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Experts explain why it’s taking so long for floodwaters to recede | News

by Chief Editor
written by Chief Editor

Lake Cadillac’s Slow Descent: A Look at Flood Recovery and Future Challenges

CADILLAC — Residents around Lake Cadillac and Lake Mitchell are facing a prolonged recovery as water levels recede at a painstakingly slow pace. As of Tuesday, Lake Cadillac stood at 1292.25 feet above mean sea level, 2.25 feet above the court-ordered spring level established in 1967.

The Agonizingly Slow Decline

Since peaking on April 19th, Lake Cadillac has dropped approximately 3.6 inches, averaging a mere 1/3 to 4/10 of an inch per day. While subtle signs of improvement are visible – a 3-inch gap now exists under the Clam River Dam where there was none at peak levels and water is flowing freely under the Haynes Street bridge – the overall rate of decline is causing concern and frustration for lakeside property owners.

Dam Capacity and Downstream Restrictions

The primary bottleneck in the drainage process is the Clam River Dam. A recent assessment by J.E. Tiffany and Associates confirmed that the dam “represents the most significant hydraulic restriction.” The engineering firm’s report highlighted that maintaining the April 1st water level would have required more than doubling the dam and river system’s existing capacity, illustrating the sheer volume of water influx experienced this spring.

Downstream constraints, including channel geometry, slope, bridges, and culverts, further limit the rate of discharge. Even removing the Chestnut Street culverts and the Clam River Dam wouldn’t fully resolve the issue, as the river’s capacity remains limited by these downstream factors.

Changing Storm Patterns and Rising Lake Levels

Wexford County Drain Commissioner Mike Solomon attributes the record-high water levels to increasingly frequent and intense storms, leading to increased runoff. The lakes have risen more than 8 inches since April 1st, according to Solomon. This pattern of heavier rainfall events is exacerbating the challenges of water management.

A Glimmer of Hope: Dryer Weather on the Horizon

Long-range forecasts from Accuweather’s Paul Pastelok offer a potential reprieve. The Cadillac area is expected to enter a relatively dry period over the next several weeks, with heavy rain systems likely remaining south of Michigan during May and June. Any rainfall is anticipated to be brief, yielding only a quarter to half an inch of precipitation at a time, a significant contrast to the 1 to 6 inches experienced earlier this month.

From Instagram — related to Glimmer of Hope, Dryer Weather

Warmer temperatures and potential strong winds are also expected to contribute to increased evaporation rates, further aiding the drainage process. Friday and Saturday are forecast to be particularly favorable for drainage, with mostly sunny skies and temperatures in the mid- to upper 40s.

Historical Context and Future Outlook

During the last major flooding event in 2008, it took six weeks for Lake Cadillac to return to 1290 feet above mean sea level. However, water levels this month rose approximately a foot higher than they did in June 2008, suggesting a potentially longer recovery period. Solomon cautioned against precise predictions, emphasizing the unpredictable nature of drainage rates due to fluctuating weather conditions.

As Texas Floodwaters Recede In Some Area, Destruction Revealed | TODAY

He estimates it’s possible the lakes won’t return to their established spring levels for another two to three months, though substantial relief from flooding on roads, yards, and in homes could come sooner.

Lake Level Data (April 1 – April 27, 2026)

  • April 1 — 1,290.43
  • April 7 — 1,291.13
  • April 14 — 1,291.57
  • April 15 — 1,292.20
  • April 16 — 1,292.33
  • April 17 — 1,292.41
  • April 18 — 1,292.51
  • April 19 — 1,292.55
  • April 20 — 1,292.53
  • April 21 — 1,292.43
  • April 23 — 1,292.38
  • April 24 — 1,292.34
  • April 25 — 1,292.32
  • April 26 — 1,292.30
  • April 27 — 1,292.25

FAQ: Lake Cadillac Flood Recovery

Q: How is the water level being managed?
A: The Wexford County Drain Commission is responsible for regulating water levels on Lakes Cadillac and Mitchell, maintaining the Clam River Dam, and monitoring county drains.

Q: What is causing the high water levels?
A: Increasingly frequent and intense storms, coupled with increased runoff, are contributing to the record-high water levels.

Q: How long will it take for the water to recede?
A: The recovery period is expected to take several months, potentially two to three, but the exact timeline is dependent on weather conditions.

Q: What is being done to improve drainage?
A: The Clam River Dam is open, and efforts are being made to maximize water flow. However, downstream restrictions limit the rate of discharge.

Did you know? The Clam River Dam has been open for almost six months, and prior to the heaviest rains, was hand-cranked beyond its motor capacity to maximize water flow.

Stay informed about lake levels and flood recovery efforts by visiting the Wexford County Drain Commission website.

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World

Body found in New Zealand after deluge causes major flooding in Wellington

by Chief Editor
written by Chief Editor

The Shift Toward Community-Led Crisis Management

In the wake of devastating rainfall in Wellington, a significant trend has emerged in how the region handles disaster recovery: a reliance on community-driven support systems over traditional infrastructure alone.

The role of local Māori groups has become central to this effort. By opening their marae—traditional meeting grounds—to those in need, local Iwi have provided critical shelter and sanctuary for dozens of displaced residents.

This movement toward community-led resilience highlights a growing necessity for integrated social networks during extreme weather events. As observed by Green Party MP Tamatha Paul, the sight of the community coming together and Iwi offering shelter has been a “gorgeous” but necessary response to the crisis.

Did you know? The sheer force of the record rainfall in Wellington was illustrated when the body of a cow washed ashore on Island Bay Beach.

Addressing Urban Infrastructure Fragility

The recent flooding has exposed critical vulnerabilities in urban infrastructure. From schoolyards being destroyed to pavements and roads being lifted and broken, the physical landscape of the capital has suffered widespread damage.

Addressing Urban Infrastructure Fragility
Wellington Island

The trend of “recovering” from these events now involves more than just clearing debris; it requires a fundamental look at how low-lying areas are managed. Residents in these zones have already faced evacuation orders as floodwaters surged.

Current priorities for authorities include securing financial assistance for individuals who have lost their homes and incomes, acknowledging that the physical damage to the city is mirrored by economic instability for its residents.

The Impact on Public Spaces

Damage is not limited to residential areas. Reports show that schoolyards and public roads across Wellington were heavily impacted, leaving a trail of silt, mud, and fallen trees that require extensive clearing efforts.

The Impact on Public Spaces
Island Wellington Tamatha Paul

The Economic Toll on Local Commerce

Small businesses are facing a grueling recovery process as they attempt to reopen shops amidst thick silt and debris. In suburbs like Newtown, business owners have spent days clearing their premises to return to operational status.

The case of the Unichem pharmacy in Island Bay serves as a prime example of the “long game” businesses must now play. With carpets ripped up and water reaching 10 to 20 centimetres off the ground, bottom shelves and inventory were destroyed.

This damage leads to a ripple effect in public health services; for instance, the pharmacy had to reduce its services during peak vaccination season due to the flood impact.

Pro Tip: For businesses in flood-prone areas, prioritizing the elevation of critical inventory and essential medical supplies can mitigate losses during sudden surges.

Navigating a Cycle of Frequent Emergencies

One of the most concerning trends noted by local representatives is the increasing frequency of extreme weather events. MP Tamatha Paul remarked that it “almost feels like every week there’s a modern state of emergency.”

Body found in search for British tourist in New Zealand

This pattern suggests a shift from treating floods as isolated incidents to managing them as recurring threats. Even as rain begins to ease in parts of the North Island, the danger persists.

Authorities continue to warn of high river risks, and MetService has issued fresh warnings for eastern-facing regions, including Hawke’s Bay, indicating that the region remains in a state of high alert.

The Human Cost of Extreme Weather

The human toll remains the most poignant aspect of these trends. The search for missing persons, such as Philip Sutton in Karori, often ends in tragedy. In this instance, police discovered a body on the south coast near the mouth of the Karori Stream, after Mr. Sutton’s car was found a kilometre from where it was originally parked.

The Human Cost of Extreme Weather
Island Wellington North Island

Frequently Asked Questions

How are local communities supporting flood victims in Wellington?

Local Māori groups and Iwi have played a critical role by opening their marae to provide shelter and support to those displaced by the floods.

What is the current status of the North Island weather?

While rain has eased in some areas, MetService has issued new warnings for Hawke’s Bay and other eastern-facing regions, and authorities warn of ongoing high river risks.

How have local businesses been affected?

Businesses in areas like Newtown and Island Bay have dealt with silt, mud, and interior water damage, leading to reduced services and costly repairs to facilities.

Stay Informed on Regional Recovery

Are you seeing similar patterns of extreme weather in your area? We want to hear your stories of community resilience.

Share your thoughts in the comments below or subscribe to our newsletter for the latest updates on urban resilience and disaster recovery.

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Business

Waukesha County hit by historic flooding again | Waukesha Co. News

by Chief Editor
written by Chief Editor

The Growing Challenge of Flash Flooding in Wisconsin

Flooding has established itself as the most common and costly disaster across Wisconsin. The patterns are often seasonal, with major events typically occurring in the spring due to melting snow and runoff, or during the summer and early fall following intense rainfall.

From Instagram — related to Road, Waukesha County

Recent events in Waukesha County have highlighted a recurring pattern—a sense of “déjà vu” where historic flooding is followed by subsequent stormy weather and rainfall that continues to disrupt the region.

Did you know? A flash flood is a sudden, violent flood that can develop within minutes to hours. Interestingly, it is possible to experience a flash flood even in areas that are not immediately receiving rain.

Understanding the Mechanics of Flash Floods

Flash flooding is typically caused by excessive rainfall in a short window, generally less than six hours. These events are characterized by raging torrents that can rip through urban streets and river beds.

Understanding the Mechanics of Flash Floods
Road Waukesha County Flood

Beyond heavy rain, other triggers include the failure of a dam or levee, or the sudden release of water caused by ice or debris jams. Areas previously damaged by wildfires are particularly susceptible to these sudden surges of water.

Infrastructure Vulnerability and Road Closures

The impact of severe weather is most visible in the immediate closure of critical transit routes. When rainfall intensifies, motorists often face significant “headaches” as roads become impassable.

Recent closures in Waukesha County serve as a case study for infrastructure vulnerability, affecting areas such as:

  • Barker Road: Multiple segments, including stretches from River Road to Capitol Drive and North Avenue to Gebhardt Road.
  • Pilgrim Road: Closures from Gebhardt to Watertown Plank.
  • River Road: Impacted from Brookfield Road to Barker Road.
  • Delafield Road: Closures between N Peninsula Drive and N Venice Beach Road.

These disruptions extend beyond roads, impacting community hubs. For instance, the Sharon Lynne Wilson Center for the Arts and Mitchell Park have faced closures due to flooding, though some areas, like Fox Brook Park, may remain accessible via specific routes.

Pro Tip: Always follow the golden rule of flood safety: “Turn Around Don’t Drown.” Never drive into standing water or ignore road barriers; instead, find an alternative route.

The Intersection of Flooding and Severe Storms

Flooding rarely happens in isolation. Recent data shows that severe storms can bring a combination of threats, including high-wind events. In the Lisbon-Sussex area, the National Weather Service confirmed an EF2 tornado with maximum wind speeds of 120 mph.

Waukesha County Historic Flooding Recovery & Response

This tornado covered 3.2 miles in six minutes, causing structural damage such as lifting roofs off buildings, destroying outbuildings, and uprooting trees. When combined with intense rainfall, these complex storm systems create a multi-layered emergency for local residents and the Emergency Operations Center (EOC).

Preparing for Future Weather Events

To mitigate the risks associated with Wisconsin’s most costly disaster, experts recommend a proactive approach to home and personal safety. Key steps include:

Preparing for Future Weather Events
Flood Flash Flooding
  • Securing Insurance: Obtaining flood insurance to protect against financial loss.
  • Home Fortification: Taking steps to secure the home and knowing the specific flood risk of the property.
  • Utility Safety: Knowing how to turn off utilities at the main switches during a flood event.

For real-time updates on highway closures, motorists are encouraged to utilize 511wi.gov to plan their routes safely.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the difference between a Flood Watch and a Flood Warning?
A Flood Watch means conditions are favorable for flooding to occur, but it is not guaranteed. A Flood Warning means flooding is imminent or already occurring.

What is a Flood Advisory?
A Flood Advisory is issued when flooding is not expected to be severe enough for a warning, but may still cause significant inconvenience or threaten life and property if caution is not exercised.

How long does it grab for a flash flood to develop?
Flash floods can develop very quickly, taking anywhere from a few minutes to a few hours.

Are you seeing flooding in your neck of the woods?

Facilitate us track the impact of severe weather by sharing your photos and videos. Stay informed and stay safe!

Learn more about flood preparedness from Waukesha County.

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World

Tropical cyclone Sinlaku causes significant damage in Northern Mariana Islands and Guam

by Chief Editor
written by Chief Editor

Super Typhoon Sinlaku Ravages Northern Mariana Islands and Guam: A Region Increasingly Vulnerable

A super typhoon, packing winds exceeding 250 kilometers per hour, has inflicted significant damage on the Commonwealth of Northern Mariana Islands (CNMI) and Guam. The storm, categorized as a Category 5 system, brought destructive winds and heavy rainfall, leaving residents sheltering in place amidst widespread devastation.

Devastation in the Mariana Islands

Locals on Tinian and Saipan have reported widespread destruction, including downed trees, damaged homes, and an island-wide power outage. Deborah Fleming, from the Tinian Women’s Association, described the situation as “absolutely scary,” noting that residents are experiencing flooding and significant structural damage to their homes. The National Weather Service advised residents to remain in designated shelters as the storm stalled over the islands.

From Instagram — related to Mariana, Islands

Cyclone Sinlaku caused major damage to properties in Northern Mariana Islands and Guam. (Facebook: Kae Duenas Camacho)

A ‘Diabolical’ Stall and Prolonged Impacts

Meteorologists have noted the unusual sluggish movement of Typhoon Sinlaku, which is prolonging the duration of the storm’s impact. Landon Aydlett from the National Weather Service in Guam described the situation as “especially diabolical,” emphasizing the extended period of damaging winds and rainfall. Even as Guam experienced tropical storm-force conditions, the CNMI bore the brunt of the storm’s intensity.

Typhoon Sinlaku leaves a trail of damage, when will conditions improve?

A History of Powerful Typhoons

This event follows a pattern of increasingly powerful typhoons impacting the Mariana Islands. The region was previously struck by Typhoon Mawar in 2023 and Super Typhoon Yutu in 2018 – the strongest typhoon ever recorded to impact the islands. Some residents report that the current event is even more severe than Yutu, despite slightly weaker wind speeds, due to its prolonged duration.

A massive swirling mass of white cloud is seen from space

Cyclone Sinlaku could be seen from space moving through the region. (JMA/JAXA/Handout via Reuters)

Federal Assistance on the Way

US Congresswoman Kim King-Hinds has confirmed that requests for federal assistance have been made and that aid will be dispatched as soon as conditions allow for flights to Saipan International Airport. She urged residents to remain sheltered, stating that the storm remained dangerous even as the eye moved away.

Federal Assistance on the Way
Saipan Mariana

palm trees on side from wind.

Tropical storm-force winds are forecast until tomorrow. (Supplied: Chris Knight-Waechter)

FAQ

Q: What is the current status of Typhoon Sinlaku?
A: The eye of the storm has moved past the CNMI, but tropical storm-force winds are expected to continue.

Q: What areas have been most affected?
A: Tinian and Saipan in the Commonwealth of Northern Mariana Islands have experienced the most significant damage.

Q: Is aid being provided to the affected areas?
A: Federal assistance has been requested and will be delivered as soon as conditions permit.

Q: What should residents do now?
A: Residents are advised to remain sheltered until authorities declare it safe to venture out.

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Business

Police warn of crocodiles “absolutely everywhere” after Australia floods

by Chief Editor
written by Chief Editor

Australia Faces Rising Flood Risks: A New Era of Extreme Weather

Northern Australia is grappling with severe flooding, forcing over 1,000 people from their homes and prompting urgent warnings about crocodiles lurking in the floodwaters. The recent events in Katherine, Northern Territory, mark the worst flooding the town has seen since 1998, highlighting a growing trend of extreme weather events across the region.

The Immediate Crisis: Flooding and Crocodile Concerns

Recent heavy rains have overwhelmed communities, with police deploying helicopters and aircraft to evacuate residents from remote areas. Authorities are particularly concerned about the presence of crocodiles, both saltwater and freshwater, in the floodwaters. With an estimated 100,000 crocodiles inhabiting northern Australia, the risk to public safety is significant. Police have issued stark warnings against swimming or entering floodwaters, emphasizing the dangers posed by fast-flowing currents and the presence of these apex predators. A 40-year-ancient man was recently rescued from raging floodwaters in Beswick after becoming fatigued while attempting to swim.

Echoes of 1998: A Benchmark for Disaster

The current flooding in Katherine is being compared to the devastating floods of January 1998, triggered by Tropical Cyclone Les. In 1998, the Katherine River reached a record high of 20.4 meters, inundating over 1,000 square kilometers and resulting in three fatalities. The 1998 disaster caused an estimated $64.7 million in damages (1998 USD). The Katherine-Daly region, approximately 300 kilometers south of Darwin, experienced widespread devastation.

Climate Change and the Intensification of Extreme Weather

Researchers are increasingly linking the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, such as floods and cyclones, to climate change. The vast Northern Territory, already prone to extreme weather, is particularly vulnerable. The amplification of these risks underscores the urgent necessitate for proactive disaster preparedness and mitigation strategies.

Beyond Crocodiles: Other Hidden Dangers in Floodwaters

The dangers in floodwaters extend beyond crocodiles. Australian authorities previously warned of the presence of bull sharks in floodwaters in Queensland in 2022, demonstrating that a variety of hazardous wildlife can be displaced and concentrated by flooding. Contaminated water sources and submerged debris also pose significant risks to those affected by floods.

The Economic Impact and Recovery Challenges

Flooding causes substantial economic damage, disrupting transportation networks, damaging infrastructure and impacting local businesses. The Insurance Council of Australia estimated the 1998 damage at $70 million, with a normalized cost of $201 million in 2011 dollars. Recovery efforts are often lengthy and complex, requiring coordinated responses from government agencies, emergency services, and community organizations.

Future Trends: What to Expect

Experts predict that Australia will continue to experience more frequent and intense extreme weather events in the coming years. This will necessitate increased investment in flood mitigation infrastructure, improved early warning systems, and enhanced community resilience programs. Adapting to a changing climate will require a multi-faceted approach, encompassing both preventative measures and effective disaster response strategies.

FAQ

Q: What should I do if I encounter a crocodile in floodwaters?
A: Do not approach the crocodile. Immediately retreat to a safe location and contact emergency services.

Q: Is climate change contributing to more frequent floods in Australia?
A: Researchers have repeatedly warned that climate change amplifies the risk of natural disasters, including floods.

Q: What areas of Australia are most vulnerable to flooding?
A: Northern Australia, particularly the Northern Territory and Queensland, is highly vulnerable due to its tropical climate and susceptibility to cyclones.

Q: What is the current crocodile population in northern Australia?
A: There are estimated to be more than 100,000 saltwater and freshwater crocodiles living across northern Australia.

Pro Tip: Stay informed about weather conditions and heed warnings from emergency services. Never attempt to drive or walk through floodwaters.

Did you know? Saltwater crocodiles can grow to over 20 feet long and weigh over a ton, possessing a bite force strong enough to crush a human skull.

Learn more about disaster preparedness and flood safety on the Australian Institute for Disaster Resilience website.

Share your thoughts and experiences in the comments below. What steps can communities take to better prepare for future floods?

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Environmentalists warn Tallahassee dam remains at risk for flooding

by Chief Editor
written by Chief Editor

Tallahassee Dam at Risk: A Looming Threat to the Miccosukee Greenway

A dam in Tallahassee’s Canopy Neighborhood continues to pose a significant flood risk, raising concerns among environmental groups and residents. The Dove Pond Dam, classified as a “high-hazard potential” structure by the National Inventory of Dams, remains vulnerable, with issues stemming from the 2024 Miccosukee Greenway flooding still unresolved.

The 2024 Flooding: A Warning Unheeded?

In April 2024, the Miccosukee Greenway experienced substantial flooding, disrupting access for residents and recreational users. A Leon County report indicated the flooding was likely caused by either seepage through the Dove Pond Dam or clogged drainage due to siltation. However, a critical “first step” – inspecting the dam’s valves – has not been completed, despite a permit being issued for this purpose in 2019.

Terry Ryan, president of the Tallahassee Region Environmental Group (TREG), highlighted the lack of valve inspections. “Since then, no inspections of the valves has been done,” Ryan stated. “And the Leon County’s consultant’s report indicated that the flooding that we had in April, 2024, was particularly likely water coming through the dam, that is from the valves.”

Jurisdictional Confusion and Ownership Questions

Determining responsibility for the dam’s upkeep is proving complex. While “No Trespassing” signs indicate ownership by “Dove Pond LLC,” the actual ownership appears to be transitioning to the Canopy Community Development District or the developer of the Ox Bottom neighborhood. This jurisdictional ambiguity complicates oversight and accountability.

The City of Tallahassee has indicated that the North Florida Water Management District (NFWMD) is the regulating body, but responses from the NFWMD have yet to be received. Emails obtained by TREG reveal internal discussions within the city acknowledging the need for valve inspections, but with no clear mandate for action.

Recent Inspections and Unaddressed Concerns

Despite the ongoing risk, inspections have focused on the dam structure and surrounding vegetation, but not the critical valves. A January 2026 inspection by Florida Environmental Land Services Inc. Noted that the annual opening of the 24-inch gate valve, under engineering supervision, was “currently due.”

Jerry McDaniel, president of the Gulf Winds Track Club, recounted experiencing floodwaters nearly three feet high on the Greenway trail in 2024. He also noted observations of sandbags obstructing culverts, potentially contributing to the flooding.

The Potential for Disaster: High-Hazard Classification

The “high-hazard potential” classification assigned to the Dove Pond Dam by the National Inventory of Dams underscores the severity of the risk. This designation means that failure or misoperation of the dam could likely result in loss of human life. The dam’s height is 26 feet and length is 1535 feet, with a maximum storage capacity of 1140 acre-feet.

What’s Being Done?

Leon County commissioned the report to understand the cause of the 2024 flooding, despite not directly regulating the dam. The report, though labeled “draft” on some pages, was the final version submitted to the county commission.

FAQ: Dove Pond Dam and Flood Risk

Q: What does “high-hazard potential” mean for the Dove Pond Dam?
A: It means a failure of the dam could likely cause loss of life.

Q: Who is responsible for inspecting the dam’s valves?
A: The responsibility is unclear, with the NFWMD being the regulating body, but inspections haven’t been conducted as recommended.

Q: What caused the 2024 flooding of the Miccosukee Greenway?
A: The Leon County report suggests the flooding was likely due to seepage through the dam and/or clogged drainage.

Q: Is the dam currently in good condition?
A: The dam’s condition assessment is currently listed as “Not Rated,” but its hazard potential is classified as “High,” emphasizing the importance of regular inspections and maintenance.

Pro Tip: Stay informed about local flood risks and emergency preparedness plans. Visit the Leon County Emergency Management website for more information.

Stay tuned to WCTV for updates on this developing story. Follow us on Facebook, Instagram, YouTube, Nextdoor and X for the latest news.

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Business

Storm set to pummel L.A. with heavy rains, flooding and beach hazards

by Chief Editor
written by Chief Editor

Southern California Braces for Weekend Shift: From Sunshine to Storms

Southern California is enjoying a brief respite of warm, dry weather, but a significant change is on the horizon. Forecasters predict a strong storm system will arrive Sunday, bringing with it the threat of thunderstorms, flooding, high winds, and dangerous coastal conditions.

Warm Weekend Gives Way to Mounting Concerns

An offshore flow is currently delivering sunny skies across the Los Angeles area through Friday, according to Ryan Kittell, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service’s Oxnard office. A slight temperature drop is expected Saturday, but the real shift will occur Sunday night as the storm system moves in.

Evacuation Warnings Issued for Burn Scar Areas

The potential for debris flows is a major concern, particularly in areas recently affected by wildfires. The Los Angeles County Sheriff’s Department and L.A. Fire Department have already issued evacuation warnings, beginning Sunday night, for residents near the Palisades fire and Eaton fire burn scars. Residents are urged to prepare for potential mud and debris flows and be ready to evacuate if necessary.

Storm Timeline: What to Expect When

The most intense period of the storm is anticipated from late Sunday through Monday. Through Tuesday, heavy rainfall, severe thunderstorms, and damaging wind gusts are possible. Rainfall is expected to lessen by Tuesday night, becoming on-and-off. A brief break in activity is forecast for Wednesday, but more rain is expected Wednesday night through Friday.

Coastal Hazards: High Surf and Rip Currents

The storm isn’t just a threat inland. Forecasters are closely monitoring coastal conditions, with a strong possibility of a high-surf advisory being issued Monday through Thursday. Wave sets exceeding 10 feet are possible across all Southern California beaches, and there’s a 20-30% chance of damaging sets developing Tuesday night through Wednesday night. The highest waves are predicted for the Central Coast’s northwest-facing shores.

Snow Levels and Mountain Impacts

Snow levels are expected to remain above 6,000 feet for most of the storm, but significant accumulations are possible at higher elevations. Meteorologists anticipate moderate rain amounts and intensities across all areas, along with moderate mountain snow accumulations, particularly at resort levels.

Not as Severe as Last Year’s “Pineapple Express”

Even as this storm poses significant risks, forecasters note it’s not expected to be as severe as the atmospheric river event that impacted Southern California last Christmas. That storm set daily rainfall records and triggered widespread flood watches and evacuation warnings.

FAQ

What areas are under evacuation warnings?

Large areas of the Palisades fire burn scar and the Eaton fire burn scar are under evacuation warnings beginning Sunday night.

When is the storm expected to be at its strongest?

The strongest part of the storm system is expected to arrive late Sunday through Monday.

Will this storm be worse than the one last Christmas?

No, forecasters do not anticipate this storm will be as severe as the atmospheric river event from last Christmas.

What should I do to prepare?

Residents in burn scar areas should prepare for potential mud or debris flows and be ready to evacuate if necessary. All residents should stay informed about weather updates and exercise caution on roads.

Pro Tip: Stay updated on the latest forecasts from the National Weather Service and local news sources. Sign up for emergency alerts in your area to receive timely warnings.

Learn more about preparing for severe weather events at the National Weather Service website.

Have questions about this storm? Share them in the comments below!

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News

WA’s north braces for impact as Tropical Cyclone Mitchell remains offshore

by Rachel Morgan News Editor
written by Rachel Morgan News Editor

Residents in Western Australia’s Gascoyne region remain indoors as Tropical Cyclone Mitchell skirts the coast of Carnarvon, while many welcome the much‑needed rain.

Storm track and official warnings

The category one system has been hugging the Pilbara coastline and travelling south since Friday. It is moving parallel to shore, tracking south of Carnarvon and is expected to make landfall near Shark Bay overnight or early Tuesday morning.

Bureau of Meteorology forecaster Caroline Crowe said rain and winds have started to pick up across the world‑heritage listed area, about 800 km north of Perth.

Did You Recognize? The cyclone is forecast to dissipate into a tropical low after it makes landfall.

“The Shark Bay area will see the worst conditions over the next three to six hours,” Crowe warned.

As the system moves southwards and crosses the coast, it will begin to weaken over land, though damaging gusts of up to 100 km/h could still occur.

Potential impacts

BoM has warned of abnormally high tides in the southern parts of Shark Bay and possible flash flooding in surrounding areas.

Heavy rainfall could trigger flash flooding in parts of the Gascoyne, Central West and Central Wheatbelt on Tuesday.

Potentially affected towns include Geraldton, Kalbarri, Merredin, Moora, Mount Magnet, and Dalwallinu.

The Bureau’s map shows the system expected to cross the coast on Monday night or early Tuesday morning.

Community response and services

An evacuation centre remains open at the Shark Bay Recreation Centre, while the Carnarvon PCYC is now closed.

Several schools in Shark Bay will stay closed on Tuesday, although many schools in the Pilbara are set to reopen.

As of 10 pm AWST on Monday, DFES Incident Controller Will Blackshaw reported no major damage in Carnarvon or Coral Bay.

He noted that rainfall in Shark Bay has exceeded 80 mm since 9 am Monday, with reports of about 200 mm in Monkey Mia and 80 mm in Denham.

Emergency crews will continue to monitor for water ingress and are preparing resources for any further needs.

Local reactions

ABC reporter and Carnarvon resident Rachel Hagan said the weather was calm until heavy rain and wind began early afternoon, describing “bangs” outside that made her jump.

She observed that residents seem “easygoing” despite the storm’s approach.

Local growers, still recovering from a recent heatwave, welcomed the rain but hoped the wind would not cause significant damage. (See the earlier heatwave impact here.)

Expert Insight: While the immediate threat of catastrophic wind damage appears limited, the heavy rains bring both relief and risk. Agricultural sectors will benefit from the water after a prolonged dry spell, yet flash‑flooding could strain infrastructure in low‑lying towns. Continued monitoring is essential as the system weakens and transitions to a tropical low.

Frequently Asked Questions

When is Cyclone Mitchell expected to make landfall?

BoM forecaster Caroline Crowe said the system was expected to make landfall near Shark Bay overnight or early on Tuesday morning.

What wind speeds are being forecast?

Peak gusts could reach up to 100 km/h as the cyclone moves southwards and begins to weaken over land.

Which communities have evacuation centres open?

An evacuation centre is open at the Shark Bay Recreation Centre, while the Carnarvon PCYC has been closed.

How might this rain affect the region’s ongoing drought concerns?

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BRIN: River Naturalization and Normalization Are Equally Effective for Jakarta Flood Control

by Rachel Morgan News Editor
written by Rachel Morgan News Editor

Jakarta officials are pursuing river normalization as a key strategy to mitigate annual flooding, a problem exacerbated by limited drainage capacity. The decision follows an assessment that the city can currently manage approximately 150 millimeters of rainfall per day before widespread flooding occurs.

Approaches to Jakarta’s Flood Risk

Both river naturalization and normalization are considered effective methods for addressing Jakarta’s river problems and controlling flooding, according to Budi Heru Santosa, an Associate Researcher at the National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN). Santosa stated on February 4, 2026, that the choice between the two depends on the specific circumstances.

Normalization, which involves widening, deepening, dredging, and reinforcing river walls, is seen as a quicker solution for increasing drainage capacity, particularly in areas where land availability is limited. Naturalization, restoring a river to its natural state, is considered appropriate where usable land exists.

Did You Know? Jakarta Governor Pramono Anung announced plans to normalize three rivers – the Ciliwung, Krukut, and Cakung Lama – as part of the flood control strategy.

Governor Pramono Anung indicated that even with normalization efforts, flood management will remain essential if rainfall exceeds 200 millimeters. The current policy is based on the city’s existing capacity to handle 150 millimeters of rainfall.

Factors Contributing to Flooding

According to Cyril Raoul Hakim, Special Staff to the Governor for Public Communications, silting, sedimentation, and construction along riverbanks have constricted the natural flow of water, reducing the rivers’ ability to accommodate rainfall and runoff. This narrowing of the rivers contributes to the annual flooding issues.

Expert Insight: The Jakarta government’s focus on normalization reflects a prioritization of rapid, measurable improvements in drainage capacity. While naturalization offers long-term ecological benefits, it may not deliver immediate relief during peak rainfall events. This approach suggests a pragmatic response to a pressing urban challenge.

The Jakarta government views normalization as a “concrete medium- to long-term solution” to the recurring flooding problem.

Frequently Asked Questions

What rivers are targeted for normalization?

The Ciliwung, Krukut, and Cakung Lama rivers are the three rivers in Jakarta that Governor Pramono Anung has announced plans to normalize.

What rainfall amount currently overwhelms Jakarta’s capacity?

Jakarta’s current infrastructure can accommodate around 150 millimeters of rainfall per day. Rainfall exceeding 200 millimeters requires flood management measures.

According to BRIN, are naturalization and normalization mutually exclusive?

No, Budi Heru Santosa of BRIN stated that both river naturalization and river normalization are equally effective and can be implemented when necessary, depending on the specific conditions.

As Jakarta moves forward with its normalization plans, it remains to be seen how effectively these measures will mitigate the impact of future rainfall events and protect the city from flooding.

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News

Floods Hit 16 Neighborhood Units and 10 Roads in Jakarta

by Rachel Morgan News Editor
written by Rachel Morgan News Editor

Heavy rains on Sunday, January 18, 2026, caused flooding in multiple areas of Jakarta, Indonesia. As of 7:00 a.m. Western Indonesian Time (WIB), the Jakarta Regional Disaster Management Agency (BPBD) reported that 16 neighborhood units (RTs) and 10 roads were affected by the inundation.

Impact Across Jakarta

West Jakarta experienced the most significant impact, with 13 RTs flooded. Water levels in Kedaung Kali Angke Village reached 45–60 cm in eight RTs, while Tegal Alur Village saw 30–40 cm of water across four RTs, and Jelambar Village reported 25 cm of flooding in one RT. North Jakarta also saw flooding in two RTs, with water reaching 30 centimeters in both Ancol Village and West Pademangan Village.

Did You Know? The Jakarta BPBD reported that flooding impacted roads in North, West, and Central Jakarta.

East Jakarta was affected in one RT within the Rawa Terate sub-district, where floodwaters reached 40 cm. Beyond residential areas, ten roads were also inundated, with water depths ranging from 10 cm on Industri VI Street to 70 cm on Karang Bolong Raya Street.

Road Closures and Disruptions

The following roads were reported as flooded:

  • Green Garden Housing Complex Street (West Jakarta) – 15 cm
  • Pangeran Tubagus Angke Street (West Jakarta) – 20 cm
  • Pangeran Tubagus Angke Raya Street (West Jakarta) – 20 cm
  • West Outer Ring Road Street (West Jakarta) – 20 cm
  • Karang Bolong Raya Street (North Jakarta) – 70 cm
  • Sepatan Village Street (North Jakarta) – 30 cm
  • Cakung Cilincing Raya Street (North Jakarta) – 20 cm
  • Daan Mogot KM 13 Street (West Jakarta) – 15 cm
  • Boulevard Barat Street (North Jakarta) – 15 cm
  • Industri VI Street (Central Jakarta) – 10 cm

As of Sunday morning, 29 people, comprising 12 families, were evacuated from Tegal Alur Village in West Jakarta and are temporarily sheltered at the Alur Anggrek Child-Friendly Integrated Public Space (RPTRA).

Expert Insight: The BPBD’s rapid deployment of personnel and coordination with multiple agencies suggests a focus on mitigating the immediate impacts of the flooding. However, sustained efforts to address underlying drainage issues and potential long-term solutions will likely be necessary.

The Jakarta BPBD is working with the Water Resources (SDA) Agency, the Public Works Agency, and the Fire and Rescue Agency to monitor conditions, pump floodwaters, maintain drainage, and provide aid to those affected. The agency is prioritizing a rapid response to the flooding.

Frequently Asked Questions

How many areas of Jakarta were affected by the flooding?

According to the Jakarta BPBD, 16 neighborhood units (RTs) and 10 roads were affected by the flooding as of 7:00 a.m. WIB on January 18, 2026.

Which area of Jakarta was most impacted?

West Jakarta was the most affected area, with 13 RTs inundated. Water levels in Kedaung Kali Angke Village reached 45–60 cm.

Where are evacuees being sheltered?

Twelve families, or 29 people, evacuated from Tegal Alur Village in West Jakarta are temporarily sheltered at the Alur Anggrek Child-Friendly Integrated Public Space (RPTRA).

As Jakarta authorities work to address the current flooding, it remains to be seen what further measures may be taken to mitigate the impact of heavy rainfall and prevent similar events in the future.

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