Universal and Illumination’s Minions & Monsters is expected to lead the North American box office over the July 4 holiday weekend, with projections ranging from $60 million to $90 million across the five-day frame. While the franchise has historically thrived during this period, industry analysts anticipate potential headwinds from the holiday falling on a Saturday and competition from global sporting events.
How is Minions & Monsters tracking for the holiday?
The seventh installment of the Despicable Me franchise is aiming for an $80 million opening from 4,000 North American theaters, according to industry projections. While this represents a significant commercial footprint, exhibitors remain divided on the final performance, with estimates spanning a $30 million gap.

The film’s projected start appears softer than its two most recent predecessors. Minions: The Rise of Gru (2022) and Despicable Me 4 (2024) both launched to $123 million and $122 million, respectively, during their five-day holiday openings. Despite this, the film has a lower production budget of $85 million, compared to the $100 million price tag of previous franchise entries, which may improve its overall profitability.
Why might holiday moviegoing be slower this year?
Box office analysts suggest that attendance could face pressure because July 4th falls on a Saturday. Instead of going to cinemas during the busiest day of the week for moviegoing, Americans will likely be attending barbecues and setting off fireworks to celebrate the country’s 250th birthday. Furthermore, global interest in World Cup matches is cited as a potential distraction that could pull audiences away from theaters.
How are other recent releases performing?
The box office landscape remains mixed for studios. Disney’s Toy Story 5 is tracking for $35 million to $45 million in its third weekend, maintaining momentum with $300 million in domestic earnings to date. Conversely, the DC Studios and Warner Bros. film Supergirl is bracing for a 60% drop in ticket sales. Following a $37.1 million debut, the film is currently projected to lose between $100 million and $120 million against its $170 million production budget.
Meanwhile, Angel Studios is positioning the historical drama Young Washington to capture $15 million to $20 million during its opening, targeting audiences interested in the early life of George Washington before the American Revolutionary War and his presidency.
What is the outlook for the Minions franchise?
Directed by Pierre Coffin, Minions & Monsters pivots to a 1920s setting, following the titular characters as they attempt to find success in Hollywood. The film has already begun its international rollout, earning $10 million from 10 markets last weekend, with plans to expand into 59 additional territories.

Critical reception has been positive, with Variety film critic Guy Lodge describing the movie as a “clear peak for the series,” calling it “smarter, wilder and funnier” than the seventh entry in any animated franchise has a right to be. Given the franchise’s history of long-term theatrical legs, industry watchers expect the film to remain a summer staple even if its opening weekend does not reach the heights of its predecessors.
FAQ
- What is the budget for Minions & Monsters? The film was produced for $85 million, lower than the $100 million budgets of previous franchise entries.
- Who directed Minions & Monsters? Pierre Coffin, who helmed the first three Despicable Me films and the first Minions installment, directed the project.
- How much has Toy Story 5 earned so far? The film has grossed $300 million domestically and $585 million globally after 12 days in theaters.
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