The potential impeachment of Supreme Federal Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes depends on the outcome of the Senate presidency election scheduled for February 2027.
Rogério Marinho victory could enable magistrate removal
According to reporting, only a victory by Rogério Marinho would open a path to remove the magistrate. If Davi Alcolumbre retains the Senate presidency, political negotiations are expected to contain the requests and preserve the justice.
Ten senators lead a mobilization for the impeachment of Moraes, which counts on the declared support of at least 37 of the 54 senators elected or reelected in 2026. Radical politicians of the Liberal Party plan the impeachment of the minister, whom they call Xandão. In September 2027, Alexandre de Moraes will be elected to the presidency of the STF and will remain in command until 2029.
A Midwestern senator and businessman affiliated with the Liberal Party stated: Tô fora!
Meanwhile, Tereza Cristina evaluates that the work Davi Alcolumbre attempts in order to pacify the country through a pardon for former President Jair Bolsonaro in exchange for avoiding impeachment proceedings against STF ministers, especially Alexandre de Moraes, could backfire.
Alcolumbre is also suspected of working to shield himself from investigations concerning the INSS scandal and the Master case, while a Liberal Party member noted that it is better for the minister to remain on the STF so the right wing can continue to strongly attack him and win popular support.
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Even with Marinho heading the Senate, an impeachment attempt would face pushback from a faction aligned with Gilmar Mendes. That group conditions any removal of Moraes on the simultaneous ousting of Nunes Marques, citing their ties to the Banco Master scandal.
Federal Revenue and Police Findings on Banco Master
Data from the Federal Revenue service shows Master paid over R$ 80 million between 2024 and 2025 to the law office of Viviane Barci de Moraes, the justice’s wife. Meanwhile, Federal Police found messages pointing to monthly payments of R$ 500,000 intended for Nunes Marques’ son, Kevin Marques, through a consultancy hired by the bank.
Additional reports detail relationships of Alexandre de Moraes, Kassio Nunes Marques, and Dias Toffoli with Daniel Vorcaro, former owner of Banco Master, gathering information on contracts, meetings, trips, and businesses involving relatives of the magistrates without attributing crimes.
The faction aligned with Mendes views Nunes Marques as being in deeper jeopardy due to a crucial vote regarding sugar and alcohol price controls from the 1980s and 1990s. Master bought the rights to compensation claims from mills at a discount, expecting massive payouts from the government.
Nunes Marques cast the decisive 3-2 vote favoring Destilaria Alcídia, a ruling that benefited Master’s broader financial interests in disputes potentially worth R$ 8.5 billion. Mendes voted against the measure, arguing that each mill should prove individual losses.
Federal Police Report Revisions
The leadership of the Federal Police ordered a rewrite of reports detailing ties between Supreme Court justices and former Master owner Daniel Vorcaro. Fachin had originally ordered the compilation on October 13, instructing investigators to gather references without drawing conclusions.
Expert Insight:
Frequently Asked Questions
When is the Senate election that could impact the impeachment process?
The election for the presidency of the Senate is scheduled for February 2027.
What specific financial transactions involving family members were uncovered?
According to the Federal Revenue service, Banco Master paid over R$ 80 million to the law office of Justice Moraes’ wife between 2024 and 2025, while Federal Police messages indicated R$ 500,000 per month was directed to Justice Nunes Marques’ son through a bank-hired consultancy.
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