Timnas Indonesia holds a 90 percent probability of defeating Timnas Timor Leste during their upcoming clash at the Piala AFF 2026, according to data released by the BeSoccer supercomputer. The fixture is scheduled at the Stadion Chonburi in Thailand on Friday, July 31, 2026, with kickoff set for 17:00 WIB, as Skuad Garuda enters the match carrying strong momentum from a 5-1 victory over Cambodia.
Match Context and Team Form Ahead of July 31, 2026
Indonesian momentum builds on an early-week win where Mitchell Baker scored three goals alongside contributions from Sandy Walsh and Jens Raven, bringing the team’s total to 13 goals across five matches under the management of John Herdman. Defensive stability anchors this run, with Indonesia conceding only twice—once against Bulgaria and via an own goal recorded by Nadeo Argawinata—resulting in three clean sheets.
Conversely, Timor Leste faces elimination from the tournament if they drop points against Indonesia, having suffered a 0-7 defeat against Vietnam and a 0-2 loss to Singapore. Data from the past five matches shows O Sol Nascente conceding 12 goals while managing to score seven, leaving them at a statistical disadvantage as the supercomputer sets a 7.9 percent chance for a draw and a 2.1 percent win probability for the squad managed by Ze Pedro.
Statistical Projections and Media Outlooks
Vietnam media outlet The Thao 247 projects that Indonesia will secure a victory by a margin of six or seven goals against Timor Leste, supported by an attacking accuracy rate that registers a 50 percent shot accuracy.
Did You Know?
According to BeSoccer supercomputer data, the upcoming fixture places Indonesia’s victory odds at 90 percent, contrasted with a 2.1 percent chance for Timor Leste and a 7.9 percent probability of a draw.
Frequently Asked Questions
When and where is the Timor Leste vs Indonesia match taking place?
The match takes place at the Stadion Chonburi in Thailand on Friday, July 31, 2026, with kickoff at 17:00 WIB.
What are the win probabilities for the teams according to BeSoccer?
The BeSoccer supercomputer estimates a 90 percent chance of winning for Indonesia, a 7.9 percent chance of a draw, and a 2.1 percent win probability for Timor Leste.
What was Indonesia’s result in their previous Piala AFF 2026 fixture?
Indonesia defeated Cambodia 5-1 earlier in the week, with goals scored by Mitchell Baker (3), Sandy Walsh, and Jens Raven.
Stay Updated on the Piala AFF 2026
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