A key matchup in the Mountain West Conference is scheduled for Wednesday night as Utah State travels to face New Mexico at The Pit. While Utah State currently holds an 18-3 record, recent performance suggests a potential shift in momentum as they enter the game as underdogs.
Recent Performance and Home Court Advantage
New Mexico has established a strong home-court advantage, boasting an 11-0 record at The Pit this season. This extends their winning streak at home to 20 games, dating back to last season. The Lobos have won seven of their last eight games, with their only recent loss coming on the road against San Diego State, a game in which they covered the spread.
Utah State, while maintaining a strong overall record, has experienced difficulties against the spread recently, going 1-5 ATS in their last six games. They suffered outright losses as favorites against both Grand Canyon and UNLV. The Aggies have been underdogs only once this season, losing a two-point contest at USF.
Defensive Strength and Historical Trends
New Mexico is currently ranked 26th nationally in defensive rating according to KenPom. This defensive strength could prove crucial in a nationally televised game on their home court. Historically, The Pit has been a challenging venue for Utah State, with the Aggies posting a 1-7 ATS record in their last eight visits.
Given these factors, a continuation of Utah State’s recent struggles is possible.
Looking Ahead
If New Mexico maintains its strong defensive performance and capitalizes on its home-court advantage, they could secure a win. Conversely, if Utah State can overcome its recent ATS struggles and perform as it did earlier in the season, a competitive game is likely. A possible next step for Utah State could be to reassess its strategy against strong opponents. Analysts expect New Mexico to maintain its defensive intensity.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is New Mexico’s record at home this season?
New Mexico is 11-0 at home this season.
How has Utah State performed against the spread recently?
Utah State is 1-5 against the spread in its last six games.
What is New Mexico’s defensive ranking according to KenPom?
New Mexico ranks 26th in defensive rating on KenPom.
What role do you think home-court advantage will play in this matchup?
