With just days remaining until the Baden-Württemberg state election, a novel poll suggests a shift in momentum toward the Christian Democratic Union (CDU). The results are likely to be welcomed by CDU lead candidate Manuel Hagel.
CDU Narrows the Gap
Four days before the Landtagswahl in Baden-Württemberg, a new poll shows the CDU surpassing the Greens in voter preference. The Insa institute’s survey, conducted for “Bild” newspaper and published Wednesday in Berlin, gives the CDU, led by Manuel Hagel, 27 percent of the vote.
The Greens, with Cem Özdemir as their lead candidate, received 24 percent in the same poll. The AfD, led by Markus Frohnmaier, garnered 20 percent. The SPD received nine percent, while both the FDP and the Left party each received six percent, potentially securing them seats in the state parliament.
According to the poll, a coalition government excluding the AfD would mathematically only be possible between the CDU and the Greens. Baden-Württemberg is currently governed by a coalition of the Greens and the CDU. Current Ministerpräsident Winfried Kretschmann (Greens) is not running for re-election.
The poll indicates that 44 percent of those surveyed expect a CDU victory under Hagel, while 17 percent anticipate a win for the Greens with Özdemir.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current standing of the CDU in the Baden-Württemberg election polls?
According to a new poll published on March 5, 2026, the CDU currently has 27 percent of the vote.
Who is the lead candidate for the Green party in the Baden-Württemberg election?
Cem Özdemir is the lead candidate for the Green party in the Baden-Württemberg election.
What is the current governing coalition in Baden-Württemberg?
Baden-Württemberg is currently governed by a coalition of the Greens and the CDU.
As the election nears, will these poll numbers hold, and what impact will they have on the future government of Baden-Württemberg?
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