The Dave Rennie Era: Redefining the All Blacks’ Loose Forward Strategy
The appointment of Dave Rennie as the new All Blacks head coach marks a pivotal shift in New Zealand rugby. After taking over from Scott Robertson, Rennie arrives with a clear mandate: prioritize current form over legacy. This approach is set to trigger a significant shake-up in the squad, particularly within the back-row, where the competition has reached a fever pitch.
According to rugby analyst and former All Black Murray Mexted, the sheer volume of high-quality operators in New Zealand is creating a “selection conundrum.” With six top-tier players vying for just three starting positions, the battle for the loose forward trio is no longer just about talent—it is about strategic fit and technical specialization.
The ‘Ball-Winning’ Metric: The New Selection Benchmark
Under Rennie’s regime, the criteria for selection are shifting toward a more pragmatic, results-oriented model. Mexted suggests that the final decision on the back-row will hinge on one primary question: How much ball can we win, and where can we win it?

This focus on “ball-winning” puts a premium on lineout proficiency and breakdown efficiency. Whereas pure rugby skill is essential, the ability to compete for opposition ball in the air is becoming the deciding factor for those wanting to secure a starting jersey.
The Height and Position Dilemma
The physical profile of a player now dictates their potential role in Rennie’s system. For instance, players like Du’Plessis Kirifi, who has shown exceptional form for the Hurricanes, are viewed as specialists. Due to his height, Kirifi is seen as a natural fit for the openside flanker role, whereas taller players like Peter Lakai (6ft 2in) offer more versatility across the back-row.
The Challenge for the ‘In-Between’ Players
Some of the most talented players face a difficult path due to their physical stature. Luke Jacobson is cited as a prime example; while he is a “bloody good rugby player,” his size makes it difficult for him to be a primary ball-winner in the lineout against opposition ball. This creates a strategic tension: does Rennie prioritize Jacobson’s overall game or a player with a greater aerial reach?
Profiling the Contenders: Form vs. Fit
The current landscape features a mix of established stars and rising talents, making Rennie’s job increasingly complex. While Ardie Savea remains a near-guarantee in the starting lineup, the remaining two spots are wide open.
- Wallace Sititi: A highly skilled player, yet he faces a challenge similar to Jacobson regarding lineout dominance. His style mirrors Savea’s, which raises questions about whether two such players can coexist in the same trio.
- Simon Parker & Luke Jacobson: The Chiefs duo has demonstrated strong cohesion, with Parker providing stability at blindside flanker.
- Du’Plessis Kirifi & Peter Lakai: The Hurricanes pair has been instrumental in their team’s success, with Kirifi recently putting in “blinder” performances that make him hard to ignore.
- Devan Flanders & Jahrome Brown: Adding further depth, these players ensure that the competition remains fierce across both the Chiefs and Hurricanes camps.
Future Trends in All Blacks Selection
As Dave Rennie integrates his philosophy—which emphasizes mental toughness over “whiteboard slogans”—You can expect a few key trends to emerge in the All Blacks’ squad selection:
1. The End of the ‘Automatic’ Starter
Rennie’s stated desire to pick players on form suggests that no one’s spot is safe. The “previous regime” may be left behind in favor of those peaking during the Test window.
2. Positional Fluidity
To maximize the talent available, Rennie may experiment with moving players into roles that better suit their physical attributes—such as moving a high-skill number eight to openside flanker to avoid lineout disadvantages.
3. Strategic Specialization
Depending on the opponent—such as the Springboks—the selection may shift from a “skill-first” approach to a “power-and-ball-winning” approach, leading to a rotating cast of loose forwards based on the match-up.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the new All Blacks head coach?
Dave Rennie, formerly the head coach of the Kobelco Kobe Steelers, has been named the new head coach of the All Blacks.
What is the main conflict in the current back-row selection?
You’ll see approximately six high-quality loose forwards competing for only three starting positions, primarily drawing talent from the Chiefs and Hurricanes.
What criteria is Dave Rennie likely to use for selection?
Rennie is expected to prioritize current form and the ability of players to win the ball, particularly in the lineouts.
What do you think? Should Dave Rennie prioritize raw skill and form, or is the ability to win the ball in the air non-negotiable for the modern All Blacks back-row? Let us know your ideal trio in the comments below or subscribe to our newsletter for more deep-dive rugby analysis.







