Unprepared for War with Russia

The Shift Toward Hybrid Warfare and Democratic Security

While European nations have ramped up defense spending and expanded domestic weapons manufacturing in response to mounting tensions with Russia, Berset argues that an overemphasis on physical military might creates a dangerous blind spot. He cautioned that governments risk building “overarmed” states that lack essential democratic controls. To counter modern destabilization tactics effectively, Berset maintains that leaders must match military investments with equal financial and political backing for democratic security, institutional strength, and core civic values.

Political Shifts and Populist Momentum Across Europe

This institutional strain coincides with the rising electoral success of populist and right-wing political movements across multiple European nations. In Germany’s regional state elections in autumn, the Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) secured 43.8 percent of the vote in Sachsen-Anhalt, making it the largest party in the regional parliament despite other major parties refusing to form a governing coalition. Similar surges in political backing for populist groups have emerged in Austria, France, and the Netherlands, complicating national consensus on security and foreign policy.

Balancing Open Societies and Defensive Controls

Addressing how democratic governments should respond to these internal and external pressures, Berset warned against reactionary measures that undermine civil liberties. He noted that when authorities feel unprepared, their instinctive reaction often involves restricting free speech, banning political parties, or arresting dissidents—actions that he argues merely sow the seeds for future crises. Europarådet continues to push for modern tools designed to fortify democratic resilience without eroding fundamental freedoms.

French Warnings on Russian Mobilization and Drone Threats

In an interview broadcast on TF1 and France 2, French President Emmanuel Macron stated that a new Russian military mobilization scenario involving an additional 300,000 reservists remains entirely credible, echoing the scale of the partial mobilization seen four years prior. Macron tied this potential troop increase directly to Moscow’s objective of seizing total control of the Donbas region.

Macron also pointed to the deteriorating security environment within Western Europe itself, noting that France could face direct attacks using explosive drones similar to the incident recorded at Germany’s Leipzig Airport in early August. These developments underscore a growing consensus among international officials that hybrid and conventional threats require a synchronized, multi-layered response.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is hybrid warfare according to Council of Europe officials?

Hybrid warfare encompasses non-traditional hostile actions alongside military aggression, specifically including disinformation campaigns, foreign influence operations, and direct attacks on critical infrastructure.

Why does Alain Berset warn against overarming European nations?

Berset argues that focusing exclusively on military hardware while neglecting democratic institutions creates states with weak internal controls and vulnerable civic structures.

What scale of mobilization is France anticipating from Russia?

French President Emmanuel Macron has stated that a new mobilization wave of 300,000 reservists is a credible scenario as Russia pursues control over the Donbas region.