December 22, 2025
Beyond the Ceasefire: How Turkey Could Unlock the Abraham Accords’ Potential
The fragile peace following the Sharm el-Sheikh agreement presents a pivotal moment for the Middle East. While the cessation of hostilities is a welcome step, lasting stability hinges on transforming the current ceasefire into a comprehensive regional framework. A key, often overlooked, element in this equation is Turkey. Its inclusion isn’t merely a diplomatic courtesy; it’s a strategic necessity for realizing the full potential of the Abraham Accords.
The Shifting Sands of Regional Diplomacy
The Abraham Accords, normalizing relations between Israel and several Arab nations, signaled a paradigm shift in Middle Eastern politics. However, the accords’ impact has been limited by their exclusion of key players, notably Turkey. Ankara’s complex relationship with both Israel and regional rivals has historically positioned it outside this emerging alignment. Yet, the current geopolitical landscape demands a reassessment. Recent data from the Statista shows that despite political tensions, trade between Israel and Turkey remains substantial, exceeding $7 billion in 2023, demonstrating underlying economic interdependence.
Navigating the Israel-Turkey Divide
The most significant hurdle to Turkey’s integration is its strained relationship with Israel. Public sentiment in Turkey, fueled by the conflict in Gaza, has intensified calls for a stronger stance against Israel. This pressure culminated in Ankara’s suspension of trade with Israel in August 2024. However, historical precedent suggests that economic interests often outweigh political disagreements. Even during periods of heightened tension, trade and energy cooperation have persisted. This pragmatic approach offers a potential pathway forward.
Pro Tip: Understanding the interplay between domestic political pressures and economic realities is crucial when analyzing Turkey’s foreign policy. Erdoğan’s balancing act between public opinion and national interests will be a defining factor.
Turkey’s Role in Gaza Reconstruction and Regional Security
Turkey possesses significant capabilities that are vital for Gaza’s reconstruction and long-term stability. Its construction sector is robust, and its humanitarian aid organizations are well-established. Furthermore, Turkey’s growing influence in the Eastern Mediterranean, particularly in energy exploration and maritime security, positions it as a key stakeholder in regional security architecture. The Reuters reported in January 2024 that Turkey pledged continued support for Gaza reconstruction efforts, highlighting its commitment to the region.
Beyond Reconstruction: Energy and Economic Cooperation
The potential for energy cooperation is particularly promising. Turkey could serve as a transit hub for natural gas from the Eastern Mediterranean to Europe, fostering economic interdependence and reducing reliance on Russian energy. This aligns with the Abraham Accords’ broader goal of fostering regional economic partnerships. Moreover, Turkey’s growing digital economy and its expertise in infrastructure development could contribute significantly to regional modernization.
The US and the EU: Facilitating Turkey’s Integration
The United States, the European Union, and Gulf states have a critical role to play in facilitating Turkey’s integration. A delicate diplomatic approach is required, one that acknowledges Turkey’s legitimate security concerns while addressing the concerns of Israel and the Arab signatories of the Abraham Accords. Targeted cooperation in areas such as economic development, green energy, and water management can build trust and create a platform for broader dialogue.
Did you know? The US has historically played a mediating role between Turkey and Israel, and its continued engagement is essential for bridging the current divide.
Building Trust Through Targeted Initiatives
Focusing on non-political areas of cooperation initially can help overcome existing mistrust. Joint projects in renewable energy, water desalination, and digital infrastructure can demonstrate tangible benefits and foster a sense of shared purpose. These initiatives should be inclusive, involving both Israeli and Palestinian stakeholders, to ensure that they contribute to a just and sustainable peace.
FAQ: Turkey and the Abraham Accords
- Q: Why is Turkey’s involvement important for the Abraham Accords?
A: Turkey’s economic and geopolitical weight, coupled with its regional influence, makes it a crucial player in achieving lasting stability and expanding the scope of the accords. - Q: What are the main obstacles to Turkey’s integration?
A: The primary obstacle is the strained relationship between Turkey and Israel, exacerbated by public opinion and political pressures. - Q: How can the US and EU help facilitate Turkey’s involvement?
A: Through targeted diplomacy, focusing on areas of mutual interest like economic cooperation and regional security, and by mediating between Turkey and Israel.
The future of the Middle East hinges on building inclusive and sustainable partnerships. Integrating Turkey into the framework of the Abraham Accords is not simply an option; it’s a strategic imperative. By embracing a pragmatic and forward-looking approach, the West and its allies can unlock the full potential of this historic opportunity and pave the way for a more integrated, stable, and prosperous region.
Ghaida Rinawie Zoabi is a Palestinian-Israeli former politician who served in the Israeli Knesset from 2021 to 2023 as the first Arab woman deputy to parliament chair.
Further reading
Image: The sun sets over the Suleymaniye Mosque in Istanbul, Turkey, November 26, 2025. REUTERS/Kemal Aslan
