The major cases the Supreme Court will decide in the coming weeks

by Rachel Morgan News Editor

The U.S. Supreme Court is entering the final weeks of its term, with the justices preparing to issue rulings on several high-stakes cases before the summer recess in July. The court has already made significant moves this term, including weakening the Voting Rights Act and striking down sweeping tariffs implemented by President Trump.

The remaining docket includes pivotal disputes over executive authority, immigration status, and constitutional rights. These decisions could reshape the boundaries of presidential power and the application of federal law across multiple states.

Executive Power and Independent Agencies

A central theme of the current term is the extent of the president’s power to remove officials from independent agencies. In Trump v. Slaughter, the court is weighing whether the president can fire members of multi-member boards without cause. Rebecca Slaughter, a former Federal Trade Commission (FTC) member, was fired without cause, a move that clashed with a 1914 law limiting such removals to cases of malfeasance, neglect of duty, or inefficiency.

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The court may decide whether to overrule the 1935 precedent Humphrey’s Executor v. United States, which allowed Congress to restrict at-will firings in multi-member agencies. If the court sides with the president, it could grant the executive branch significantly more control over agencies intended to be insulated from political pressure.

Executive Power and Independent Agencies
Supreme Court justices

Similarly, the court is reviewing Trump v. Cook, involving the attempted firing of Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook. While the president cited allegations of “deceitful and potentially criminal conduct” regarding mortgage filings, Cook has denied wrongdoing. The court is specifically weighing whether the president can remove her while her legal challenge proceeds, though it has previously noted the Federal Reserve is a “uniquely structured, quasi-private entity.”

Did You Know? In the 112-year history of the central bank, no president prior to Mr. Trump had moved to fire a Federal Reserve governor.

Immigration and Citizenship

The court is also addressing a fundamental challenge to birthright citizenship in Trump v. Barbara. The case centers on an executive order seeking to end birthright citizenship for children born to parents who are in the U.S. Temporarily or illegally. The order is currently blocked by lower courts.

A ruling in favor of the administration could upend over a century of legal understanding regarding the 14th Amendment’s Citizenship Clause. However, a majority of justices appeared poised to invalidate the directive during April arguments.

In Mullin v. Doe and Trump v. Miot, the court is weighing the rescission of Temporary Protected Status (TPS) for more than 356,000 immigrants from Haiti and Syria. The core legal dispute is whether federal courts have the authority to review the Homeland Security secretary’s decisions to end these protections. A final ruling could impact more than 1 million immigrants across 13 different countries.

Expert Insight: The tension in these cases highlights a broader judicial struggle between the “unitary executive” theory—which seeks to concentrate power in the presidency—and the statutory protections designed by Congress to maintain agency independence and long-standing constitutional interpretations.

Civil Rights and Second Amendment Disputes

The court is reviewing state laws in West Virginia and Idaho that prohibit transgender athletes from competing on teams aligning with their gender identity. In West Virginia v. B.P.J., a federal appeals court previously found the law discriminated on the basis of sex. The court’s decision could influence similar bans active in 27 states.

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Regarding firearm rights, United States v. Hemani examines whether federal law unconstitutionally prohibits “unlawful users” of controlled substances from possessing guns. The case involves Ali Hemani, a Texas man charged due to occasional marijuana use. While the Trump administration defended the restriction, the ACLU and the National Rifle Association have both backed Hemani.

Election Law and Campaign Finance

With midterm elections approaching, Watson v. Republican National Committee will determine if states can count mail ballots that arrive after Election Day but were postmarked by the deadline. The case specifically examines a Mississippi law allowing a five-day grace period, which the RNC argues conflicts with federal statutes.

Election Law and Campaign Finance
Trump executive order

Finally, in National Republican Senatorial Committee v. Federal Election Commission, the court is weighing whether First Amendment rights are violated by federal limits on coordinated spending between political committees and candidates. The case was initiated in 2022 by then-Senate candidate JD Vance, Rep. Steve Chabot, and two Republican committees.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the significance of the Trump v. Slaughter case?

It determines if the president can fire members of independent agencies, like the FTC, without cause, potentially overruling a 90-year-old precedent that protected such officials from political pressure.

How many immigrants could be affected by the TPS rulings?

A decision regarding the termination of Temporary Protected Status could have implications for more than 1 million immigrants from 13 countries.

What is at stake in the birthright citizenship case?

The court is deciding if an executive order can end birthright citizenship for children of parents in the U.S. Illegally or temporarily, which would challenge the settled understanding of the 14th Amendment.

Which of these pending decisions do you believe will have the most lasting impact on American law?

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