists between ambition and action, particularly within key sectors like energy and heavy industry.

The State of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs)

The central mechanism for countries to commit to climate action under the Paris Agreement, the Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), faced delays. Originally due in February 2025, the deadline was extended to September 24, 2025, to encourage more robust plans ahead of COP30 in Belém, Brazil. As of September 23, 2025, only 40 countries – representing 24.5% of global emissions and 16.6% of the global population – had submitted their NDCs. This slow progress underscores the challenges in achieving collective climate goals.

Corporate Commitments: A Mixed Bag

While corporate climate ambition is rising, alignment with global goals remains inconsistent. Analysis reveals significant regional variations. Companies in Europe and Asia Pacific generally demonstrate stronger commitments, particularly in setting targets for Scope 1 & 2 and Scope 3 emissions, compared to those in the Americas. However, even with these commitments, questions remain about their stringency and enforceability.

The Challenge of “Net Zero”

The term “net zero” has become ubiquitous, but its meaning is often vague. Research highlights the demand for clarity and standardization in net-zero targets. Simply put, a commitment to net-zero emissions isn’t enough; the pathways to achieve it matter significantly.

Focus on High-Emitting Sectors: Steel and Cement

Certain industries face particularly steep decarbonization challenges. The steel and cement sectors, for example, are responsible for a substantial portion of global emissions. Studies are focusing on pathways to reduce emissions in these sectors, including energy efficiency improvements and the adoption of new technologies. For instance, research examines the potential of phasing out blast furnaces to meet climate targets. Existing energy infrastructure poses a significant hurdle, with committed emissions potentially jeopardizing the 1.5°C target.

Measuring and Monitoring Emissions

Accurately measuring and reporting corporate carbon footprints is crucial for accountability. However, inconsistencies in methodologies and data availability complicate this process. Several methods exist for setting “science-based” emission targets, but their effectiveness varies. Estimating non-reported emissions remains a challenge, requiring the use of machine learning and other advanced techniques.

Did you know? The “2°C capital stock” refers to the emissions already locked in from existing power plants and infrastructure, highlighting the urgency of transitioning to cleaner energy sources.

Financed Emissions: A Growing Area of Scrutiny

Increasingly, attention is turning to “financed emissions” – the emissions associated with investments made by financial institutions. Here’s prompting a closer look at how portfolios align with climate goals and the potential for asset stranding as the world transitions to a low-carbon economy.

FAQ: Corporate Climate Action

Q: What are Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions?
A: Scope 1 emissions are direct emissions from a company’s owned or controlled sources. Scope 2 emissions are indirect emissions from the generation of purchased electricity, steam, heating, and cooling. Scope 3 emissions include all other indirect emissions that occur in a company’s value chain.

Q: What is a “science-based target”?
A: A science-based target is an emissions reduction goal that is consistent with what the latest climate science deems necessary to meet the goals of the Paris Agreement.

Q: Why is it important to measure financed emissions?
A: Measuring financed emissions helps to assess the climate risk of investments and encourages financial institutions to align their portfolios with climate goals.

Pro Tip: Look beyond headline net-zero pledges. Focus on the interim targets, the scope of emissions covered, and the specific actions companies are taking to reduce their carbon footprint.

Q: What role does technology play in reducing emissions?
A: Technology plays a crucial role, from improving energy efficiency to developing new low-carbon materials and processes. Machine learning is likewise being used to estimate corporate carbon footprints and identify areas for improvement.

Seek to learn more about corporate sustainability? Explore our other articles on responsible investing and the circular economy.

Share your thoughts! What steps do you suppose are most important for companies to seize to address climate change? Leave a comment below.

March 8, 2026 0 comments
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