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2 AI Stocks With 85% and 70% Upside to Buy During a Software Bear Market

by Chief Editor April 26, 2026
written by Chief Editor

The Shift from Seat-Based SaaS to Agentic AI

The traditional software-as-a-service (SaaS) model is facing a structural reckoning. For years, the industry relied on seat-based pricing—charging per user. Though, as AI shifts from a simple support tool to a primary driver of an “agentic world,” the value proposition of a user interface (UI) is diminishing.

Investors are increasingly concerned that agentic AI coding tools, such as Claude Code, will allow organizations to build their own custom software, effectively eroding the “moat” that software companies once enjoyed. If AI agents begin replacing human workers, the demand for individual software licenses will naturally plummet.

Pro Tip: When evaluating software investments in the AI era, look beyond the UI. Focus on companies that act as the “system of record” or the “orchestration layer” for a business’s core data.

Why “UI Wrappers” are Failing and Data Hubs are Winning

Not all software companies are equally vulnerable. There is a stark divide between “UI wrappers”—simple interfaces that sit on top of other technology—and platforms that sit at the center of a customer’s data and workflow.

Organizations are generally reluctant to let AI agents run rogue or seize on the massive risk of software failure in their core systems. This creates a lasting advantage for vendors who maintain stability, safety, and security permissions.

The Quality Gap: The Hidden Risk of AI-Generated Code

While the bear case suggests that AI will replace professional software, the reality of code maintenance tells a different story. A study by Alibaba revealed that 75% of code created by AI models failed in less than a year, often because the models sacrificed long-term quality for immediate speed.

some early agentic tools have faced public criticism regarding security issues and reliability. This gap in quality ensures that professional, maintained software remains a necessity for enterprise-grade operations.

The New Orchestration Layer: How Palantir is Redefining the Model

While many SaaS stocks have struggled, Palantir has emerged as a signal for the future of enterprise AI. Rather than relying on a traditional SaaS seat model, Palantir functions as an “Operating System” for modern data and AI.

View this post on Instagram about Palantir, Data
From Instagram — related to Palantir, Data

The company has moved away from slow, consultant-heavy pilots to a high-velocity Bootcamp strategy. This allows them to demonstrate real-world value using a customer’s live data in just five days, drastically shortening the sales cycle.

Did you know? Palantir’s U.S. Commercial growth reached 137%, with an adjusted operating margin of 57% and a Rule of 40 score of 127%.

Real-World AI Orchestration in Action

Palantir utilizes four integrated platforms—Gotham, Foundry, Apollo, and AIP—to solve complex operational problems. Examples of this “Agentic AI” in practice include:

Real-World AI Orchestration in Action
Palantir Data Salesforce
  • Airbus: Managing complex global supply chains.
  • NHS: Optimizing the availability of hospital beds.
  • Wendy’s: Predicting inventory needs to reduce waste and improve efficiency.

The Strategic Moats of ServiceNow and Salesforce

Other legacy SaaS giants are pivoting to ensure they remain indispensable. The key is becoming the “master of records” for the data that AI agents need to function without hallucinating.

ServiceNow: The Technical Plumbing

ServiceNow’s strength lies in its configuration management database (CMDB), which serves as the heart of a customer’s technical infrastructure. By acting as the orchestration tool and plumbing for the entire software stack, it remains deeply embedded in business logic and audit trails. Its new AI Control Tower solution positions it as a major agentic AI orchestration platform.

ServiceNow: The Technical Plumbing
Palantir Data Salesforce

Salesforce: The Data Engine

Salesforce has transformed into a master of records through its Data 360 solution and zero-copy technology, which allows it to capture data from cloud providers without expensive transfers. The acquisition of Informatica further enables the company to cleanse and govern data, providing the structured environment necessary for AI agents to operate reliably.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the “SaaS-pocalypse”?
It refers to the market fear that agentic AI will destroy the traditional seat-based SaaS pricing model by allowing companies to build their own software or by reducing the number of human workers who need licenses.

Why is Palantir succeeding where other SaaS companies are failing?
Palantir focuses on the “orchestration layer,” integrating data and decisions rather than just providing a UI. Its Bootcamp strategy also allows for much faster value demonstration than traditional software pilots.

What is a “system of record” in the context of AI?
A system of record is a data source that is considered the authoritative version of a piece of information. AI agents require these clean, structured data sources to avoid hallucinations and ensure accuracy.

What do you think? Will AI agents eventually replace the need for third-party software, or will they simply make the “orchestration layer” more valuable? Let us know in the comments below or subscribe to our newsletter for more deep dives into enterprise AI.

April 26, 2026 0 comments
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Tech

Is AI now threatening Software Companies?

by Chief Editor February 21, 2026
written by Chief Editor

Is AI Eating Software? A Deep Dive into Tech Valuations

For two decades, the mantra was “software is eating the world.” Now, a shift is underway. Artificial intelligence isn’t just changing software; it’s starting to disrupt it, and the market is taking notice. Recent performance of large software companies suggests a cooling of investor enthusiasm, with PE ratios beginning to compress.

The Numbers Advise a Story

Technology, as a sector, has underperformed the broader market, and within tech, software has been the weakest link. Examining Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratios without non-recurring items reveals a significant drawdown. Over the past five years, several business-oriented Software as a Service (SaaS) vendors have experienced a decline of over 60% from their peak valuations.

Consider these examples:

  • Adobe (ADBE): PE ratio has fallen from 53.67 in 2020 to 14.13 currently, a 74% decline.
  • Salesforce (CRM): PE ratio decreased from 45.85 to 19.71, a 57% drop.
  • ServiceNow (NOW): Experienced a 65% decline, from 109.65 to 38.3.
  • Workday (WDAY): Saw a 72% decrease, moving from 77.66 to 21.53.
  • Constellation Software (CSU): A 59.31% decline from 120.06 to 60.75.

Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratios show a similar trend. Despite relatively strong growth in revenue and operating earnings, investor sentiment is driving these valuation compressions.

Growth Remains, But Concerns Loom

Whereas valuations are shrinking, the underlying businesses aren’t necessarily failing. One-year operating income growth rates remain positive for companies like Adobe (18.5%), CRM (22.5%), and ServiceNow (38.2%). However, the market is anticipating a future where AI fundamentally alters the software landscape.

Several factors are fueling this concern:

  • Erosion of Seat-Based Pricing: AI is pushing a shift towards usage-based and outcome-based pricing models.
  • Increased Productivity: AI tools are boosting employee productivity, potentially reducing the need for numerous software licenses.
  • New Competition: Companies like OpenAI and Anthropic, along with a surge of AI-focused startups, are challenging established software giants.

The Rise of AI-Powered Startups

AI programming tools like GitHub Copilot and Claude are dramatically lowering the barriers to entry for software development. Non-technical founders can now rapidly prototype and launch MVPs using no-code/low-code AI platforms, reducing engineering costs by as much as 40-60%. This is leading to a surge in AI-powered startups, disrupting traditional SaaS markets.

This trend is impacting even large players. Adobe, ServiceNow, and Salesforce are experiencing slowing growth in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) and revenue metrics, suggesting a shift in how enterprises are consuming software.

What Does This Mean for Investors?

The market is signaling uncertainty. Investors are reducing exposure to software, valuing terminal values less richly, and increasing discount rates in their Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) models. While AI won’t entirely eliminate the need for software, it will likely evolve the business model, moving towards hybrid structures that combine seats with usage-based pricing.

Microsoft (MSFT) and SAP are currently less affected by PE compression, potentially due to their strong positions in the AI revolution and established market presence. However, the long-term impact of AI on all software companies remains to be seen.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: Is AI going to replace software developers?
A: AI is more likely to augment developers, automating repetitive tasks and accelerating development cycles, rather than completely replacing them.

Q: What is seat-based pricing?
A: Seat-based pricing charges customers a fee for each user or license of a software product.

Q: How is AI changing software pricing models?
A: AI is driving a shift towards usage-based and outcome-based pricing, where customers pay for the value they receive from the software rather than a fixed fee per user.

Q: Are software companies still good investments?
A: The software sector remains a key part of the technology landscape, but investors should carefully evaluate individual companies and their ability to adapt to the changing market dynamics driven by AI.

Did you understand? The number of pricing changes in the SaaS industry surged to over 1,800 in 2025-2026, signaling a widespread shift away from traditional seat-based licensing.

Pro Tip: Keep a close eye on companies that are successfully integrating AI into their products and services, as they are likely to be better positioned for long-term success.

What are your thoughts on the impact of AI on the software industry? Share your insights in the comments below!

February 21, 2026 0 comments
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