The potential expansion of the College Football Playoff (CFP) to 24 teams could fundamentally alter how Power 4 programs approach non-conference scheduling. According to reports regarding shifting selection criteria, athletic departments may prioritize high-profile, challenging non-conference matchups over traditional “cupcake” games, as a single early-season loss would no longer automatically disqualify a program from national championship contention.
How CFP Expansion Influences Scheduling Strategy
Under the current 12-team model, every loss carries significant weight, often discouraging major programs from scheduling competitive non-conference opponents. Expanding the field to 24 teams provides a safety net. As noted by industry observers, a team that plays a respectable, competitive game against a premier opponent—even in defeat—is unlikely to be penalized by the selection committee, provided the performance remains high-caliber.
Why Tradition vs. Modernity Matters for Alumni
While the prospect of premium matchups appeals to network executives and playoff hopefuls, it faces resistance from the “barbecue and tailgate” culture. Many alumni prefer the tradition of high-scoring, no-sweat victories against smaller opponents. This creates a tension between the commercial drive for prime-time, high-stakes games and the fan-driven desire for the comfortable, predictable atmosphere of a home-field blowout.
Comparing Future Schedules: A Look at Nebraska
Nebraska’s upcoming schedules illustrate the current reliance on non-Power 4 opponents. While the 2025 matchup with Cincinnati provided a high-stakes, last-minute thriller—won by the Huskers via a Malcolm Hartzog Jr. interception—the surrounding slate included Akron and Houston Christian.
| Season | Notable Non-Conference Opponents |
|---|---|
| 2025 | Cincinnati, Akron, Houston Christian |
| 2026 | Ohio, Bowling Green, North Dakota |
| 2027 | Northern Illinois, Miami (OH), Northern Iowa |
Which Rivalries Could Return to the Forefront?
To maximize both television revenue and playoff positioning, programs like Nebraska could look toward renewing historic rivalries. The Nebraska-Oklahoma series, ranked No. 6 in The Athletic’s top 100 college football rivalries, remains a prime candidate. Despite the history—including the 1971 “Game of the Century”—the two have met only twice since the 2010 Big Eight title game.
Similarly, the Nebraska-Colorado series, ranked No. 33 by The Athletic, offers a high-interest alternative. The 2024 meeting, which saw Nebraska secure a 28-10 victory over Deion Sanders’ squad, proved that these matchups draw significant viewership compared to lower-tier non-conference games.
Frequently Asked Questions
Would an early loss to a top-tier team hurt a playoff resume?
According to current selection trends, a competitive loss to a high-quality opponent is viewed more favorably than a narrow win against an FCS opponent, making it a viable strategy for teams aiming for a 24-team bracket.
Why do schools still play FCS teams?
Many programs maintain these games to secure home wins, boost morale, and satisfy alumni who prefer a dominant, low-stress Saturday experience.
Is Nebraska likely to change its non-conference scheduling?
While future schedules through 2027 are currently set, the pressure to secure high-value television slots for prime-time games may force a shift toward more competitive, marquee opponents in future cycles.
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