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Cold and Rainy Christmas

by Chief Editor December 25, 2024
written by Chief Editor

Headline: México Faces Cold and Rains: 17th Cold Front Exits, 18th Brings New Showers

In a weather rollercoaster, Mexico is bidding farewell to the 17th cold front that has been affecting the country. Heading towards the southeastern United States, this front leaves behind a chilly aftermath, setting the stage for a new player to take center stage.

The 18th cold front is gearing up to make its presence known, expected to traverse over the northwestern regions of Mexico. In a dance with a vaguada polar and the polar jet stream, it will spark isolated showers in Baja California, accompanied by a drop in temperatures and wind gusts throughout the northern states.

As the drama unfolds, a high-level atmospheric vagued extending from northeast to west maintains the cold to very cold conditions across most of the republic, with temperatures plummeting to icy levels in the Sierra Madre Occidental.

Meanwhile, moisture from the Pacific Ocean, Gulf of Mexico, and Caribbean Sea, interacting with instability at high atmospheric levels, will bring rains and showers to the center, east, south, and southeast of Mexico, with intense to very intense rainfall expected in the Yucatan Peninsula.

Rainfall Forecast for Mexico:

  • Heavy to very heavy rains (50 to 75 mm): Yucatan Peninsula
  • Showers with heavy rainfall (25 to 50 mm): Southeast, South, and parts of East Mexico
  • Isolated showers (5 to 25 mm): Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí, Veracruz, Guanajuato, Querétaro, Hidalgo, Michoacán, State of México, Ciudad de México, Tlaxcala, Puebla, Morelos, Oaxaca
  • Isolated rains (0.1 to 5 mm): Chihuahua, Sinaloa, Nayarit, Coahuila, Nuevo León, Guerrero, Honduras, Nuevo Venado, Oaxaca

On the temperature front, maximum temperatures are projected to soar in various states:

  • Temperatures from 30 to 35°C: Sinaloa, Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, Chiapas

The cold snap will also bring chilly minimum temperatures:

  • Temperatures from -15°C to -10°C with ice expected for Wednesday morning: Mountainous areas in Durango and Chihuahua
  • Temperatures from -10°C to -5°C: Mountainous regions in Baja California, Sonora
  • Temperatures from -5°C to 0°C: Mountainous areas in Zacatecas, San Luis Potosí, Aguascalientes, Guanajuato, Jalisco, Michoacán, Estado de México, Hidalgo, Tlaxcala, Puebla
  • Temperatures from 0°C to 5°C: Mountainous regions in Baja California Sur, Sinaloa, Nayarit, Coahuila, Nuevo León, Querétaro, Ciudad de México, Morelos, Veracruz, Oaxaca

Wind Gusts Expected in Mexico:

  • Wind speeds from 30 to 50 km/h with gusts from 80 to 100 km/h: Chihuahua
  • Wind speeds from 20 to 40 km/h with gusts from 60 to 80 km/h: Gulf of California, Sonora, Durango
  • Wind gusts from 20 to 30 km/h with gusts from 40 to 60 km/h: Coahuila, Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, and Veracruz (north)
  • Wind speeds from 20 to 30 km/h with gusts from 40 to 60 km/h: Baja California and Baja California Sur
  • Wind speeds from 20 to 30 km/h with gusts from 40 to 50 km/h: Coasts of Jalisco, Tabasco, Campeche, and Quintana Roo
  • Wind speeds from 20 to 30 km/h with gusts from 40 to 50 km/h, decreasing throughout the day: Isthmus and Gulf of Tehuantepec (East Oaxaca and West Chiapas)

Valley of Mexico Weather Forecast:

Expect a partly cloudy sky throughout the day, with banking of fog anticipated in the north and south of the Valley of Mexico, as well as in elevated areas. Cold to very cold conditions are forecasted, with isolated rains (0.1 to 5 mm in 24 hours) expected in the State of México and the Ciudad de México.

Maximum temperature estimate for Ciudad de México: 18 to 20°C
Minimum temperature estimate for Ciudad de México: 7 to 9°C

Wind speeds from the southwest at 10 to 20 km/h with potential gusts of up to 40 km/h.

December 25, 2024 0 comments
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News

"Will DANA Reach Mexico? Here’s What We Know"

by Chief Editor December 23, 2024
written by Chief Editor

Headline:

DANA, the Spanish Flood Culprit, Could Storm Mexico This Christmas

Subhead:

Meteorologists on high alert as regulating temperatures and heavy rain expected.


Spanish climate chaos could be arriving on Mexican shores this Christmas, as climate authorities brace for the potential impact of an intense weather phenomenon known as a DANA (Cut-off Low). This same depressor was responsible for devastating floods in Spain, causing widespread damage and transforming the festive season into a crisis zone.

What is a DANA?

A DANA, or Cut-off Low, occurs when a low-pressure system detaches from the main weather flow and becomes stationary or retrograde. According to the Mexican National Weather Service, a DANA can extend across vast areas, interacting with the subtropical jet stream to create cold snaps during mornings and nights. Usually, these disruptions bring rain and storms, with significant snowfall or sleet in mountainous regions above 3,700 meters.

What Could DANA Bring to Mexico?

Officials are gearing up for potentially severe consequences, with DANA expected to deliver heavy rainfall and thunderstorms, along with strong winds and flooding. This weather pattern could also cause landslides, elevate water levels in rivers and lagoons, and raise coastal tides.

Abimael Salas Garza, Chief Meteorologist at MILENIO and Multimedios, warns, "DANAs are typically associated with storm activity and could wreak havoc in Mexico if they make landfall."

States Likely to be Affected

On December 24 and 25, a DANA is forecast to extend from the northeast to the west of Mexico, bringing cold temperatures in the morning and evening.

  • Chubasco Rainfall (5 to 25 mm): Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, Chiapas, Veracruz, Puebla, Tlaxcala, Estado de México, and Morelos.
  • Isolated Rainfall (0.1 to 5 mm): Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí, Guanajuato, Querétaro, Hidalgo, Ciudad de México, and Quintana Roo.
  • Snowfall/Aguanieve (Above 3,700 m): Pico de Orizaba, Iztaccíhuatl, Popocatépetl, Sierra Negra, Nevado de Toluca, Cofre de Perote, and La Malinche.
  • Northeastern Winds (20 to 40 km/h with gusts of 50 to 70 km/h): Oaxaca and Chiapas.
  • Wind Conditions
    • Baja California: (20 to 40 km/h with gusts of 50 to 70 km/h)
    • Coahuila, Nuevo León, and Tamaulipas: (20 to 30 km/h with gusts of 40 to 60 km/h)
    • Sonora and Chihuahua: (20 to 30 km/h with gusts of 40 to 60 km/h)
  • Coastal Conditions
    • Western Baja California Peninsula: Waves up to 4 meters high.
    • Gulf of Tehuantepec: Waves up to 3 meters high with a decrease throughout the day.
  • High Temperatures (35 to 40°C): Sinaloa, Nayarit, Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, and Chiapas (coast).
  • Temperatures (30 to 35°C): Baja California Sur, Sonora, Chihuahua, Durango, Jalisco, Colima, Morelos, Puebla, and Campeche.
  • Low Temperatures (-15 to -10°C): Durango mountains.
  • Christmas Morning Frosts
    • Temperatures (-10 to -5°C): Sonora and Chihuahua mountains.
    • Temperatures (-5 to 0°C): Baja California, Zacatecas, San Luis Potosí, Aguascalientes, Guanajuato, Jalisco, Michoacán, Estado de México, Hidalgo, Tlaxcala, and Puebla mountains.
    • Temperatures (0 to 5°C): Baja California Sur, Coahuila, Sinaloa, Nayarit, Querétaro, Ciudad de México, Morelos, Veracruz, and Oaxaca mountains.

As Mexico braces for this storm, meteorologists advise caution and urge citizens living in affected areas to stay informed and safe while celebrating the holidays.

December 23, 2024 0 comments
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