Title: Bulgaria‘s Political Deadlock: Hope Lingers for Coalition Government as Talks Continue
Bulgarian political scientist Plamen Simeonov is holding onto hope that a regular government can still be formed, despite the latest developments in coalition talks. In an interview with BNR, Simeonov emphasized that negotiations are ongoing and a resolution could come as early as Monday afternoon.
"Politicians have given us enough reasons recently to make predictions and have unexpected expectations," Simeonov remarked, suggesting that another early election might not benefit anyone.
The abrupt halt in negotiations by GERB on Sunday night was described by Simeonov as a "slightly theatrical move" by Boyko Borisov, aimed at securing a better negotiating position. "Of course, everything could collapse, but that’s not the intention. The message is: ‘We’ve already made too many compromises, at least accept the premier’s personality’," he explained.
According to Simeonov, before the talks broke down, progress had been made on most issues, including sensitive judicial reforms. However, he cautioned, "Nothing is set in stone, negotiations can still collapse, especially if the PP changes their mind, as they have both doors open."
Currently, Simeonov views PП as the most favorably positioned party, "keeping both doors open," with DPS acting as a mediator between them and GERB. If a government is formed, GERB stands to gain the most, he said, as they could absorb smaller parties.
There’s a possibility, Simeonov added, that Delyan Peevski could enter the government "through the back door" while publicly positioning himself as opposition. Simeonov believes Peevski sees a chance for a new government and is prepared to join it.
Simeonov suggested that leader of "Rise," Kostadin Kostadinov, is eager for a government to be formed, allowing him to maintain his image as a principle opposition figure. Meanwhile, he believes the GERB and PП have reached an understanding.
He criticized the current budget draft, urging politicians to unite and create a "courageous and sensible" budget to prevent further waste. Simeonov praised President Rumen Radev’s decision to give negotiators more time, saying it serves his interests to either have a government formed or avoid early elections.
"Radev is in a win-win situation," Simeonov concluded, "whether there’s a government or not, time works in his favor."
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