The NFL’s Salary Cap Carousel: Predicting the Next Wave of Cuts
The NFL offseason is rarely quiet for long. While the Super Bowl dust settles, teams across the league are already bracing for the financial realities of the salary cap. Failing to find trade partners often leads to difficult decisions, resulting in the release of veteran players – moves that can ripple across the league and create new opportunities. This year is no exception, with numerous potential cuts looming as teams prepare for the 2026 season.
The Rising Trend of Post-June 1 Cuts
A common strategy teams employ is the “post-June 1” cut. This allows teams to spread the dead cap hit over two seasons, providing more immediate cap relief. Several teams, including the Cowboys and Commanders, are likely to utilize this method. The key benefit is flexibility, allowing teams to pursue free agents or extend contracts without being immediately constrained by the cap.
Defensive Shakeups: A League-Wide Pattern
A significant number of potential cuts center around defensive players. The Ravens are considering releasing defensive lineman Broderick Washington, while the Commanders are likely to part ways with cornerback Marshon Lattimore. This trend suggests teams are prioritizing younger, more cost-effective defensive talent. The 49ers are similarly contemplating moves with edge rusher Bryce Huff, highlighting the need for consistent pass-rushing production at a reasonable price.
Offensive Line Instability and the Search for Anchors
Several teams are facing tough decisions on the offensive line. The Broncos might release guard Ben Powers, and the Rams could move on from guard Alex Cappa. These potential cuts underscore the ongoing challenge of building a reliable offensive line, particularly as veteran players age or underperform. The Browns are also looking at potential cuts to their offensive line, recognizing the importance of protecting their quarterback.
Running Backs: A Position Facing Devaluation
The Cardinals are considering releasing running back James Conner, and the Texans might cut Joe Mixon. This reflects a broader trend in the NFL: the devaluation of the running back position. Teams are increasingly willing to invest in versatile backs or rely on committee approaches, making it harder for expensive veterans to justify their contracts. The Houston situation is particularly interesting given Mixon’s injury history.
Quarterback Carousel: Risk and Reward
The Falcons face a critical decision with quarterback Kirk Cousins. His large contract presents a significant cap challenge, especially with the emergence of Michael Penix Jr. The Jets are also likely to cut Justin Fields, acknowledging the failed experiment of acquiring him from the Bears. These situations highlight the risks associated with quarterback investments and the importance of finding the right fit.
Case Study: Cooper Kupp’s Journey to Seattle
The story of Cooper Kupp exemplifies the impact of salary cap decisions. Released by the Rams in March 2025, Kupp quickly found a new home with the Seattle Seahawks, ultimately leading them to a Super Bowl appearance. This demonstrates that released players can still contribute significantly to contending teams, and that strategic free agency acquisitions can transform a franchise. As reported by Seahawks.com, Kupp’s decision was influenced by conversations with former Rams teammate Ernest Jones IV, who assured him the Seahawks were on the cusp of contention.
The Impact of Restructures and Void Years
Teams are increasingly utilizing contract restructures and void years to create immediate cap space. However, this strategy can create future cap problems, as dead money accumulates. The Browns, for example, have accelerated contracts in recent years to accommodate Deshaun Watson’s hefty deal, a move that now limits their flexibility. The Raiders are also facing similar challenges with several contracts.
FAQ
Q: What is a “post-June 1” cut?
A: A post-June 1 cut allows teams to spread the dead cap hit over two seasons, providing more immediate cap relief.
Q: What is “dead cap” money?
A: Dead cap money is the remaining value of a player’s contract that still counts against the team’s salary cap even after the player is no longer on the roster.
Q: Why are so many defensive players potentially being cut?
A: Teams are prioritizing younger, more cost-effective defensive talent and are looking to improve their pass rush and coverage.
The upcoming weeks will be crucial as teams navigate the complexities of the salary cap. These decisions will shape the landscape of the NFL for the 2026 season and beyond, creating opportunities for players and teams alike. Stay tuned as the NFL’s salary cap carousel continues to spin.
Want to learn more about NFL salary cap management? Explore our in-depth guide to understanding the NFL’s financial rules.
