While some snowflakes may fall in eastern and southern Germany around Christmas Eve, a significant snow cover is not expected. Some areas may experience a light dusting. The period after Christmas and leading into the New Year appears to be largely without precipitation, though relatively cold temperatures and frequent night frosts are anticipated.
Potential for Winter Weather in the New Year
Conditions could change with the arrival of the new year. The American GFS weather model currently indicates a potential for a substantial winter weather event, even at lower elevations. This model suggests possible accumulations of 5 to 20 centimeters in some areas, with 20 to 40 centimeters forecast for the central mountains, and up to 60 centimeters in the Alps.
The northern regions – Schleswig-Holstein, and the northern parts of Lower Saxony and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern – are currently not expected to receive significant snowfall. If the forecast holds, the cold temperatures are expected to allow any snowfall to remain on the ground through the first weekend of January 2026.
For the first third of January, temperatures are predicted to remain cold, with frost expected overnight and daytime temperatures remaining just above freezing. This could allow any accumulated snow to persist. However, forecasts beyond mid-January are currently uncertain, with models fluctuating considerably.
Long-range CFS calculations for January suggest temperature deviations of only around 0.5 degrees Celsius above average in Germany, a significant improvement from previous forecasts that indicated a 1 to 2 degree surplus. This evolving forecast adds to the anticipation surrounding the New Year’s weather.
Frequently Asked Questions
What areas are expected to receive the most snow?
According to the GFS model, the central mountains are expected to receive 20 to 40 centimeters of new snow, while the Alps could see up to 60 centimeters.
Which regions are unlikely to see snowfall?
Schleswig-Holstein, and the northern parts of Lower Saxony and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are currently not expected to receive significant snowfall.
How certain is the forecast for January?
The forecast for mid-January is currently uncertain, with weather models fluctuating considerably. Both warmer and colder scenarios are possible.
Will this winter weather pattern last, or is it a temporary shift?
