Logistics Executives Brace for Volatility in 2026: Agility Index Report

Global Logistics Braces for Volatility: AI and Supply Chain Redesign Take Center Stage

The global logistics landscape is bracing for a turbulent 2026, according to a new report by Agility. A recent survey of 503 logistics professionals reveals that 86% anticipate increased volatility in trade, geopolitics, and the global economy. Despite this uncertainty, opportunities for international logistics continue to emerge, particularly in emerging markets.

Mexico’s Position in the Shifting Landscape

Mexico currently ranks 8th in the Agility Emerging Markets Logistics Index 2026, a slight dip from its previous 7th place ranking. Yet, the country remains a key player in international logistics, securing the 3rd global position in opportunities for international logistics, trailing only China and India. This strong showing is largely attributed to the ongoing nearshoring trend and established commercial connections.

The Rise of Artificial Intelligence in Logistics

Facing these challenges, the logistics industry is increasingly turning to artificial intelligence (AI) for solutions. A remarkable 98% of companies surveyed are now utilizing AI to manage aspects of their supply chain or operations. Key applications include transportation management (20.4%), supplier evaluation (19.1%), and demand forecasting (18.5%).

Supply Chain Diversification and Reconfiguration

The report highlights a continued trend of supply chain diversification and reconfiguration, initially spurred by the COVID-19 pandemic, US-China trade tensions, and recent tariff increases. 97% of executives surveyed report that their companies have already changed, or plan to change, parts of their production and sourcing strategies.

Companies are prioritizing diversification of suppliers, freight consolidation, and strategic warehousing as key strategies to navigate these turbulent times. However, the industry appears less prepared for risks related to tariffs and trade protectionism.

Gulf Countries as Emerging Logistics Hubs

The Agility Index also spotlights the growing importance of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries as global transit and logistics hubs. These nations are making significant investments in AI, energy transition, and talent development, strengthening their position in the global supply chain. The GCC region is described as “thriving” due to its ability to maintain positive relationships with both the United States and China.

The top 10 countries in the 2026 Index are: China, India, United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, Indonesia, Qatar, Mexico, Thailand, and Brazil. The six GCC countries also rank among the top 12 for business conditions, while China, Malaysia, India, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia lead in digital readiness.

Sustainability Takes a Backseat

Interestingly, nearly half (48%) of companies are pausing or slowing down sustainability initiatives. The primary reasons cited include cost reduction, shifting business priorities, and difficulty demonstrating a return on investment.

Logistics Index Methodology

The Agility Emerging Markets Index, now in its 17th year, ranks 50 emerging markets based on their overall competitiveness, considering logistical strengths, business climate, and digital readiness. These factors are crucial for attracting logistics providers, carriers, freight forwarders, and investors.

FAQ: Navigating the Logistics Landscape

  • What is driving the volatility in the logistics industry? Trade disputes, geopolitical instability, and economic uncertainty are the primary drivers.
  • How is AI being used in logistics? AI is being applied to transportation management, supplier evaluation, and demand forecasting, among other areas.
  • What are companies doing to mitigate supply chain risks? Diversifying suppliers, consolidating freight, and utilizing strategic warehousing are common strategies.
  • What role are the Gulf countries playing in global logistics? They are emerging as key transit and logistics hubs, investing heavily in technology and infrastructure.

Did you know? The autotransporte (trucking) sector in Mexico moves 80% of the country’s goods, contributing 3.8% to its GDP.

Pro Tip: Focus on building resilient supply chains with multiple sourcing options to minimize disruption from unforeseen events.

Explore our latest podcast episode on risk management for businesses: Gestión de riesgos: ¿Cómo tener una empresa ‘a prueba de balas’?

What challenges are you facing in the current logistics environment? Share your thoughts in the comments below!

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