A High-Profile Team Takes Shape

Former U.S. President Donald Trump’s invitation to Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney to join the executive committee of the Gaza Peace Council signals a significant, and potentially controversial, shift in the ongoing efforts to stabilize the region. Carney’s anticipated acceptance, following meetings in China, adds a key international voice to a council already boasting figures like former UK Prime Minister Tony Blair and U.S. Senator Marco Rubio.

This council isn’t simply a talking shop. Trump has framed it as the engine driving the second phase of his Gaza plan, following the October ceasefire. The stated mandate – overseeing governance, regional relations, reconstruction, investment, and fundraising – is ambitious, to say the least. The scale of the challenge is immense; the UN recently highlighted the “total destruction” in Gaza and “inhumane” living conditions for its residents.

Beyond Reconstruction: The Economic Dimension

While immediate humanitarian aid is critical, the long-term success of any peace initiative hinges on economic revitalization. The appointment of Ajay Banga, President of the World Bank, and Steve Witkoff, a prominent real estate developer, to the council underscores this focus. However, attracting substantial foreign investment to a region plagued by instability is a monumental task.

Consider the precedent set in post-war Bosnia and Herzegovina. Despite significant international aid, economic recovery was slow, hampered by corruption and a lack of institutional capacity. Gaza faces similar, and arguably more complex, challenges. The “démilitarisation complète” touted by Witkoff is a prerequisite for investment, but achieving it will require sustained commitment and a credible security framework.

The Role of Regional Powers and International Mediation

Carney’s recent trip to China and upcoming visit to Qatar are strategically important. Securing the support – and potentially the financial backing – of these regional powers is crucial. Qatar, in particular, has historically played a mediating role in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

The involvement of Nickolay Mladenov as the High Representative for Gaza and General Jasper Jeffers leading the international stabilization force suggests a multi-faceted approach. However, the effectiveness of these roles will depend on their ability to navigate the complex political landscape and coordinate with existing international actors, including the United Nations and the European Union.

The appointment of Jared Kushner, Trump’s son-in-law and a key architect of previous Middle East initiatives, raises eyebrows. While his connections could prove valuable, his perceived bias and lack of diplomatic experience have drawn criticism.

Skepticism Remains: Hamas and the Ground Reality

Despite the optimistic rhetoric emanating from Washington, skepticism persists on the ground. Hamas has already voiced concerns about repeated ceasefire violations by Israel, and NGOs report obstacles to the delivery of humanitarian aid. The reported deaths of 451 Palestinians since the ceasefire, alongside the loss of three Israeli soldiers, highlight the fragility of the situation.

The success of the peace plan hinges on addressing the fundamental grievances of all parties involved. Simply focusing on reconstruction and economic development without tackling the underlying political issues – the status of Jerusalem, the right of return for Palestinian refugees, and the future of Israeli settlements – is unlikely to yield lasting results.

Looking Ahead: Potential Pitfalls and Opportunities

The Trump plan represents a bold, albeit controversial, attempt to break the deadlock in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Its success will depend on a number of factors, including the willingness of all parties to compromise, the sustained commitment of international donors, and the ability to address the underlying political and economic challenges.

The involvement of figures like Carney and Banga adds credibility and expertise to the initiative. However, the presence of individuals with a history of partisan involvement, like Kushner, could undermine trust and complicate negotiations. The coming months will be critical in determining whether this new approach can deliver on its promise of a lasting peace.

FAQ

• What is the main goal of the Gaza Peace Council? To oversee the stabilization and long-term success of Gaza, including governance, regional relations, reconstruction, and investment.
• Who are some of the key members of the council? Mark Carney, Tony Blair, Marco Rubio, Ajay Banga, Jared Kushner, and Steve Witkoff.
• What is the current status of the ceasefire? While a ceasefire is in place, Hamas reports repeated violations by Israel, and humanitarian aid delivery remains a challenge.
• What role will Qatar play? Qatar is expected to provide financial support and potentially act as a mediator in the conflict.