The Crumbling Pillars: How the Post-War World Order is Giving Way
The foundations of the international order, built in the aftermath of World War II, are showing significant cracks. Recent events, from the U.S.-led capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro to ongoing geopolitical tensions in East Asia, signal a shift away from established norms and towards a more unpredictable world.
Operation Absolute Resolve and the Erosion of International Law
In January 2026, U.S. Forces executed “Operation Absolute Resolve,” detaining Maduro and his wife and transporting them to the United States. This action, following Russia’s actions in Crimea and Ukraine, has raised serious questions about the future of international law. President Trump’s statement – “My own morality, my own mind—it’s the only thing that can stop me,” and “I do not need international law” – underscores a willingness to operate outside established legal frameworks.
China’s Assertiveness and Challenges to the Status Quo
The situation is further complicated by China’s continued coercive actions in the South China Sea, despite a 2016 international arbitral tribunal ruling against its claims. This disregard for international rulings, coupled with increasing domestic social polarization globally, is contributing to a growing sense of instability.
The Rise of BRICS and a Shifting Global Landscape
As the traditional order falters, new power dynamics are emerging. The expansion of BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) – with the recent additions of Iran, Egypt, the United Arab Emirates, Ethiopia, and Indonesia – represents a growing arena for nations seeking alternatives to the Western-led system.
BRICS: A Diplomatic Arena for Emerging Powers
The 2025 BRICS summit in Brazil saw a strong declaration condemning attacks on infrastructure in Russia, while notably omitting any mention of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine or civilian casualties there. This demonstrates Russia’s ability to leverage BRICS for its own purposes. India’s endorsement of the declaration, despite its strategic relationship with the U.S., highlights the complex calculations nations are making in this evolving landscape. Factors influencing India’s decision included perceived lack of appreciation from the Trump administration and the inclusion of a condemnation of terrorism in Jammu and Kashmir.
The Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) also experienced similar maneuvering, with a joint statement initially stalled over the inclusion of the Jammu and Kashmir attack condemnation, ultimately leading to China shifting its stance.
Japan’s Role in a Disintegrating World
With the international order eroding, the risk of a “might makes right” scenario increases. The emergence of concepts like a “G2,” an “equal and orderly multipolar world,” and nationalistic slogans evoke a return to competing spheres of influence. Globalization complicates this picture, creating constant economic security risks and anxieties due to declining predictability.
Rebuilding the International Order: A Long-Term Strategy
A return to the norms established after World War II – sovereign equality, peaceful dispute resolution, and restraint in the apply of force – is desired by many nations. Japan is uniquely positioned to contribute to this rebuilding process, leveraging its trusted relationships in the Indo-Pacific region. Singaporean Prime Minister Lawrence Wong identified Japan as a trusted partner, supporting a greater Japanese role, including in security affairs.
The Pillars of Japan’s Strategy: Hard and Soft Power
Japan should strengthen its influence through both hard and soft power, upholding the rule of law, securing maritime routes, and promoting free trade under the banner of a Free and Open Indo-Pacific. Simultaneously, it should continue its commitment to human security – protecting lives, livelihoods, and dignity. Investing in education as a centennial-long national project, focusing on both Japanese language skills and foreign language proficiency, is crucial for sustaining national strength.
Pro Tip: Focusing on education and technological advancement is not just about economic competitiveness; it’s about building a resilient and adaptable society capable of navigating a rapidly changing world.
FAQ
Q: What is “Operation Absolute Resolve”?
A: It was a U.S.-led covert mission in January 2026 to capture and arrest Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife.
Q: What is BRICS?
A: BRICS is an association of five major emerging economies: Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa. It has recently expanded to include other nations.
Q: Why is Japan’s role key?
A: Japan is a trusted partner in the Indo-Pacific region and can contribute to rebuilding the international order through its diplomatic and economic influence.
Did you grasp? The term “free and open Indo-Pacific” is a key strategic concept for Japan, emphasizing the importance of maintaining a rules-based order in the region.
What are your thoughts on the future of the international order? Share your perspective in the comments below.
